Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,374
lifetime
Volume
$15.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$204
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-17 08:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Crypto
88% 100% +$0
Other
7% 100% +$0
Politics
3% 100% +$0
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No -25 $-21 92¢ $-23 $-1 06-18 23:56
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -22 $-19 88¢ $-20 $-1 06-18 23:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -13 $-12 97¢ $-13 $-1 06-18 23:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -13 $-12 96¢ $-12 $-0 06-18 23:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-11 $-1 06-18 23:57
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 12:00
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-10 $-0 06-18 23:57
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -30 $-12 32¢ $-10 +$2 06-18 23:56
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 +$0 06-18 23:57
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 97¢ $-8 $-0 06-18 23:57
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -8 $-7 84¢ $-6 +$0 06-18 23:58
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 23:58
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -6 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 23:58
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-04 12:00
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 23:59
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -4 $-4 98¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 23:59
Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 23:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 $-0 06-19 00:00
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 23:57
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No -4 $-4 92¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 23:59
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -3 $-3 93¢ $-3 $-0 07-08 10:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -4 $-3 86¢ $-3 +$0 06-19 00:00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -3 $-3 94¢ $-3 $-0 07-15 16:53
New pandemic in 2026? No -3 $-3 94¢ $-3 $-0 07-15 16:18
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-19 00:01
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 $-0 07-15 16:18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 07-15 16:21
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 +$0 07-15 16:19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -3 $-2 78¢ $-2 $-0 06-19 00:00
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 07-15 16:19