Realized P&L
-$363
Unrealized P&L
-$278
Hit rate
25.4%
Resolved
124
Trades
17,333
lifetime
Volume
$194.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.18K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-30 07:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
63% 32% $-285
Politics
25% 35% $-89
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
4% 50% +$11
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 862 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -686 $-110 50¢ $-346 $-237 06-27 21:48
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -260 $-229 92¢ $-238 $-9 06-01 09:23
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -138 $-114 94¢ $-130 $-15 06-05 22:54
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -122 $-108 99¢ $-121 $-13 05-31 14:54
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -127 $-103 88¢ $-111 $-8 05-31 13:56
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -100 $-83 92¢ $-92 $-10 05-31 17:27
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +76 $68 99¢ $76 +$8 06-02 19:12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +60 $48 99¢ $59 +$11 05-28 02:37
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No +60 $54 99¢ $59 +$5 05-31 05:15
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -68 $-53 86¢ $-58 $-5 06-10 17:13
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -60 $-56 94¢ $-57 $-0 06-25 14:16
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -60 $-54 93¢ $-56 $-2 06-09 09:03
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +53 $51 99¢ $52 +$1 05-31 00:00
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +73 $47 70¢ $52 +$4 05-31 06:02
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +60 $51 86¢ $51 +$1 05-30 23:58
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -65 $-49 76¢ $-49 $-0 06-03 09:56
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -261 $-55 18¢ $-48 +$7 06-04 22:18
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? No +48 $43 100¢ $48 +$5 05-29 15:03
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +73 $42 65¢ $47 +$5 05-30 15:44
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -52 $-26 82¢ $-42 $-16 06-06 22:28
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +143 $49 30¢ $42 $-7 05-31 15:47
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No -40 $-37 100¢ $-40 $-3 05-31 20:10
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No -62 $-38 64¢ $-40 $-2 06-02 04:00
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No +40 $39 99¢ $40 +$1 05-29 18:20
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +40 $25 97¢ $39 +$14 05-29 13:38
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +40 $35 96¢ $38 +$3 05-28 17:24
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-37 95¢ $-38 $-1 06-01 03:15
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -210 $-45 18¢ $-38 +$7 06-01 14:23
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? No -91 $-15 40¢ $-37 $-21 06-02 15:46
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +40 $37 90¢ $36 $-1 05-31 21:50