Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$848
Trades
49
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$12,418
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-28 21:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $14 | $136 | $122 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $269 | $269 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $3 | $6 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $101 | $101 |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | $199 | $195 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $8 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $10 | $102 | $92 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +63 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 06-09 09:03 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 06-28 21:11 |
| Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-28 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +26 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-09 09:04 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 23:04 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 09:04 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 23:02 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $17 | $35 | 3 | 06-28 21:11 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +6 | $5 | $14 | 2 | 05-29 08:17 |
| Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 08:17 |
| Soulful-Solitaire 0x5d10…b5e7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 4 | 06-21 16:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 16:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 21:11:49 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xb86a7c… |
| 06-28 21:11:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xb86a7c… |
| 06-21 16:45:04 | (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3c8f7d… |
| 06-21 16:45:04 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3c8f7d… |
| 06-16 23:04:44 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc8ef44… |
| 06-16 23:04:44 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc8ef44… |
| 06-16 23:02:49 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0983eb… |
| 06-16 23:02:49 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0983eb… |
| 06-16 23:02:44 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd8c909… |
| 06-16 23:02:44 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd8c909… |
| 06-16 23:02:44 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0xd8c909… |
| 06-09 09:04:48 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xec86ab… |
| 06-09 09:04:48 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xec86ab… |
| 06-09 09:04:48 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xec86ab… |
| 06-09 09:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x421d94… |
| 06-09 09:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 54 | 90¢ | $48 | 0x421d94… |
| 06-09 09:03:33 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 65 | 90¢ | $58 | 0x421d94… |
| 06-09 09:03:13 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x53b39e… |
| 06-09 09:03:13 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x53b39e… |
| 06-09 09:03:13 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 65 | 90¢ | $58 | 0x53b39e… |
| 06-09 07:46:55 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa24483… |
| 06-09 07:46:55 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xa24483… |
| 06-07 09:43:45 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xca2fb9… |
| 06-07 09:43:45 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xca2fb9… |
| 06-06 12:50:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6b3b7d… |
| 06-06 12:50:13 | Soulful-Solitaire 0x5d10…b5e7 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x6b3b7d… |
| 06-06 08:10:54 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xaf24b9… |
| 06-06 08:10:54 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xaf24b9… |
| 06-05 08:10:48 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x9758b1… |
| 06-05 08:10:48 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x9758b1… |
| 06-05 08:10:48 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x9758b1… |
| 06-05 08:10:03 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x79da32… |
| 06-05 08:10:03 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x79da32… |
| 06-05 08:09:18 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $26 | 0xa7c571… |
| 06-05 08:09:18 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $26 | 0xa7c571… |
| 06-05 08:08:28 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $26 | 0xd8fc51… |
| 06-05 08:08:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $26 | 0xd8fc51… |
| 06-03 05:04:41 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x92fd93… |
| 06-03 05:04:41 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x92fd93… |
| 05-29 08:17:50 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x5206b6… |
| 05-29 08:17:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5206b6… |
| 05-29 08:17:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x5206b6… |
| 05-28 20:45:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x458227… |
| 05-28 20:45:27 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 124 | 90¢ | $111 | 0x458227… |
| 05-28 20:45:27 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x458227… |
| 05-28 20:45:27 | Frequent-Billing 0xc86b…675c | Yes | SELL | 58 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x458227… |
| 05-28 20:45:27 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 35 | 90¢ | $32 | 0x458227… |
| 05-28 07:53:17 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0x4a07df… |
| 05-28 07:53:17 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0x4a07df… |