Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
open
Total volume
$10,758
$12 in 24h
Trades
571
Unique wallets
136
Liquidity
$5,186
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-01 14:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.4¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $687
vs crowd: 16% YES on $5.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $166 | $1.5K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $188 | $2.3K | $2.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 41 | $393 | $1.0K | $611 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $228 | $198 | +$29 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $7 | $681 | $674 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $114 | $148 | $35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $18 | $251 | $233 |
| Median | 11 | $13 | $40 | $27 |
| Below median | 26 | $49 | $289 | $241 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $25 | $111 | $86 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $128 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $58 | $536 | $478 |
| unranked | 47 | $563 | $591 | $28 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | +1,305 | $1,122 | $2,617 | 13 | 08-01 14:25 |
| Exemplary-Citizen 0x0b30…54f9 | Yes | +1,000 | $110 | $110 | 5 | 07-04 10:10 |
| Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | Yes | +720 | $56 | $56 | 5 | 07-20 07:45 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | No | +500 | $460 | $460 | 2 | 07-23 06:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +295 | $277 | $581 | 10 | 07-31 14:35 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +254 | $236 | $236 | 1 | 06-22 04:34 |
| Kooky-Dogwood 0x0eee…5b68 | No | +228 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 07-10 10:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x26fb…800e | Yes | +206 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-01 07:00 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +193 | $25 | $34 | 4 | 07-31 14:35 |
| Bleak-Full 0x6d9f…9790 | No | +153 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-25 06:35 |
| Unwritten-Hybridization 0xdf59…deb0 | No | +135 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 06-24 08:46 |
| Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-08 15:03 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 07-20 17:44 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +83 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 08-01 14:25 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +80 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 05-30 20:17 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +60 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-20 22:44 |
| Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | +50 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-31 06:06 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +45 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-25 21:30 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +43 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 08-01 14:25 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +41 | $6 | $15 | 8 | 07-31 06:06 |
| Faraway-Hardcover 0x8c57…f939 | No | +35 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-10 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-31 06:06 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +23 | $25 | $172 | 10 | 07-31 06:06 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +21 | $3 | $26 | 17 | 07-31 06:20 |
| Delirious-Agenda 0xf4c9…c7e4 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-13 16:33 |
| Delirious-Agenda 0xf4c9…c7e4 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-10 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xbced…84e9 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 09:20 |
| Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-25 15:51 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-25 21:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9161…fb65 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-07 22:01 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +10 | $-4 | $26 | 15 | 07-31 06:06 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +10 | $-2 | $29 | 9 | 07-31 06:06 |
| Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-13 13:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-25 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c66…80c4 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7f4…1e31 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-03 10:01 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-20 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $12 | 2 | 07-19 00:20 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +3 | $3 | $11 | 2 | 05-30 22:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bc4…1162 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $5 | 3 | 06-23 06:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:25:38 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 114 | 93¢ | $106 | 0xcd7227… |
| 08-01 14:25:38 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 166 | 7¢ | $12 | 0xcd7227… |
| 08-01 14:25:38 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 36 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xcd7227… |
| 08-01 14:25:38 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcd7227… |
| 07-31 22:30:33 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x65524a… |
| 07-31 22:30:33 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x65524a… |
| 07-31 17:40:33 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x55e313… |
| 07-31 17:40:33 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x55e313… |
| 07-31 17:20:56 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x37f0bc… |
| 07-31 17:20:56 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x37f0bc… |
| 07-31 17:20:26 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0x1692a5… |
| 07-31 17:20:26 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x1692a5… |
| 07-31 17:20:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1692a5… |
| 07-31 15:37:24 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x471a55… |
| 07-31 15:37:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x471a55… |
| 07-31 15:37:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 22 | 93¢ | $21 | 0x471a55… |
