Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,340
Trades
89
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$12,418
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-15 16:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $6 | $10 | $4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $46 | $137 | $91 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $6 | $643 | $637 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $20 | $26 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $475 | $475 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 9 | $46 | $219 | $173 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $8 | $8 | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $10 | $102 | $92 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $6 | $10 | $4 |
| unranked | 4 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +450 | $419 | $419 | 3 | 07-10 17:50 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | +298 | $18 | $18 | 10 | 07-13 21:00 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +92 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-10 17:50 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +77 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-11 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +63 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 06-09 09:03 |
| Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-28 20:45 |
| Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-09 09:58 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 23:04 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $17 | $35 | 3 | 06-28 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $6 | 6 | 07-15 16:21 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +6 | $5 | $14 | 2 | 05-29 08:17 |
| Somber-Sale 0x25c4…4b12 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 08:27 |
| Soulful-Solitaire 0x5d10…b5e7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 16:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 16:21:04 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x3737f0… |
| 07-15 16:21:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3737f0… |
| 07-14 05:24:32 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe491c6… |
| 07-14 05:24:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe491c6… |
| 07-13 21:00:19 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xbc24a6… |
| 07-13 21:00:19 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xbc24a6… |
| 07-13 08:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xbe91bf… |
| 07-13 08:15:08 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xbe91bf… |
| 07-11 05:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1e0d09… |
| 07-11 05:44:16 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x1e0d09… |
| 07-11 05:44:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1e0d09… |
| 07-10 18:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x951a94… |
| 07-10 18:32:43 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x951a94… |
| 07-10 17:50:41 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7171d6… |
| 07-10 17:50:41 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7171d6… |
| 07-10 17:50:41 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x7171d6… |
| 07-10 17:50:41 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 182 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x7171d6… |
| 07-10 17:50:40 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x18667a… |
| 07-10 17:50:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 109 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x18667a… |
| 07-10 17:50:40 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe8fa27… |
| 07-10 17:50:40 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x18667a… |
| 07-10 17:50:40 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe8fa27… |
| 07-10 17:50:40 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x18667a… |
| 07-10 17:50:38 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 41 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x6be7e1… |
| 07-10 17:50:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 291 | 6¢ | $19 | 0x6be7e1… |
| 07-10 17:50:38 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 68 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x6be7e1… |
| 07-10 17:50:38 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 400 | 94¢ | $374 | 0x6be7e1… |
| 07-09 09:58:52 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x66faae… |
| 07-09 09:58:52 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0x66faae… |
| 07-08 08:27:14 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8caeef… |
| 07-08 08:27:14 | Somber-Sale 0x25c4…4b12 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x8caeef… |
| 07-06 09:23:56 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb59be2… |
| 07-06 09:23:56 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb59be2… |
| 07-05 00:10:53 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x97a17d… |
| 07-05 00:10:53 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x97a17d… |
| 07-05 00:10:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa4dd18… |
| 07-05 00:10:26 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa4dd18… |
| 07-05 00:10:26 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa4dd18… |
| 07-03 10:39:59 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x3b08a6… |
| 07-03 10:39:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x3b08a6… |
| 06-28 21:11:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xb86a7c… |
| 06-28 21:11:49 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xb86a7c… |
| 06-21 16:45:04 | (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3c8f7d… |
| 06-21 16:45:04 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3c8f7d… |
| 06-16 23:04:44 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc8ef44… |
| 06-16 23:04:44 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc8ef44… |
| 06-16 23:02:49 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0983eb… |
| 06-16 23:02:49 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0983eb… |
| 06-16 23:02:44 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd8c909… |
| 06-16 23:02:44 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd8c909… |
| 06-16 23:02:44 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0xd8c909… |
| 06-09 09:04:48 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xec86ab… |
| 06-09 09:04:48 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xec86ab… |
| 06-09 09:04:48 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xec86ab… |
| 06-09 09:03:33 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 65 | 90¢ | $58 | 0x421d94… |
| 06-09 09:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x421d94… |
| 06-09 09:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 54 | 90¢ | $48 | 0x421d94… |
| 06-09 09:03:13 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 65 | 90¢ | $58 | 0x53b39e… |
| 06-09 09:03:13 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x53b39e… |
| 06-09 09:03:13 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x53b39e… |
| 06-09 07:46:55 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa24483… |
| 06-09 07:46:55 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xa24483… |
| 06-07 09:43:45 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xca2fb9… |
| 06-07 09:43:45 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xca2fb9… |
| 06-06 12:50:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6b3b7d… |
| 06-06 12:50:13 | Soulful-Solitaire 0x5d10…b5e7 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x6b3b7d… |
| 06-06 08:10:54 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xaf24b9… |
| 06-06 08:10:54 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xaf24b9… |
| 06-05 08:10:48 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x9758b1… |
| 06-05 08:10:48 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x9758b1… |
| 06-05 08:10:48 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x9758b1… |
| 06-05 08:10:03 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x79da32… |
| 06-05 08:10:03 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x79da32… |
| 06-05 08:09:18 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $26 | 0xa7c571… |
| 06-05 08:09:18 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $26 | 0xa7c571… |
| 06-05 08:08:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $26 | 0xd8fc51… |
| 06-05 08:08:28 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $26 | 0xd8fc51… |
| 06-03 05:04:41 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x92fd93… |
| 06-03 05:04:41 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x92fd93… |
| 05-29 08:17:50 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x5206b6… |
| 05-29 08:17:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5206b6… |
| 05-29 08:17:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x5206b6… |
| 05-28 20:45:27 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 35 | 90¢ | $32 | 0x458227… |
| 05-28 20:45:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x458227… |
| 05-28 20:45:27 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x458227… |
| 05-28 20:45:27 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 124 | 90¢ | $111 | 0x458227… |
| 05-28 20:45:27 | Frequent-Billing 0xc86b…675c | Yes | SELL | 58 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x458227… |
| 05-28 07:53:17 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0x4a07df… |
| 05-28 07:53:17 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0x4a07df… |