Realized P&L
-$363
Unrealized P&L
-$354
Hit rate
25.4%
Resolved
124
Trades
17,355
lifetime
Volume
$194.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.98K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-19 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
63% 32% $-285
Politics
25% 35% $-89
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
4% 50% +$11
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 554 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -260 $-229 92¢ $-240 $-12 06-01 09:23
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -261 $-55 90¢ $-234 $-179 06-04 22:18
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -686 $-110 32¢ $-219 $-110 06-27 21:48
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -138 $-114 98¢ $-135 $-20 06-05 22:54
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -127 $-103 88¢ $-112 $-9 05-31 13:56
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -100 $-83 92¢ $-92 $-10 05-31 17:27
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -60 $-56 97¢ $-58 $-2 06-25 14:16
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -60 $-54 95¢ $-57 $-3 06-09 09:03
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -68 $-53 84¢ $-56 $-4 06-10 17:13
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +60 $51 91¢ $55 +$4 05-30 23:58
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +73 $47 69¢ $51 +$3 05-31 06:02
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +73 $42 66¢ $48 +$5 05-30 15:44
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +143 $49 31¢ $44 $-5 05-31 15:47
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No -62 $-38 70¢ $-43 $-5 06-02 04:00
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +46 $14 92¢ $43 +$28 06-06 18:50
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -52 $-26 80¢ $-41 $-15 06-06 22:28
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-37 97¢ $-39 $-2 06-01 03:15
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -40 $-38 97¢ $-39 $-0 07-19 14:46
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +40 $37 92¢ $37 $-0 05-31 21:50
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +40 $35 87¢ $35 $-0 05-28 17:24
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No -90 $-25 38¢ $-34 $-9 06-04 12:24
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +40 $30 84¢ $34 +$4 05-28 11:35
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -210 $-45 16¢ $-33 +$12 06-01 14:23
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? No -91 $-15 36¢ $-33 $-17 06-02 15:46
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +40 $27 80¢ $32 +$5 05-31 18:57
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? Yes -37 $-30 80¢ $-30 +$0 06-14 18:39
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027? No -30 $-27 94¢ $-28 $-1 06-02 23:51
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +40 $35 68¢ $27 $-8 05-30 18:56
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -30 $-25 86¢ $-26 $-1 06-06 20:28
Halle Berry as Storm? No -29 $-18 78¢ $-22 $-4 06-16 17:55