Homely-Field — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$363

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.4%

Resolved

124

Trades

17,366

lifetime

Volume

$194.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-06 12:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

63% 32% $-285

Politics

25% 35% $-89

Tech

6% — —

Pop-Culture

4% 50% +$11

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 554 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	71	$5.6K	4,991	3,491	+1,500	open	—	01-26 15:46
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	28	$3.2K	1,327	4,909	-3,582	open	—	02-19 16:28
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	99	$3.1K	3,382	3,182	+200	open	—	02-20 20:49
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-03 15:19
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	6	$2.5K	1,307	1,307	+0	open	—	02-23 07:48
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	34	$2.4K	2,300	2,000	+300	open	—	01-26 16:37
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	24	$2.2K	4,224	400	+3,824	open	—	02-02 05:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	15	$1.9K	2,721	1,521	+1,200	open	—	06-02 10:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	231	$1.9K	3,803	0	+3,803	Yes	$-35	05-11 03:55
Will Ethereal launch a token by June 30, 2026?	49	$1.9K	940	960	-20	open	—	06-18 05:16
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	43	$1.8K	1,201	1,201	+0	open	—	02-18 08:54
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	24	$1.7K	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	01-18 21:16
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	223	$1.7K	2,952	627	+2,325	open	—	04-29 14:30
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	37	$1.7K	2,300	960	+1,340	open	—	02-04 12:23
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	171	$1.7K	2,583	581	+2,003	open	—	04-28 08:34
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	26	$1.6K	1,392	1,327	+65	open	—	02-24 09:12
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	20	$1.6K	1,953	1,153	+800	open	—	02-05 10:24
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	138	$1.6K	2,100	462	+1,637	open	—	04-20 00:09
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	139	$1.5K	2,362	290	+2,072	open	—	04-08 18:10
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	157	$1.4K	2,421	129	+2,292	open	—	04-23 18:00
tim walz charged by march 31	16	$1.3K	1,241	815	+426	open	—	02-23 14:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$1.3K	887	887	+0	open	—	02-20 21:32
will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	105	$1.3K	1,384	762	+623	open	—	04-19 12:31
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	20	$1.3K	982	618	+364	open	—	02-06 19:34
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	5	$1.3K	684	684	+0	open	—	01-19 07:59
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	16	$1.3K	2,432	600	+1,832	open	—	01-31 13:38
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	161	$1.3K	2,136	510	+1,626	open	—	04-14 07:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	24	$1.2K	1,510	661	+849	open	—	02-20 21:01
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	131	$1.1K	1,640	644	+996	open	—	04-28 08:52
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	146	$1.1K	1,587	497	+1,090	open	—	05-13 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 12:27:05	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x30acee…
08-06 12:18:15	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xd0331b…
08-06 12:18:15	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x60171b…
08-06 12:16:12	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x3e5467…
08-05 19:06:20	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x2ad1e5…
07-31 17:30:29	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x6170bc…
07-30 20:49:45	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf49455…
07-25 22:52:19	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xc4d1e0…
07-25 10:26:48	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x2c4b31…
07-22 14:00:09	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	65	10¢	$7	0x7c36cb…
07-22 13:20:28	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xd0eee8…
07-19 14:46:48	Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x319447…
07-17 20:55:57	will databricks valuation hit high 300b by december 31	No	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xaaf071…
07-16 22:14:44	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x9fa0d2…
07-16 17:43:31	Will Kash Patel be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xa69a0a…
07-15 07:29:26	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x16b2f3…
07-14 21:02:05	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x593e53…
07-10 08:19:43	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	No	SELL	39	19¢	$7	0x3ffc91…
07-07 19:13:52	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	SELL	51	12¢	$6	0x647282…
07-05 12:30:08	will concrete launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x1f31a0…
07-05 12:11:19	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x42d7e4…
07-05 05:02:13	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x0533b4…
07-04 20:31:43	will ritual launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd87ad7…
07-03 20:20:05	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xfcb72f…
07-03 20:19:56	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xb73efc…
07-03 19:13:04	will concrete launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xa8ddd9…
07-02 23:13:08	will concrete launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x665692…
07-02 15:40:16	will concrete launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xaf36ad…
07-02 13:05:07	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0x51ec9e…
07-02 08:31:59	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x42523e…
07-02 01:12:07	will neutrl launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	39	25¢	$10	0x4a1b53…
07-01 14:27:01	Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	9¢	$3	0x026d8f…
