Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$12
Trades
25
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$465
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-30 16:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
No active NO holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 07-30 16:09 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-16 09:28 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-16 09:28 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 14:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 16:09:33 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x832270… |
| 07-30 16:09:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x832270… |
| 07-16 09:28:07 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xee563c… |
| 07-16 09:28:07 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xee563c… |
| 07-16 09:23:13 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xbcac64… |
| 07-16 09:23:13 | Determined-Cannon 0x1e30…49ae | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xbcac64… |
| 07-15 16:58:04 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x5e5242… |
| 07-15 16:58:04 | Determined-Cannon 0x1e30…49ae | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x5e5242… |
| 07-15 14:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7f97e6… |
| 07-15 14:58:29 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7f97e6… |
| 07-15 14:58:29 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7f97e6… |
| 07-12 20:06:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc324e7… |
| 07-12 20:06:49 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc324e7… |
| 07-11 17:08:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x94e151… |
| 07-11 17:08:16 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x94e151… |
| 07-05 14:29:07 | (anonymous) 0x9f78…4afb | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xabb88e… |
| 07-05 14:29:07 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xabb88e… |
| 06-28 21:26:28 | Determined-Cannon 0x1e30…49ae | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfe535d… |
| 06-28 21:26:28 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xfe535d… |
| 06-24 17:25:04 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbe7ade… |
| 06-24 17:25:04 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbe7ade… |
| 06-19 00:18:31 | Ecstatic-Metal 0x6553…4d60 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb737ac… |
| 06-19 00:18:31 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb737ac… |
| 05-31 22:04:34 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2db6a0… |
| 05-31 22:04:34 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2db6a0… |