Realized P&L
-$219
Unrealized P&L
+$169
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
5,415
lifetime
Volume
$535.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$8.11K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-18 22:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
70% 0% $-193
Other
27% 33% $-26
Crypto
3%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 328 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2,002 $1,809 96¢ $1.9K +$109 07-02 12:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,400 $1,323 96¢ $1.3K +$14 06-16 14:48
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No +1,152 $1,114 99¢ $1.1K +$21 07-04 21:34
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,115 $768 76¢ $847 +$79 07-18 20:50
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +750 $641 85¢ $638 $-3 07-14 21:51
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +613 $499 88¢ $543 +$44 06-13 23:42
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -441 $-406 97¢ $-429 $-23 07-10 17:37
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +230 $221 96¢ $221 +$0 07-07 07:18
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +315 $193 70¢ $219 +$26 07-13 22:51
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +210 $190 94¢ $196 +$6 07-01 09:17
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No -200 $-188 96¢ $-193 $-5 06-16 13:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +250 $112 66¢ $166 +$54 06-15 19:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +125 $261 72¢ $91 $-171 07-18 22:19
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -74 $-98 86¢ $-64 +$34 06-26 07:13
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -59 $-53 92¢ $-54 $-1 06-15 11:15
Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -45 $-44 99¢ $-44 $-0 06-08 00:48
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes +25 $17 39¢ $10 $-7 06-30 15:04
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $11 $3 $-8 06-15 11:13