Wide-Eyed-Dark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

11,185

lifetime

Volume

$908.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-10 11:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-171

Politics

38% 0% $-961

Sports

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 299 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	9	$24.0K	18,462	6,216	+12,247	open	—	03-16 17:05
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$21.5K	11,057	11,166	-108	open	—	02-01 16:55
netanyahu out by march 31 854	5	$18.2K	18,384	0	+18,384	open	—	03-28 12:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$11.4K	6,159	6,159	+0	open	—	04-07 23:30
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	120	$9.9K	9,027	9,709	-682	open	—	08-07 18:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	32	$9.6K	6,009	6,409	-400	open	—	06-14 20:51
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	95	$8.0K	8,133	8,133	+0	open	—	04-13 01:22
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	31	$7.7K	5,609	2,707	+2,902	open	—	04-11 23:33
ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	39	$7.6K	5,435	5,714	-278	open	—	06-22 19:23
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	51	$7.1K	10,111	10,111	+0	open	—	06-28 19:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	13	$6.6K	4,561	3,561	+1,000	Yes	$-960	05-08 18:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	128	$6.5K	8,094	8,094	+0	open	—	08-06 09:54
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	92	$6.3K	7,504	7,504	+0	open	—	07-15 17:45
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	51	$6.2K	6,233	6,233	+0	open	—	07-28 13:43
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	45	$5.8K	4,002	4,002	+0	open	—	07-28 07:16
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	119	$5.7K	5,627	5,627	+0	open	—	07-30 16:43
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	75	$5.7K	3,895	3,895	+0	open	—	07-10 00:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	19	$5.3K	3,098	3,098	+0	open	—	06-15 20:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	79	$5.3K	5,422	5,422	+0	open	—	04-13 07:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	21	$5.3K	13,871	13,871	+0	open	—	06-27 17:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	9	$5.3K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	04-12 17:41
Fed rate hike in 2026?	24	$5.2K	5,023	5,023	+0	open	—	07-30 03:51
will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	18	$5.0K	5,103	35	+5,068	open	—	04-11 13:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	92	$5.0K	3,382	3,190	+192	open	—	06-25 17:19
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	53	$5.0K	4,050	4,050	+0	open	—	06-25 21:21
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	70	$5.0K	6,697	5,951	+746	open	—	07-13 18:36
will micron q3 dram revenue be above 26b	115	$4.8K	3,474	3,474	+0	open	—	06-19 23:21
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	60	$4.6K	4,533	4,322	+211	open	—	07-24 20:13
abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	49	$4.6K	2,602	2,602	+0	open	—	06-20 14:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	34	$4.5K	3,804	4,396	-592	open	—	06-24 00:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:16:09	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x654ebb…
08-10 14:08:09	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xe73afb…
08-10 14:08:06	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xeebb9b…
08-10 14:08:06	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xeb9238…
08-10 14:07:58	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x61cd1b…
08-10 14:02:49	will russia capture orikhiv by september 30 2026	No	SELL	67	93¢	$62	0x78bb0a…
08-10 14:01:01	will russia capture orikhiv by september 30 2026	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x47f8e4…
08-10 13:54:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	330	78¢	$257	0xce00c0…
08-10 13:54:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	3¢	$3	0x7f4fa4…
08-10 13:54:01	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0xe078b7…
08-10 13:50:49	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146	No	SELL	45	80¢	$36	0xf3b381…
08-10 13:49:36	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146	No	SELL	53	80¢	$43	0x932816…
08-10 13:49:31	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146	No	BUY	69	82¢	$57	0x28d9d8…
08-10 11:40:10	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x84cbfb…
08-10 11:40:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x9a987f…
08-10 10:51:34	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x01c549…
08-10 09:36:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	310	96¢	$299	0x3945db…
08-10 09:34:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x373080…
08-10 04:11:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	201	3¢	$6	0x593a16…
08-10 04:11:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	201	4¢	$8	0xc90af2…
08-10 01:37:37	iran leadership change by november 30	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xe079e0…
08-10 01:36:19	iran leadership change by november 30	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xe59321…
08-10 00:42:52	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	330	9¢	$30	0xbd4b1d…
08-09 18:15:54	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	BUY	312	29¢	$91	0xce8ef3…
08-09 17:58:39	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	92	10¢	$9	0xca4907…
08-09 17:58:36	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x6471b2…
08-09 17:09:18	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0x150ef6…
08-09 17:09:13	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x3e78c2…
08-09 17:06:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	204	9¢	$18	0x7c8f3e…
08-09 17:04:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	204	9¢	$18	0x3bc91e…
08-09 16:29:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	330	3¢	$10	0x097816…
08-09 16:29:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	330	3¢	$11	0xaba6e1…
08-09 16:01:42	Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?	Avengers: Doomsday	BUY	37	93¢	$34	0xfc8270…
