Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.55K

Unrealized P&L

+$173

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

Trades

884

lifetime

Volume

$64.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$6.91K

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

55% 88% +$5,890

Other

30% 90% -$373

Sports

10% 50% -$27

Tech

5% 100% +$65

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	+2,200	$1,588	86¢	$1.9K	+$315	10-20 22:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+1,200	$1,000	99¢	$1.2K	+$192	09-11 10:51
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	+518	$429	96¢	$497	+$68	08-15 21:24
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+500	$412	96¢	$481	+$68	10-19 19:52
Will Alberta join the US?	No	-485	-$472	98¢	$-477	-$6	07-08 23:04
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	+500	$373	92¢	$460	+$87	09-06 08:11
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	-400	-$411	96¢	$-384	+$28	10-08 18:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	+300	$264	92¢	$274	+$10	10-24 01:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$170	98¢	$196	+$26	07-01 07:14
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	-200	-$196	98¢	$-195	+$1	10-21 04:05
macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	+200	$170	97¢	$193	+$23	08-19 01:06
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$170	92¢	$183	+$13	10-23 19:50
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	+145	$119	97¢	$141	+$23	08-16 11:26
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	-136	-$132	97¢	$-132	+$1	08-15 18:41
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	-100	-$275	100¢	$-100	+$175	09-11 03:47
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	No	+100	$90	93¢	$93	+$3	09-02 15:24
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	-700	$853	0¢	$-2	-$855	10-04 12:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	5	$4.5K	500	4,100	-3,600	No	-$44	09-14 04:52
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	25	$3.6K	3,852	0	+3,852	Yes	+$232	07-08 23:04
Paris curfew by October 21?	17	$2.9K	3,023	1,900	+1,123	Yes	-$1,310	10-19 16:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	13	$2.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$355	08-28 11:02
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	65	$2.4K	4,070	4,770	-700	open	—	10-04 12:36
Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	34	$2.1K	1,122	1,122	+0	No	+$82	07-07 12:07
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	11	$2.1K	1,100	1,200	-100	open	—	09-11 03:47
Will Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	2	$1.9K	1,346	755	+591	No	+$164	09-06 08:25
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	34	$1.9K	5,448	0	+5,448	Yes	+$3,596	03-02 22:05
Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	13	$1.8K	967	967	+0	No	+$137	10-12 14:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	11	$1.7K	900	900	+0	No	+$103	09-28 00:49
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	7	$1.6K	3,128	0	+3,128	open	—	09-28 01:28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	11	$1.6K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	10-20 22:44
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	17	$1.5K	900	900	+0	open	—	10-25 16:08
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	11	$1.2K	1,384	0	+1,384	open	—	07-25 16:20
NATO article 5 before 2027?	17	$1.2K	650	650	+0	open	—	09-09 23:46
Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	14	$1.1K	1,164	179	+985	No	+$233	10-06 18:33
Will Christine Lagarde win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	10-12 20:43
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	35	$1.0K	1,403	862	+541	No	-$157	03-01 04:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	10	$1.0K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	09-11 10:51
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	3	$985	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	10-22 00:10
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$925	500	500	+0	open	—	10-25 16:53
Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	29	$925	610	429	+181	No	+$106	09-01 22:05
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?	8	$914	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	09-29 11:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$857	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$143	04-21 03:52
Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	11	$812	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$188	10-09 17:49
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	2	$751	200	600	-400	open	—	10-08 18:48
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?	7	$745	714	346	+367	Yes	+$207	09-07 08:45
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	3	$736	400	400	+0	No	+$56	08-15 19:22
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	8	$696	837	0	+837	open	—	10-18 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:17:09	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xb250be…
10-27 13:16:56	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x821bd2…
10-27 13:15:23	Will an F1 race be held in Qatar in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc2494d…
10-27 13:15:08	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x663c15…
10-27 06:00:00	France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	117	75¢	$88	0xaa9bf0…
10-26 17:33:02	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	90	54¢	$49	0x3b2a04…
10-25 22:57:23	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x5a541d…
10-25 21:09:20	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	59¢	$293	0x1f797e…
10-25 16:55:56	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x784af6…
10-25 16:54:38	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x615c16…
10-25 16:54:17	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xf907de…
10-25 16:53:08	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0x010a2d…
10-25 16:21:32	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	44	70¢	$30	0x6de264…
10-25 16:08:53	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	680	94¢	$642	0x6a07bb…
10-25 16:07:44	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0x6b9d5b…
10-25 15:36:35	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	169	97¢	$163	0xa995f4…
10-24 05:37:32	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb52795…
10-24 01:25:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x55aafd…
10-23 20:52:06	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xc82b2c…
10-23 20:52:06	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x57088e…
10-23 20:51:15	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xe9e8ad…