| 07-31 15:33:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x22dc4f… |
| 07-31 15:33:53 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0x22dc4f… |
| 07-31 15:33:53 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x22dc4f… |
| 07-31 14:35:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xacd522… |
| 07-31 14:35:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 102 | 91¢ | $93 | 0xacd522… |
| 07-31 14:35:06 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 129 | 91¢ | $118 | 0xacd522… |
| 07-31 08:04:20 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x7e7798… |
| 07-31 08:04:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 91 | 91¢ | $83 | 0x7e7798… |
| 07-31 08:04:20 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 101 | 91¢ | $92 | 0x7e7798… |
| 07-31 07:54:17 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x824b88… |
| 07-31 07:54:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x824b88… |
| 07-31 07:29:20 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7fce80… |
| 07-31 07:29:20 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7fce80… |
| 07-31 07:29:20 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 29 | 91¢ | $26 | 0x7fce80… |
| 07-31 07:17:23 | (anonymous) 0x70df…d56b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x018ca8… |
| 07-31 07:17:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x018ca8… |
| 07-31 06:20:41 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xecd2d1… |
| 07-31 06:20:41 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xecd2d1… |
| 07-31 06:20:27 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x6f8eaf… |
| 07-31 06:20:27 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6f8eaf… |
| 07-31 06:20:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x6f8eaf… |
| 07-31 06:20:27 | (anonymous) 0x70df…d56b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6f8eaf… |
| 07-31 06:20:27 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | SELL | 60 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x6f8eaf… |
| 07-31 06:20:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6f8eaf… |
| 07-31 06:10:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x28148a… |
| 07-31 06:10:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x28148a… |
| 07-31 06:08:44 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x303813… |
| 07-31 06:08:44 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x303813… |
| 07-31 06:08:44 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x303813… |
| 07-31 06:06:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa7586b… |
| 07-31 06:06:38 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa7586b… |
| 07-31 06:06:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x7c9453… |
| 07-31 06:06:33 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x7c9453… |
| 07-31 06:06:29 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xdd323f… |
| 07-31 06:06:29 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xdd323f… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 13¢ | $16 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 12¢ | $13 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 804 | 87¢ | $700 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 79 | 87¢ | $68 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-31 06:06:24 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x11e2d0… |
| 07-30 22:43:05 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb94ed3… |
| 07-30 22:43:05 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xb94ed3… |
| 07-30 22:40:54 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x42a45e… |
| 07-30 22:40:54 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x42a45e… |
| 07-28 11:14:50 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xef776c… |
| 07-28 11:14:50 | Large-Prefix 0xab47…be54 | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xef776c… |
| 07-25 23:30:09 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x6a34a6… |
| 07-25 23:30:09 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x6a34a6… |
| 07-25 23:30:09 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6a34a6… |
| 07-25 23:30:06 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | SELL | 24 | 88¢ | $21 | 0xa1f576… |
| 07-25 23:30:06 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xa1f576… |
| 07-25 23:30:06 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xa1f576… |
| 07-25 23:27:40 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 133 | 12¢ | $16 | 0xe290fe… |
| 07-25 23:27:40 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xe290fe… |
| 07-25 23:27:40 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | BUY | 24 | 88¢ | $21 | 0xe290fe… |
| 07-25 23:27:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xe290fe… |
| 07-25 23:27:40 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | SELL | 187 | 88¢ | $165 | 0xe290fe… |
| 07-23 06:40:19 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x25f670… |
| 07-23 06:40:19 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x25f670… |
| 07-23 06:40:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x25f670… |
| 07-23 06:40:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf3e5db… |
| 07-23 06:40:12 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf3e5db… |
| 07-23 06:40:12 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xf3e5db… |
| 07-23 06:40:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x2aa41d… |
| 07-23 06:40:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x2aa41d… |
| 07-23 06:34:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x9e4f4f… |
| 07-23 06:34:54 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x9e4f4f… |
| 07-23 06:34:49 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | No | BUY | 126 | 92¢ | $116 | 0x3d10fc… |
| 07-23 06:34:49 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x3d10fc… |
| 07-23 06:34:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x3d10fc… |
| 07-23 06:34:49 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 332 | 92¢ | $306 | 0x3d10fc… |
| 07-23 06:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x3d10fc… |
| 07-23 06:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x3d10fc… |
| 07-23 06:34:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x3d10fc… |