Realized P&L
-$219
Unrealized P&L
+$168
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
5,379
lifetime
Volume
$528.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$7.94K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 15:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
70% 0% $-193
Other
27% 33% $-26
Crypto
3%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 328 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,000 $3,734 95¢ $3.8K +$56 06-16 13:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,400 $1,323 94¢ $1.3K $-4 06-16 14:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +750 $648 86¢ $641 $-6 06-16 08:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -600 $-639 100¢ $-599 +$40 06-26 17:49
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +613 $499 88¢ $536 +$37 06-13 23:42
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -301 $-277 91¢ $-274 +$3 06-22 12:22
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No +205 $193 95¢ $195 +$2 06-16 12:10
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No -200 $-188 94¢ $-188 +$0 06-16 13:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +250 $112 59¢ $148 +$35 06-15 19:46
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -74 $-98 90¢ $-67 +$31 06-26 07:13
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +516 $82 12¢ $62 $-20 06-19 21:13
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -59 $-53 93¢ $-55 $-2 06-15 11:15
Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -45 $-44 98¢ $-44 +$0 06-08 00:48
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes +25 $17 58¢ $15 $-2 06-30 15:04
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $11 $9 $-2 06-15 11:13