Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,241
$231 in 24h
Trades
71
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$3,285
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-04 00:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+62.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $51
vs crowd: 37% YES on $1.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $28 | $23 | +$5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $282 | $51 | +$231 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $238 | $238 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $65 | $315 | $250 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $51 | — | +$51 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $57 | $57 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $23 | $23 |
| Median | 1 | — | $228 | $228 |
| Below median | 6 | $199 | $82 | +$116 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $38 | — | +$38 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| unranked | 13 | $63 | $237 | $175 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | +496 | $174 | $174 | 8 | 06-27 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | +312 | $228 | $228 | 7 | 07-04 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | No | +254 | $162 | $162 | 1 | 06-27 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xda28…469b | Yes | +229 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 07-03 20:59 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +199 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 07-03 08:53 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +75 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-27 13:48 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-27 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 07-03 20:58 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | +39 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-11 21:35 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-03 20:58 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-08 08:35 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-04 10:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 20:04 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-21 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-03 20:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-03 20:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 06-10 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 16:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 00:58:50 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x27b0f3… |
| 07-04 00:58:50 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x27b0f3… |
| 07-03 21:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x7012dc… |
| 07-03 21:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 25 | 73¢ | $18 | 0x7012dc… |
| 07-03 21:19:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x7012dc… |
| 07-03 20:59:25 | (anonymous) 0xda28…469b | Yes | BUY | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc80478… |
| 07-03 20:59:25 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 19 | 73¢ | $14 | 0xc80478… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 26 | 73¢ | $19 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xda28…469b | Yes | BUY | 210 | 24¢ | $50 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 20:58:29 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0x3723fe… |
| 07-03 08:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x3908…d10e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x85e438… |
| 07-03 08:53:05 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x85e438… |
| 06-30 18:50:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x74d83e… |
| 06-30 18:50:59 | (anonymous) 0x3908…d10e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x74d83e… |
| 06-30 18:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x55f4…4021 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x91d731… |
| 06-30 18:50:55 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x91d731… |
| 06-28 19:49:40 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x74829a… |
| 06-28 19:49:40 | (anonymous) 0x3908…d10e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x74829a… |
| 06-28 19:49:37 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 180 | 27¢ | $49 | 0x83d0b0… |
| 06-28 19:49:37 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 9 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xea1b32… |
| 06-28 19:49:37 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | BUY | 180 | 73¢ | $131 | 0x83d0b0… |
| 06-28 19:49:37 | (anonymous) 0x55f4…4021 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xea1b32… |
| 06-27 13:48:56 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 34¢ | $24 | 0x7b15f6… |
| 06-27 13:48:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 34¢ | $24 | 0x7b15f6… |
| 06-27 13:48:28 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 162 | 36¢ | $58 | 0x76af3b… |
| 06-27 13:48:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x76af3b… |
| 06-27 13:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | No | BUY | 254 | 64¢ | $162 | 0x76af3b… |
| 06-27 13:48:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 36¢ | $26 | 0x76af3b… |
| 06-24 20:59:55 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xf601cb… |
| 06-24 20:59:55 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xf601cb… |
| 06-24 20:59:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x470856… |
| 06-24 20:59:40 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x470856… |
| 06-24 20:59:40 | Slim-Merit 0x45c9…a3d1 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 38¢ | $15 | 0x470856… |
| 06-24 20:59:40 | (anonymous) 0x0945…8470 | No | SELL | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x470856… |
| 06-21 21:58:01 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x8e61b4… |
| 06-21 21:58:01 | (anonymous) 0x0945…8470 | No | SELL | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x8e61b4… |
| 06-21 16:29:11 | (anonymous) 0x0945…8470 | No | SELL | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xc3580d… |
| 06-21 16:29:11 | (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xc3580d… |
| 06-20 16:38:32 | (anonymous) 0x0945…8470 | No | SELL | 13 | 62¢ | $8 | 0x3589a2… |
| 06-20 16:38:32 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x3589a2… |
| 06-19 13:08:25 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x93ec57… |
| 06-19 13:08:25 | (anonymous) 0x0945…8470 | No | BUY | 33 | 61¢ | $20 | 0x93ec57… |
| 06-19 13:08:25 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x93ec57… |
| 06-11 21:35:48 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x85a2af… |
| 06-11 21:35:48 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x85a2af… |
| 06-10 16:27:09 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | No | SELL | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x36fc67… |
| 06-10 16:27:09 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x36fc67… |
| 06-10 06:30:39 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x7b010f… |
| 06-10 06:30:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x7b010f… |
| 06-09 21:24:42 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 23 | 64¢ | $15 | 0x0dc76b… |
| 06-09 21:24:42 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 36¢ | $8 | 0x0dc76b… |
| 06-08 08:35:33 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0xa8f030… |
| 06-08 08:35:33 | Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xa8f030… |
| 06-06 23:42:09 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x249f5b… |
| 06-06 23:42:09 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x249f5b… |
| 06-06 20:04:06 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x5b0c45… |
| 06-06 20:04:06 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x5b0c45… |
| 06-06 20:04:06 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | BUY | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x5b0c45… |
| 06-04 22:20:31 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x7c0851… |
| 06-04 22:20:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x7c0851… |
| 06-04 10:23:30 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 56 | 34¢ | $19 | 0x9d5dd7… |
| 06-04 10:23:30 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | Yes | BUY | 246 | 34¢ | $84 | 0x9d5dd7… |
| 06-04 10:23:30 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x9d5dd7… |
| 06-04 10:23:30 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | SELL | 170 | 34¢ | $58 | 0x9d5dd7… |
| 05-30 01:34:48 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x8d4253… |
| 05-30 01:34:48 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x8d4253… |