Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$276
$231 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$3,285
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-11 21:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $111 | $13 | +$98 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $6 | $56 | $51 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $19 | $19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 3 | $111 | $38 | +$73 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 4 | $6 | $12 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | +323 | $111 | $111 | 6 | 06-11 21:35 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | +39 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-11 21:35 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-08 08:35 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-04 10:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 06-10 16:27 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 06:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 21:35:48 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x85a2af… |
| 06-11 21:35:48 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x85a2af… |
| 06-10 16:27:09 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | No | SELL | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x36fc67… |
| 06-10 16:27:09 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x36fc67… |
| 06-10 06:30:39 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x7b010f… |
| 06-10 06:30:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x7b010f… |
| 06-09 21:24:42 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 36¢ | $8 | 0x0dc76b… |
| 06-09 21:24:42 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 23 | 64¢ | $15 | 0x0dc76b… |
| 06-08 08:35:33 | Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xa8f030… |
| 06-08 08:35:33 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0xa8f030… |
| 06-06 23:42:09 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x249f5b… |
| 06-06 23:42:09 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x249f5b… |
| 06-06 20:04:06 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x5b0c45… |
| 06-06 20:04:06 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | BUY | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x5b0c45… |
| 06-06 20:04:06 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x5b0c45… |
| 06-04 22:20:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x7c0851… |
| 06-04 22:20:31 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x7c0851… |
| 06-04 10:23:30 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x9d5dd7… |
| 06-04 10:23:30 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | SELL | 170 | 34¢ | $58 | 0x9d5dd7… |
| 06-04 10:23:30 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 246 | 34¢ | $84 | 0x9d5dd7… |
| 06-04 10:23:30 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 56 | 34¢ | $19 | 0x9d5dd7… |
| 05-30 01:34:48 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x8d4253… |
| 05-30 01:34:48 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x8d4253… |