Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,047
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$205
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-26 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Crypto
87% 100% +$0
Other
8% 100% +$0
Politics
4% 100% +$0
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No -25 $-21 92¢ $-23 $-1 06-18 23:56
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -22 $-19 87¢ $-19 $-0 06-18 23:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -13 $-12 96¢ $-13 $-1 06-18 23:59
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -30 $-12 41¢ $-12 $-0 06-18 23:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -13 $-12 96¢ $-12 $-0 06-18 23:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-11 $-0 06-18 23:57
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 12:00
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-10 $-0 06-18 23:57
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -10 $-9 93¢ $-9 $-0 06-18 23:57
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 06-18 23:57
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -8 $-7 92¢ $-7 $-0 06-18 23:58
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 23:58
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -6 $-6 92¢ $-6 +$0 06-18 23:58
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-04 12:00
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 23:59
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 06-21 23:01
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -4 $-4 97¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 23:59
Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -4 $-4 98¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 23:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 $-0 06-19 00:00
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 23:57
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No -4 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 23:59
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -4 $-3 86¢ $-3 +$0 06-19 00:00
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-19 00:01
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 05-29 20:13
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -3 $-2 76¢ $-2 $-0 06-19 00:00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-21 23:00
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 $-0 06-15 21:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 05-29 20:07
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 05-28 16:23
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 05-28 16:26