Realized P&L
-$1.13K
Unrealized P&L
-$955
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
8,595
lifetime
Volume
$738.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$15.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 07-20 23:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
53% 0% $-171
Politics
39% 0% $-961
Sports
5%
Tech
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 299 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,616 $-1,455 89¢ $-1432 +$23 07-20 18:25
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No -1,238 $-1,066 92¢ $-1134 $-68 06-19 13:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1,200 $-1,064 92¢ $-1098 $-34 06-27 19:50
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -739 $-649 96¢ $-707 $-57 07-12 22:17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -755 $-692 93¢ $-705 $-12 07-20 16:17
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -732 $-653 94¢ $-688 $-35 06-09 13:57
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No -691 $-571 92¢ $-636 $-64 07-16 00:05
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -644 $-566 94¢ $-609 $-43 06-09 13:30
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No -603 $-559 95¢ $-573 $-14 06-01 06:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -643 $-481 88¢ $-562 $-81 07-14 09:45
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +588 $544 94¢ $556 +$12 06-15 18:21
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -989 $-508 52¢ $-519 $-11 07-20 16:16
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No -482 $-391 92¢ $-446 $-55 06-19 14:14
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -476 $-399 89¢ $-423 $-24 07-06 09:38
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -727 $-414 57¢ $-414 $-1 07-13 18:36
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -930 $-141 43¢ $-400 $-258 07-04 16:41
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -400 $-369 97¢ $-387 $-18 06-22 06:53
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -410 $-379 94¢ $-386 $-7 07-20 14:07
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? No -400 $-386 95¢ $-380 +$6 06-21 14:53
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -435 $-310 84¢ $-364 $-54 07-07 11:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -562 $-330 62¢ $-351 $-21 07-19 22:08
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No -348 $-304 98¢ $-340 $-36 06-23 18:04
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No -327 $-292 100¢ $-327 $-35 06-22 21:56
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -373 $-262 86¢ $-323 $-60 06-11 17:59
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No -580 $-377 56¢ $-322 +$56 07-08 03:13
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -303 $-287 94¢ $-286 +$0 06-08 20:43
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes -404 $-188 60¢ $-244 $-56 07-15 18:29
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -914 $-272 26¢ $-238 +$34 07-07 18:45
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -232 $-217 97¢ $-225 $-8 07-14 09:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -474 $-194 48¢ $-225 $-31 07-07 17:01