Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$217
Trades
42
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$59
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-06-01
last 08-10 03:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $104 | $104 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $22 | $21 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $6 | $18 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $103 | $102 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 8 | $2 | $40 | $38 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +79 | $75 | $131 | 8 | 08-08 22:05 |
| Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | +73 | $4 | $6 | 8 | 08-10 03:08 |
| Fussy-Plywood 0xfd45…6e52 | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 08-10 03:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8564…0306 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x3187…2ec4 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-04 18:32 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-08 22:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 03:08:43 | Fussy-Plywood 0xfd45…6e52 | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xf890d1… |
| 08-10 03:08:43 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf890d1… |
| 08-08 22:05:58 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf786e4… |
| 08-08 22:05:58 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf786e4… |
| 08-08 06:55:16 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0x95a350… |
| 08-08 06:55:16 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x95a350… |
| 08-07 15:03:25 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xe49fc3… |
| 08-07 15:03:25 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 41 | 95¢ | $39 | 0xe49fc3… |
| 08-02 15:23:05 | (anonymous) 0x8564…0306 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9be70d… |
| 08-02 15:23:05 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9be70d… |
| 08-02 15:23:05 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x9be70d… |
| 07-19 15:17:57 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x7f2f2c… |
| 07-19 15:17:57 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x7f2f2c… |
| 07-04 18:32:46 | Ill-Variant 0xb9ad…4400 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x2d2fd1… |
| 07-04 18:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x3187…2ec4 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x2d2fd1… |
| 06-24 17:07:44 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xd257b2… |
| 06-24 17:07:44 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd257b2… |
| 06-23 07:17:23 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x44db22… |
| 06-23 07:17:23 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x44db22… |
| 06-23 05:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc2e513… |
| 06-23 05:27:37 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc2e513… |
| 06-23 05:27:37 | Frivolous-Diffuse 0xd188…ae31 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xc2e513… |
| 06-21 14:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x67c01a… |
| 06-21 14:19:53 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x67c01a… |
| 06-21 14:19:53 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x67c01a… |
| 06-20 03:12:02 | Ill-Variant 0xb9ad…4400 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x3c980b… |
| 06-20 03:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3c980b… |
| 06-15 18:41:15 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd9151f… |
| 06-15 18:41:15 | Ill-Variant 0xb9ad…4400 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xd9151f… |
| 06-15 18:41:13 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa59e13… |
| 06-15 18:41:13 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0xa59e13… |
| 06-15 18:41:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa59e13… |
| 06-10 10:44:04 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd605ed… |
| 06-10 10:44:04 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd605ed… |
| 06-03 17:51:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x27a67a… |
| 06-03 17:51:12 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x27a67a… |
| 06-03 17:51:12 | Envious-Enrollment 0x94df…e399 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x27a67a… |
| 06-01 08:05:01 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe8f33c… |
| 06-01 08:05:01 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xe8f33c… |
| 06-01 01:03:44 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x09c436… |
| 06-01 01:03:44 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x09c436… |
| 06-01 01:03:44 | Frivolous-Diffuse 0xd188…ae31 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x09c436… |