Realized P&L
-$1.13K
Unrealized P&L
-$141
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,092
lifetime
Volume
$278.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$6.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 06-10 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
56% 0% $-961
Other
35% 0% $-171
Sports
5%
Tech
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -800 $-753 97¢ $-776 $-23 06-07 20:13
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -732 $-653 93¢ $-683 $-30 06-09 13:57
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No -656 $-620 96¢ $-629 $-10 06-01 13:49
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -644 $-566 92¢ $-596 $-30 06-09 13:30
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No -603 $-559 91¢ $-552 +$7 06-01 06:19
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No -472 $-410 87¢ $-411 $-1 05-29 02:33
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -303 $-287 95¢ $-287 $-0 06-08 20:43
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes -250 $-234 99¢ $-246 $-12 06-07 16:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -295 $-234 78¢ $-230 +$4 06-09 00:38
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -233 $-217 98¢ $-228 $-11 06-08 08:22
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -236 $-210 92¢ $-216 $-6 05-28 15:23
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -250 $-207 86¢ $-214 $-8 06-07 17:38
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -236 $-213 90¢ $-213 +$0 06-09 20:37
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No -205 $-199 99¢ $-203 $-4 05-29 16:06
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +195 $170 90¢ $177 +$7 05-31 18:37
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No -215 $-140 78¢ $-168 $-28 06-09 11:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes -703 $-138 22¢ $-154 $-16 06-09 08:18
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes -404 $-192 36¢ $-147 +$44 05-29 21:02
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? No -152 $-126 87¢ $-133 $-7 06-09 21:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -682 $-142 18¢ $-123 +$19 06-09 08:11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -135 $-84 64¢ $-86 $-2 06-08 13:29
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +165 $81 50¢ $83 +$3 06-09 21:58
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -99 $-75 76¢ $-75 $-0 06-08 09:17
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No -52 $-47 95¢ $-49 $-2 05-31 05:16
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -54 $-46 84¢ $-46 $-0 06-07 09:57
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +56 $52 82¢ $46 $-6 06-09 06:13
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes -827 $-28 $-45 $-17 05-28 20:35
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +68 $32 43¢ $29 $-3 06-07 20:24
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? No +31 $30 92¢ $29 $-1 06-02 05:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -36 $-16 72¢ $-26 $-10 06-04 18:41