Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$3,245
$231 in 24h
Trades
155
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$3,285
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-23 21:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+73.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $71
vs crowd: 27% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $43 | $23 | +$20 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $312 | $67 | +$245 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $214 | $600 | $386 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $96 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $71 | — | +$71 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $57 | $56 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $128 | $128 |
| Median | 9 | $1 | $697 | $696 |
| Below median | 7 | $221 | $538 | $317 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $41 | — | +$41 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $37 | — | +$37 |
| unranked | 17 | $283 | $376 | $94 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | +1,000 | $210 | $210 | 14 | 07-22 19:05 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | +617 | $481 | $481 | 13 | 07-23 21:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | +400 | $292 | $292 | 8 | 07-06 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | No | +254 | $162 | $162 | 1 | 06-27 13:48 |
| Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | +246 | $121 | $226 | 9 | 07-17 11:40 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +231 | $30 | $111 | 7 | 07-07 20:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xda28…469b | Yes | +229 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 07-03 20:59 |
| Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | No | +148 | $115 | $164 | 5 | 07-23 21:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cdc…5759 | No | +126 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 07-22 19:05 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | +103 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-11 00:47 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +75 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-27 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ddd…80c6 | Yes | +45 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | +33 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-15 16:17 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-08 08:35 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-17 12:15 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $11 | $34 | 5 | 07-06 15:34 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-04 10:23 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-08 18:33 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-21 21:58 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-11 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 06-10 16:27 |
| Homely-Trek 0x4262…358e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-13 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 16:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x7489…4c80 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 07:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 21:30:51 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xa8149f… |
| 07-23 21:30:51 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xa8149f… |
| 07-22 19:05:57 | (anonymous) 0x7cdc…5759 | No | BUY | 126 | 79¢ | $99 | 0x77246c… |
| 07-22 19:05:57 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | No | SELL | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0x77246c… |
| 07-22 19:05:57 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 101 | 21¢ | $21 | 0x77246c… |
| 07-21 16:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x5ddd…80c6 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 22¢ | $10 | 0xe1616c… |
| 07-21 16:18:52 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | No | BUY | 45 | 78¢ | $35 | 0xe1616c… |
| 07-21 07:46:28 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 127 | 21¢ | $27 | 0x78f7ad… |
| 07-21 07:46:28 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 127 | 79¢ | $100 | 0x78f7ad… |
| 07-18 12:46:18 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 127 | 79¢ | $100 | 0xf76c35… |
| 07-18 12:46:18 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 127 | 21¢ | $27 | 0xf76c35… |
| 07-18 12:44:49 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 127 | 21¢ | $27 | 0xeeb043… |
| 07-18 12:44:49 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 127 | 79¢ | $100 | 0xeeb043… |
| 07-18 12:44:01 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 127 | 79¢ | $100 | 0xf3d353… |
| 07-18 12:44:01 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 127 | 21¢ | $27 | 0xf3d353… |
| 07-17 12:15:22 | Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | BUY | 26 | 79¢ | $20 | 0x7dbc05… |
| 07-17 12:15:22 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 26 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x7dbc05… |
| 07-17 11:40:27 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 250 | 21¢ | $52 | 0xa77f7f… |
| 07-17 11:40:27 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 21¢ | $52 | 0xa77f7f… |
| 07-17 05:42:07 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 13 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xda53c5… |
| 07-17 05:42:07 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0xda53c5… |
| 07-15 16:17:40 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 33 | 79¢ | $26 | 0xdec77b… |
| 07-15 16:17:40 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 33 | 21¢ | $7 | 0xdec77b… |
| 07-14 19:26:58 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x57804e… |
| 07-14 19:26:58 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 13 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x57804e… |
| 07-13 08:26:41 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x33a4f5… |
| 07-13 08:26:41 | Homely-Trek 0x4262…358e | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x33a4f5… |
| 07-12 11:11:28 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xb59968… |
