Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$108
Trades
31
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$59
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-19 15:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $49 | $49 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $3 | $18 | $15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $49 | $48 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 6 | $1 | $18 | $18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 4 | 07-19 15:17 |
| Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | +39 | $2 | $3 | 4 | 06-24 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3187…2ec4 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-04 18:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 15:17:57 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x7f2f2c… |
| 07-19 15:17:57 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x7f2f2c… |
| 07-04 18:32:46 | Ill-Variant 0xb9ad…4400 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x2d2fd1… |
| 07-04 18:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x3187…2ec4 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x2d2fd1… |
| 06-24 17:07:44 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xd257b2… |
| 06-24 17:07:44 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd257b2… |
| 06-23 07:17:23 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x44db22… |
| 06-23 07:17:23 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x44db22… |
| 06-23 05:27:37 | Frivolous-Diffuse 0xd188…ae31 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xc2e513… |
| 06-23 05:27:37 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc2e513… |
| 06-23 05:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc2e513… |
| 06-21 14:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x67c01a… |
| 06-21 14:19:53 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x67c01a… |
| 06-21 14:19:53 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x67c01a… |
| 06-20 03:12:02 | Ill-Variant 0xb9ad…4400 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x3c980b… |
| 06-20 03:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3c980b… |
| 06-15 18:41:15 | Ill-Variant 0xb9ad…4400 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xd9151f… |
| 06-15 18:41:15 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd9151f… |
| 06-15 18:41:13 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0xa59e13… |
| 06-15 18:41:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa59e13… |
| 06-15 18:41:13 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa59e13… |
| 06-10 10:44:04 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd605ed… |
| 06-10 10:44:04 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd605ed… |
| 06-03 17:51:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x27a67a… |
| 06-03 17:51:12 | Envious-Enrollment 0x94df…e399 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x27a67a… |
| 06-03 17:51:12 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x27a67a… |
| 06-01 08:05:01 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xe8f33c… |
| 06-01 08:05:01 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe8f33c… |
| 06-01 01:03:44 | Old-Massage 0x8172…1d63 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x09c436… |
| 06-01 01:03:44 | Frivolous-Diffuse 0xd188…ae31 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x09c436… |
| 06-01 01:03:44 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x09c436… |