10-23 20:51:15	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x9299d1…
10-23 20:51:15	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5d0ca4…
10-23 20:50:51	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x64517c…
10-23 19:50:12	Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x0aa37d…
10-23 19:50:05	Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xf41c24…
10-23 19:33:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x5bef34…
10-23 10:01:21	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	11¢	$275	0xf6c52c…
10-23 09:53:38	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xc16d09…
10-23 09:53:30	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xd65b09…
10-22 18:45:24	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	90	42¢	$38	0x71ee7e…
10-22 00:10:20	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xb2736c…
10-22 00:10:20	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x87671b…
10-21 14:01:42	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	115	58¢	$67	0xbbd370…
10-21 10:27:00	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0x75fc2d…
10-21 04:05:24	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6bae64…
10-21 03:52:59	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0eb802…
10-20 23:15:50	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32	60¢	$19	0xe4bdf5…
10-20 22:44:59	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xffc95e…
10-19 22:16:17	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbb4e73…
10-19 21:34:03	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	67¢	$267	0x04599e…
10-19 19:52:32	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xdf9e02…
10-19 16:35:39	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	291	69¢	$200	0x4ded3e…
10-19 16:34:54	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	SELL	1,000	35¢	$347	0x8f75f2…
10-19 16:33:54	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	832	60¢	$500	0x8c9a20…
10-19 16:04:26	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	SELL	900	50¢	$452	0xd3e0ff…
10-19 16:04:20	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x98e1c6…
10-19 16:04:20	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	BUY	250	46¢	$115	0x65302a…
10-19 16:04:20	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x545456…
10-19 13:46:35	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	BUY	738	68¢	$500	0x1b33cc…
10-19 13:45:12	2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?	Zemmour	BUY	73	60¢	$44	0xc89d4c…
10-19 11:38:14	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	85¢	$212	0x9cc3c8…
10-19 11:14:24	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	151	82¢	$124	0xb6d715…
10-19 10:39:11	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x406129…
10-19 10:37:11	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x7ea95d…
10-19 10:37:09	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x30c609…
10-19 10:35:54	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x3c0c13…
10-18 18:35:26	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x383080…
10-18 14:52:02	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x11d2f5…
10-18 10:54:05	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	50¢	$34	0x64622e…
10-18 09:46:36	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	146	72¢	$105	0x247724…
10-18 09:01:36	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xb1512f…
10-18 07:42:14	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x8e05d2…
10-18 02:10:30	Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x5ccc70…
10-16 21:30:53	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x45935d…
10-16 21:28:08	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcb4545…
10-16 21:28:00	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x89c63b…
10-16 09:28:52	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	61	64¢	$39	0x013a09…
10-16 09:18:36	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6b7e3c…
10-16 08:49:04	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x2f5949…
10-16 07:46:40	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x87d4e4…
10-16 01:50:49	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xb1ed99…
10-16 01:05:39	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x57b87a…
10-15 13:57:25	Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0xa35db4…
10-15 13:57:14	Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x49ae85…
10-14 07:37:07	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0x3d0c64…
10-14 07:31:43	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0xa5c8f4…
10-13 21:50:01	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xdc1d8f…
10-13 18:30:27	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xa2f25a…
10-13 08:48:40	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xe7d4b4…
10-12 20:43:09	Will Christine Lagarde win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa0f5e2…
10-12 20:41:21	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	60¢	$47	0x317a55…
10-12 20:41:05	Will Christine Lagarde win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x67beb3…
10-12 19:58:14	Will Christine Lagarde win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x8ab138…
10-12 19:47:54	Will Christine Lagarde win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0x427219…
10-12 19:47:53	Will Christine Lagarde win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xe79ec9…
10-12 14:03:11	Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	No	SELL	759	100¢	$758	0x88f274…
10-12 13:58:45	Will SER have the most seats after the French Senate Election?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xedffe5…
10-12 13:58:27	Will Les Républicains have the most seats after the French Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x4bc94b…
10-11 19:44:13	Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x8f0e25…
10-11 17:14:45	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb01ce3…
10-11 16:18:45	Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xa81ce4…
10-11 16:18:00	Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?	No	BUY	193	3¢	$6	0x072d4a…
10-11 16:17:07	Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xc6cf26…
10-11 13:58:33	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	60¢	$18	0x45bde4…
10-11 13:54:57	Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xa521f3…
10-11 13:48:24	Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x890113…
10-10 19:17:06	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x95b681…
10-09 17:49:17	Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	No	BUY	87	70¢	$61	0x8a05b8…
10-09 17:20:44	Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xd564cd…