| 07-12 11:11:28 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xb59968… |
| 07-11 06:36:16 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | No | BUY | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0x418b7b… |
| 07-11 06:36:16 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0x418b7b… |
| 07-11 00:47:56 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | No | BUY | 93 | 78¢ | $73 | 0x8f0896… |
| 07-11 00:47:56 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x8f0896… |
| 07-11 00:47:56 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | BUY | 103 | 22¢ | $23 | 0x8f0896… |
| 07-09 07:01:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 21¢ | $12 | 0x841f93… |
| 07-09 07:01:34 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 55 | 21¢ | $12 | 0x841f93… |
| 07-09 06:14:13 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xe6a4d1… |
| 07-09 06:14:13 | Homely-Trek 0x4262…358e | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xe6a4d1… |
| 07-08 18:33:59 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x794ebb… |
| 07-08 18:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x794ebb… |
| 07-08 07:59:38 | (anonymous) 0x7489…4c80 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x07898c… |
| 07-08 07:59:38 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x07898c… |
| 07-08 05:38:26 | Beloved-Zone 0x2754…1668 | No | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x77ef62… |
| 07-08 05:38:26 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x77ef62… |
| 07-08 05:38:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x77ef62… |
| 07-08 05:37:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x927d4a… |
| 07-08 05:37:43 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x927d4a… |
| 07-08 05:37:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x79fcce… |
| 07-08 05:37:31 | Beloved-Zone 0x2754…1668 | No | SELL | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x79fcce… |
| 07-08 05:37:31 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0x79fcce… |
| 07-08 05:37:31 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x79fcce… |
| 07-07 20:47:01 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xb499d2… |
| 07-07 20:47:01 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb499d2… |
| 07-07 20:33:01 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x299e9f… |
| 07-07 20:33:01 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x299e9f… |
| 07-06 15:34:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x62282c… |
| 07-06 15:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | SELL | 16 | 72¢ | $11 | 0x62282c… |
| 07-06 15:34:01 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 13 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x62282c… |
| 07-06 08:43:22 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 88 | 73¢ | $64 | 0x6e8ef4… |
| 07-06 08:43:22 | Separate-Conga 0x2f4e…3d8d | No | SELL | 256 | 73¢ | $187 | 0x6e8ef4… |
| 07-06 08:43:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 37 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x6e8ef4… |
| 07-06 08:43:22 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 131 | 27¢ | $35 | 0x6e8ef4… |
| 07-05 13:46:07 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xac1037… |
| 07-05 13:46:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xac1037… |
| 07-05 13:46:07 | Separate-Conga 0x2f4e…3d8d | No | SELL | 37 | 79¢ | $29 | 0xac1037… |
| 07-05 13:46:07 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xac1037… |
| 07-05 11:33:38 | Beloved-Zone 0x2754…1668 | No | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x1c46c8… |
| 07-05 11:33:38 | Separate-Conga 0x2f4e…3d8d | No | SELL | 7 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x1c46c8… |
| 07-05 11:33:19 | Beloved-Zone 0x2754…1668 | No | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xccd282… |
| 07-05 11:33:19 | Separate-Conga 0x2f4e…3d8d | No | SELL | 7 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xccd282… |
| 07-05 11:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x3ca271… |
| 07-05 11:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x3ca271… |
| 07-05 11:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 40 | 79¢ | $32 | 0x3ca271… |
| 07-05 11:32:43 | Separate-Conga 0x2f4e…3d8d | No | SELL | 51 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x3ca271… |
| 07-05 11:24:59 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 21¢ | $12 | 0xdccd96… |
| 07-05 11:24:59 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdccd96… |
| 07-05 11:24:59 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 40 | 79¢ | $32 | 0xdccd96… |
| 07-05 11:24:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xdccd96… |
| 07-05 11:24:59 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0xdccd96… |
| 07-05 11:24:59 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xdccd96… |
| 07-05 11:24:59 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 181 | 11¢ | $20 | 0xdccd96… |
| 07-05 11:24:59 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdccd96… |
| 07-05 11:24:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xdccd96… |
| 07-05 11:24:59 | Separate-Conga 0x2f4e…3d8d | No | BUY | 358 | 84¢ | $302 | 0xdccd96… |
| 07-04 00:58:50 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x27b0f3… |
| 07-04 00:58:50 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x27b0f3… |
| 07-03 21:19:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x7012dc… |
| 07-03 21:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 25 | 73¢ | $18 | 0x7012dc… |
| 07-03 21:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x7012dc… |
| 07-03 20:59:25 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 19 | 73¢ | $14 | 0xc80478… |
| 07-03 20:59:25 | (anonymous) 0xda28…469b | Yes | BUY | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc80478… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xda28…469b | Yes | BUY | 210 | 24¢ | $50 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 26 | 73¢ | $19 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 08:53:05 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x85e438… |