Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
6,598
lifetime
Volume
$27.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$142
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 07-04 06:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
98%
Other
1% 100% +$1
Politics
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 776 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No -96 $-79 85¢ $-82 $-2 07-01 20:01
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Up -26 $-19 82¢ $-21 $-3 06-27 07:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -87 $-27 24¢ $-20 +$7 06-27 07:31
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-27 07:31
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -17 $-5 30¢ $-5 $-1 06-27 07:31
Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027? No -3 $-3 94¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 08:05
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-2 12¢ $-2 +$0 06-27 07:31
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes -7 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-27 07:38
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-27 07:31
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 14¢ $-1 +$1 06-29 16:40
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? Yes -22 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-28 01:06