08-09 15:14:13	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x45dd28…
08-09 15:14:10	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$1	0x22c9e5…
08-09 12:28:55	will jon stewart announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241628	No	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x2da81a…
08-09 12:03:25	will andurils valuation hit low 65b by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x2450fe…
08-09 12:02:21	will andurils valuation hit low 65b by december 31	Yes	BUY	279	13¢	$36	0xf394ed…
08-09 11:51:31	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0xd901c8…
08-09 11:48:55	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x259bd7…
08-09 11:36:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	316	94¢	$297	0xc9f169…
08-09 11:34:07	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0xdb925d…
08-09 11:06:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	99	84¢	$84	0xe533f4…
08-09 11:04:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	231	85¢	$196	0x353a77…
08-09 11:04:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	231	86¢	$198	0xfecfba…
08-09 11:04:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	99	86¢	$86	0x608e4b…
08-09 10:43:25	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	223	2¢	$5	0x5e16c9…
08-09 10:41:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	223	2¢	$5	0x0680b1…
08-09 07:54:54	iran leadership change by august 22	No	SELL	518	95¢	$492	0x1c084f…
08-09 07:52:30	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xa7e200…
08-09 05:08:15	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	SELL	330	3¢	$9	0x21088e…
08-09 05:08:12	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	BUY	330	3¢	$10	0x659f3b…
08-09 04:24:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	330	20¢	$66	0x3b12b8…
08-09 04:24:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	330	21¢	$69	0x6dce34…
08-09 02:19:04	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	307	97¢	$298	0xced919…
08-09 02:19:01	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	307	98¢	$300	0x39248f…
08-09 01:35:36	will ukraine re enter huliaipole by october 31 2026 20260805160946469	No	SELL	44	87¢	$38	0x9539fa…
08-09 01:28:13	will ukraine re enter huliaipole by october 31 2026 20260805160946469	No	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0xcce92e…
08-09 00:49:25	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	521	92¢	$482	0xe0427d…
08-09 00:46:54	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	214	94¢	$200	0xd6379c…
08-08 23:36:03	will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31	Yes	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0xdb6189…
08-08 23:09:34	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	330	14¢	$46	0x3687b3…
08-08 23:06:54	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	330	15¢	$50	0xf02932…
08-08 22:57:15	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	191	3¢	$6	0x4aabf3…
08-08 22:56:16	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	136	3¢	$4	0x0f3f71…
08-08 22:28:43	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xebdc4f…
08-08 22:28:01	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xfcc682…
08-08 22:27:54	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	330	3¢	$10	0xe207d6…
08-08 21:39:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x0c3eec…
08-08 21:39:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x9dd70f…
08-08 21:21:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	220	26¢	$57	0xfe3cb2…
08-08 21:21:33	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	440	11¢	$48	0xcc2a4a…
08-08 21:20:49	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	54	46¢	$25	0xed1b0c…
08-08 21:20:40	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	SELL	530	4¢	$22	0xbaa482…
08-08 21:20:37	Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x420300…
08-08 21:20:06	us evacuates beirut embassy by december 31	Yes	SELL	244	4¢	$11	0xfebc7a…
08-08 21:19:54	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	5¢	$11	0xc14e25…
08-08 21:19:45	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$6	0x3727ca…
08-08 21:19:34	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	Yes	SELL	213	3¢	$7	0xf8d9aa…
08-08 21:19:24	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	2¢	$3	0x29ef26…
08-08 21:19:18	will databricks valuation hit low 135b by december 31	Yes	SELL	233	1¢	$3	0x91e1be…
08-08 21:19:15	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	92	4¢	$4	0x48a21d…
08-08 21:19:12	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	3¢	$4	0xaa4d83…
08-08 21:19:03	will matt schultz advance from the ak al primary election	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x9d9d20…
08-08 21:18:42	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xdff491…
08-08 21:18:15	Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9fecca…
08-08 20:53:36	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x4efbc5…
08-08 20:53:36	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	SELL	150	11¢	$17	0x0dcc32…
08-08 20:43:16	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	65	7¢	$5	0xaef1d1…
08-08 19:33:18	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	SELL	317	94¢	$299	0xaec741…
08-08 19:31:51	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	317	95¢	$300	0xc6fb7f…
08-08 19:26:24	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	84¢	$51	0x9dd14e…
08-08 19:03:45	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	724	75¢	$543	0x4ac9fe…
08-08 17:08:52	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xd72f31…
08-08 17:06:43	will perplexitys valuation hit high 40b by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x6369de…
08-08 16:48:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	330	90¢	$297	0xab0de6…
08-08 16:48:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xde8cf6…
08-08 16:29:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0xacf1cf…
08-08 16:27:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	21¢	$84	0x15a246…
08-08 15:42:10	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	70	75¢	$52	0xce963b…