07-01 02:56:17	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by june 30	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xf15c14…
06-30 07:46:47	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x0a9a50…
06-29 06:08:01	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by june 30	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x11856b…
06-29 05:53:01	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by june 30	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x1dbecc…
06-28 10:27:13	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xf18647…
06-27 21:48:10	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	401	16¢	$64	0x9a2c03…
06-27 05:20:20	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x4395c2…
06-25 14:16:53	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xdf1ea8…
06-25 07:01:47	Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0x100322…
06-20 07:24:52	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	No	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0xbaa04c…
06-19 13:07:44	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x7405c4…
06-18 14:12:20	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	18	47¢	$8	0xad9dd1…
06-18 05:16:04	will ethereal launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	589	99¢	$583	0xf7db2a…
06-18 02:45:17	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xb1468b…
06-17 23:02:31	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xb23d4b…
06-17 12:10:16	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x05e732…
06-17 12:08:59	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x4b66ba…
06-17 12:06:41	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x4dd5ab…
06-17 09:34:11	will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x17f66d…
06-16 17:55:56	Halle Berry as Storm?	No	SELL	29	63¢	$18	0x1bb30f…
06-16 15:30:50	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0xe2c921…
06-16 06:09:04	will oro launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0xd53b3b…
06-15 07:57:03	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xd3f582…
06-14 18:39:22	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x9632b7…
06-14 13:36:18	will databricks valuation hit low 130b by june 30	No	SELL	173	98¢	$170	0x73f47c…
06-14 11:34:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x497b00…
06-14 10:59:24	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x246c8a…
06-14 01:14:39	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xad2a6b…
06-13 10:30:13	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x25644b…
06-13 08:50:45	will arcium launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x79d527…
06-13 03:44:27	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x635f49…
06-12 22:53:43	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xf39d6c…
06-12 22:51:54	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x26bd2a…
06-12 22:41:33	will openais valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 688 311	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x7a16a7…
06-12 15:24:10	Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xeea28c…
06-12 12:50:28	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x48e56b…
06-12 10:59:28	will loopscale launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xe5488a…
06-12 10:40:19	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xab2395…
06-12 10:37:15	will perplexitys valuation hit low 16pt5b by june 30	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x96d256…
06-12 03:32:25	will andurils valuation hit low 70b by june 30	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x1ca690…
06-11 19:02:39	will perplexitys valuation hit high 30b by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb858e5…
06-11 16:13:27	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x7140b2…
06-11 16:10:37	Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x710f3e…
06-11 11:03:00	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xd033e1…
06-10 21:13:42	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x085d10…
06-10 18:16:49	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	No	SELL	42	61¢	$25	0x7e26eb…
06-10 17:13:07	Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x949cab…
06-10 17:11:18	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x200ac9…
06-10 15:19:33	Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xeebc62…
06-10 10:51:16	Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xc657b5…
06-10 02:42:25	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xdaa610…
06-10 02:37:09	Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	165	14¢	$23	0xea3ce4…
06-09 16:49:37	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x002b2c…
06-09 15:59:10	California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0xa3ca95…
06-09 15:19:27	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xabede2…
06-09 11:53:18	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x740899…
06-09 10:16:28	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xdaaba8…
06-09 09:27:27	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x158aef…
06-09 09:03:13	Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x53b39e…
06-09 08:26:30	California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xd3e6a4…
06-09 08:20:54	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xb80b41…
06-09 07:38:16	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xfc5c11…
06-09 01:52:13	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by june 30	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x7dd502…
06-08 17:26:27	will rise launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x132776…
06-08 17:25:21	will rise launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x081cee…
06-08 17:23:24	will rise launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x6c0644…
06-08 17:23:10	will rise launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xcb1426…
06-08 17:21:34	will rise launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x7cce26…