Realized P&L
-$1.13K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.32K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
5,602
lifetime
Volume
$530.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$20.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 06-30 06:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
46% 0% $-171
Politics
45% 0% $-961
Sports
5%
Tech
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 299 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -2,000 $-1,904 100¢ $-1998 $-94 06-14 20:51
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No -1,975 $-1,860 99¢ $-1958 $-98 06-20 12:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -1,630 $-1,158 96¢ $-1558 $-400 06-24 08:10
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No -1,238 $-1,066 88¢ $-1094 $-28 06-19 13:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1,200 $-1,064 86¢ $-1038 +$26 06-27 19:50
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -1,036 $-947 99¢ $-1024 $-77 06-24 11:17
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -851 $-779 99¢ $-846 $-67 06-24 12:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -725 $-649 100¢ $-723 $-75 06-16 00:08
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -732 $-653 93¢ $-681 $-27 06-09 13:57
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -739 $-649 92¢ $-677 $-28 06-22 21:55
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -644 $-566 92¢ $-596 $-30 06-09 13:30
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No -603 $-559 94¢ $-567 $-8 06-01 06:19
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +588 $544 94¢ $550 +$6 06-15 18:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -643 $-481 84¢ $-537 $-55 06-16 00:07
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -555 $-499 96¢ $-531 $-32 06-30 08:20
Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -506 $-464 98¢ $-494 $-30 06-29 23:27
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -486 $-446 98¢ $-475 $-29 06-29 23:32
Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -507 $-454 94¢ $-474 $-20 06-29 23:18
Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -502 $-449 94¢ $-471 $-22 06-30 05:17
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -432 $-390 96¢ $-412 $-23 06-29 23:53
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No -482 $-391 86¢ $-412 $-21 06-19 14:14
Will Adele perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -414 $-386 96¢ $-400 $-14 06-29 23:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -400 $-387 100¢ $-399 $-12 06-23 23:58
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -400 $-363 99¢ $-395 $-31 06-23 17:59
Will Jennifer Lopez perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -419 $-378 94¢ $-392 $-15 06-29 14:38
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? No -400 $-386 97¢ $-388 $-2 06-21 14:53
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -400 $-369 96¢ $-384 $-15 06-22 06:53
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No -371 $-284 98¢ $-362 $-78 06-11 19:52
Will Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -372 $-338 95¢ $-353 $-15 06-29 23:45
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No -348 $-337 100¢ $-346 $-10 06-10 16:31