Determined-Cannon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

424

Trades

1,829

lifetime

Volume

$1.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-28 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

68% 22% -$80

Politics

14% 41% +$2

Sports

12% 20% -$19

Crypto

5% 23% +$7

Pop-Culture

1% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes		-5	$0	46¢	$-2	-$2	08-16 21:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?	23	$71	79	87	-9	No	+$5	05-17 20:31
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	23	$50	80	80	+0	Yes	$0	04-25 10:26
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?	7	$35	26	26	+0	No	+$13	05-01 18:33
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	14	$32	51	56	-5	Yes	+$2	08-27 00:53
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?	9	$29	28	27	+0	Yes	+$3	04-26 22:00
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-01?	11	$28	50	46	+3	Yes	+$10	05-01 21:01
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	14	$25	45	45	+0	No	$0	04-25 07:48
Will Once Caldas win on 2026-05-01?	10	$23	40	39	+1	Yes	-$1	05-02 00:44
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?	14	$22	37	36	+0	No	+$6	05-12 20:02
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	94	$20	882	663	+219	No	+$0	04-28 04:40
Will Bayer Leverkusen qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	3	$19	16	19	-3	No	+$15	04-25 01:51
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	6	$17	22	20	+2	No	+$2	04-24 13:02
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	8	$17	26	16	+10	Yes	+$3	04-25 00:56
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-19?	9	$17	22	21	+2	No	+$1	05-17 19:27
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	16	$15	63	57	+6	No	-$1	04-23 23:23
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays	5	$14	55	8	+47	No	-$7	04-25 19:19
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	4	$14	12	10	+2	No	+$1	05-12 20:53
Will Xavi Hernandez be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?	14	$14	81	59	+22	No	+$7	05-15 03:06
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	8	$14	40	27	+13	Yes	+$12	05-13 18:28
Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?	7	$13	54	12	+42	No	+$2	05-15 09:51
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	4	$13	15	13	+2	No	+$2	04-25 20:22
Will AC Milan qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	5	$12	28	28	+0	Yes	+$11	05-24 20:35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by April 30, 2026?	12	$12	42	45	-4	No	+$0	04-28 09:44
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	4	$12	14	14	+0	No	+$1	04-25 20:00
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?	4	$12	14	14	+0	No	+$0	04-26 07:46
Will Thespa Gunma win on 2026-05-06?	4	$12	26	12	+14	Yes	+$6	05-06 06:54
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	9	$11	28	27	+0	No	+$2	04-27 13:20
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?	5	$11	15	14	+2	Yes	+$1	05-02 16:00
NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Lightning Total Games O/U 5.5	12	$10	44	18	+26	Over 5.5	-$2	04-27 07:20
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	36	$10	275	149	+127	No	-$2	04-27 03:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:52:25	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x68d4ec…
10-17 17:58:29	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x8a2377…
10-17 17:03:32	Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0xce6bf8…
10-15 15:53:20	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x8f56a3…
10-15 06:56:32	Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x325326…
10-11 14:00:40	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x31f66f…
10-10 01:41:22	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x9ded83…
10-09 08:30:55	Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x375b53…
10-09 07:15:51	Will Matt Gaetz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xa97a85…
10-04 16:10:59	Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x692de0…
09-30 20:17:08	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x86a335…
09-28 22:22:08	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x3828d4…
09-28 22:22:06	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x3912b9…
09-22 23:13:43	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x650c85…
09-19 20:18:06	Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x6d1b26…
09-19 16:25:23	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x6df78e…
09-16 16:02:50	Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$1	0x503dda…
09-15 16:53:33	Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x23e70b…
09-10 14:50:51	Will Matt Gaetz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf906c0…
09-10 14:50:51	Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x2e3b18…
09-05 01:08:55	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x01e990…
09-04 02:46:51	Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x3efc68…
09-03 19:50:42	Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x2b3b50…
08-31 17:58:52	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xfdd6c7…
08-31 17:58:51	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x3b0491…
08-31 12:57:16	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x099b36…
08-30 15:32:18	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xdf4665…
08-30 06:34:09	Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2c7339…
08-27 00:53:42	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xc24670…
08-26 22:37:24	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x849cfc…
08-26 22:32:24	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x54455b…
08-26 22:31:40	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x1af1b6…
08-26 22:31:10	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x6d5fd4…
08-26 22:31:10	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x560000…
08-26 22:15:49	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xc91a34…
08-26 22:11:51	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7339e3…
08-26 09:51:00	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x912aee…
08-25 08:07:27	Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x77240e…
08-24 22:10:45	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x69f863…
08-24 14:13:52	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x557f14…
08-24 07:27:16	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x8d8ad0…
08-24 05:16:46	Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x155944…
08-24 05:10:33	Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xb0b4f8…
08-24 03:59:24	Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x8c558b…
08-24 03:55:22	Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xbcae12…
08-23 00:41:04	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe8f8c2…
08-23 00:41:04	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xcb63be…
08-22 23:59:55	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x1a3d20…
08-22 04:36:40	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xf1ea77…
08-21 15:00:09	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x6e6b3e…
08-21 10:36:16	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xdf2d29…
08-20 12:19:00	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xbfaf2d…
08-18 22:25:01	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x309d1a…
08-17 19:50:24	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xba9c60…
08-17 19:50:19	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x52ad3c…
08-17 19:50:19	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2e04e0…
08-17 06:34:13	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xfafc2f…
08-16 23:59:03	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x965185…
08-16 23:50:57	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x4a83c9…
08-16 23:42:57	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xaee335…
08-16 21:52:34	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0xd67f9f…
08-16 21:15:36	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x545753…
08-16 15:50:03	Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdcbc96…
08-16 07:18:52	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x95fad0…
08-16 01:15:52	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x41faa5…
08-16 01:14:06	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x799451…
08-15 19:43:40	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x164a84…
08-13 07:47:39	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xe1ad5f…
08-13 03:58:00	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xa6c133…
08-10 17:46:12	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xe64236…
08-10 11:07:13	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xa832a2…
08-10 08:10:43	Will 5 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x8dcd82…
08-08 16:27:34	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xd25525…
08-07 15:22:07	Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7932f8…
08-07 12:48:16	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xef6719…
08-07 02:47:04	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xab02c1…
08-07 02:43:01	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xcfdc7d…
08-07 02:38:43	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x102125…
08-07 02:38:18	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xc85aea…
08-07 01:23:12	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x0f45ee…
08-07 00:29:02	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x76d612…
08-06 16:25:39	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xa6f685…
08-06 14:24:42	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x041445…
08-06 12:41:35	Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xb677e2…
08-06 12:41:18	Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x6ec2cc…
08-06 11:28:47	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x545078…
08-06 11:21:39	Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xbaf915…
08-05 22:03:47	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xc36f7d…
08-05 19:51:20	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x4eb245…
08-05 19:51:06	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd20aaa…
08-05 19:44:57	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x15d1cb…
08-05 19:40:59	Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x1bb96e…
07-16 09:23:13	Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xbcac64…
07-15 16:58:04	Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x5e5242…
07-10 01:21:53	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x99780d…
07-10 01:16:28	Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x8bc6ff…
07-10 01:16:02	Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3f753e…
07-08 23:09:05	Will Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x9e3306…
07-08 22:48:07	Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0f8942…
07-08 22:44:04	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfb0c1e…