Realized P&L (7d)
-$841
Unrealized P&L
-$2.01K
Hit rate
5.5%
Resolved (7d)
60
Trades (7d)
4,139
55,533 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$285.4K
$3.23M lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$5.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-29 13:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
54% 6% -$15,735
Politics
38% 9% -$14,037
Tech
3% 8% -$453
Sports
2% 8% -$60
Crypto
2% 6% -$114
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5627 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +623 $609 100¢ $621 +$12 10-19 18:39
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? No +610 $574 77¢ $468 -$106 10-29 14:21
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +660 $509 67¢ $442 -$66 10-25 19:42
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +660 $411 52¢ $346 -$65 10-28 19:06
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +590 $378 57¢ $339 -$38 10-28 13:36
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +385 $310 79¢ $304 -$6 10-28 13:41
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +660 $240 33¢ $218 -$22 10-27 11:55
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +1,070 $1,004 19¢ $202 -$802 09-30 20:09
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +210 $213 94¢ $198 -$15 10-28 10:06
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No -195 -$132 97¢ $-190 -$58 06-26 12:00
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +265 $223 70¢ $184 -$39 10-11 07:49
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +208 $194 88¢ $184 -$10 10-29 14:57
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +990 $195 16¢ $163 -$32 10-28 09:32
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -156 -$123 97¢ $-151 -$28 07-24 08:10
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +565 $187 23¢ $132 -$56 10-28 08:58
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +159 $143 82¢ $130 -$14 07-16 23:36
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +130 $123 93¢ $120 -$3 10-28 08:57
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +152 $136 70¢ $106 -$30 10-06 14:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +660 $167 14¢ $89 -$78 10-27 18:05
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +140 $86 56¢ $79 -$7 10-28 17:57
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +660 $106 9¢ $58 -$48 10-28 22:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +742 $131 8¢ $56 -$75 10-29 14:23
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +660 $115 6¢ $43 -$73 10-27 06:40
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +481 $56 8¢ $41 -$15 10-28 10:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -36 $18 99¢ $-36 -$54 10-23 13:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +440 $81 7¢ $30 -$51 10-29 02:08
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +159 $201 18¢ $29 -$172 10-14 19:58
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? Yes +210 $58 13¢ $27 -$31 10-28 11:54
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +35 $24 57¢ $20 -$4 10-28 13:36
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +117 $42 17¢ $20 -$22 10-28 02:37