Natural-Intensity 0x9cb98f…2f7b80
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.89K
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved
318
Trades
7,655
lifetime
Volume
$791.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$21.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Politics
68% 71% +$9,436
Other
28% 62% +$3,047
Crypto
3% 82% +$345
Sports
1% 22% -$442
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,000 -$2,927 98¢ $-2926 +$1 09-08 02:56
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,520 $1,931 44¢ $2.4K +$508 10-23 16:23
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,625 $1,418 93¢ $1.5K +$99 10-20 12:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $1,087 86¢ $1.1K -$6 10-24 10:21
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $878 68¢ $1.0K +$150 10-16 16:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,100 -$996 92¢ $-1006 -$10 10-24 16:25
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $882 92¢ $915 +$32 10-24 00:16
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,000 $986 86¢ $858 -$127 10-22 19:39
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,000 $820 86¢ $857 +$37 10-09 15:59
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,000 $782 84¢ $835 +$54 10-19 09:19
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -845 -$823 97¢ $-821 +$2 09-13 21:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +750 $567 94¢ $705 +$138 10-22 16:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +750 $351 84¢ $626 +$275 10-23 15:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +850 $595 72¢ $616 +$21 10-24 03:35
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,930 $286 18¢ $542 +$256 10-26 21:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +800 $479 66¢ $532 +$53 10-01 19:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -550 -$495 95¢ $-523 -$28 08-20 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -495 -$442 88¢ $-438 +$4 09-11 13:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +525 $578 82¢ $428 -$150 10-13 19:08
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +500 $329 70¢ $353 +$24 10-27 06:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -375 -$349 94¢ $-351 -$2 09-07 08:30
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +500 $360 68¢ $340 -$20 09-22 15:54
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +500 $295 58¢ $290 -$5 10-24 07:02
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +500 $248 43¢ $215 -$33 09-11 13:39
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,500 $183 4¢ $184 +$1 10-23 09:59
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +173 $162 95¢ $165 +$2 10-15 06:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +250 -$134 63¢ $158 +$293 09-25 21:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -250 -$171 58¢ $-145 +$25 10-26 15:23
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,500 -$146 3¢ $114 +$260 10-25 13:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -350 -$126 26¢ $-93 +$33 09-11 16:14