Punctual-Sand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

14,728

lifetime

Volume

$2.63M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$178

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Politics

33% 100% +$23

Sports

5% 40% +$18

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 1181 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	108	$276.9K	173,833	109,801	+64,032	open	—	04-02 23:36
Trump out as President before 2027?	171	$137.0K	79,898	69,817	+10,081	open	—	07-26 20:57
trump out as president by march 31	152	$122.6K	63,498	64,169	-671	open	—	03-15 15:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	291	$116.3K	63,977	53,744	+10,233	open	—	04-29 01:11
will israel nuke iran by january 31	108	$97.5K	55,600	42,369	+13,231	open	—	01-31 20:49
Trump out as President by April 30?	73	$75.3K	41,038	35,098	+5,941	open	—	04-29 17:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	76	$61.5K	26,251	42,241	-15,990	open	—	08-02 12:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	29	$61.3K	45,014	18,579	+26,435	open	—	08-08 13:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1,296	$57.0K	28,594	31,482	-2,888	open	—	07-17 18:59
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	120	$45.2K	22,665	23,503	-838	open	—	03-14 13:07
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	124	$44.7K	30,850	14,738	+16,112	open	—	02-26 19:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	169	$38.5K	21,830	21,995	-165	open	—	03-30 23:45
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	502	$36.5K	21,221	21,515	-294	open	—	04-28 09:04
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	203	$33.7K	31,623	31,005	+618	open	—	01-08 18:48
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	62	$33.5K	23,455	14,184	+9,271	open	—	08-10 17:48
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	6	$26.4K	8,073	18,353	-10,279	open	—	02-27 19:44
will solana reach 130 in february 2026	27	$25.2K	15,775	9,445	+6,330	open	—	02-27 22:12
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	53	$25.1K	15,513	11,877	+3,636	open	—	01-31 19:20
will tsla reach 503 in february	10	$24.5K	12,267	12,250	+17	open	—	02-27 21:01
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	22	$24.0K	22,330	3,292	+19,038	open	—	07-19 21:49
will tsla reach 533 in february	16	$23.8K	11,930	11,930	+0	open	—	02-27 20:05
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	233	$21.6K	25,313	23,714	+1,599	open	—	01-15 00:13
Netanyahu out by April 30?	94	$21.5K	14,860	7,106	+7,754	open	—	04-29 00:56
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	91	$21.3K	12,180	10,609	+1,571	open	—	08-07 21:07
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	162	$20.5K	19,353	19,353	+0	open	—	03-25 21:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	80	$20.1K	17,432	3,824	+13,608	open	—	04-29 17:34
jd vance out as vp by december 31	21	$20.0K	13,192	8,397	+4,794	open	—	07-16 00:12
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	15	$19.6K	9,814	9,814	+0	open	—	02-27 20:54
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	84	$19.1K	18,924	8,001	+10,924	open	—	01-27 00:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	230	$18.5K	15,093	14,355	+738	open	—	01-15 00:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:47:15	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xdf6d32…
08-10 21:47:12	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9dfaf4…
08-10 21:47:09	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x8ede16…
08-10 21:47:06	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8a7e24…
08-10 21:41:19	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xfed72f…
08-10 20:11:04	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xcadad0…
08-10 19:30:09	Tom Lee charged by December 31?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x591bd0…
08-10 19:00:48	will any former nba player be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x55caf6…
08-10 18:53:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	202	94¢	$190	0x3aa375…
08-10 18:10:37	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	101	97¢	$97	0x39a16b…
08-10 18:08:48	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$75	0x958a61…
08-10 18:06:37	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x992465…
08-10 18:06:00	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	127	95¢	$121	0xec63f0…
08-10 17:59:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	102	88¢	$90	0x5710fd…
08-10 17:48:10	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	131	93¢	$122	0x380757…
08-10 17:47:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x21a9f9…
08-10 17:08:51	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x6ae153…
08-10 17:06:22	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	SELL	202	92¢	$186	0xdc163b…
08-10 16:47:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	96¢	$194	0xd4b121…
08-10 16:45:19	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by november 30 2026	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xf7a39c…
08-10 14:17:12	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	513	92¢	$472	0xc6bc6c…
08-10 14:17:03	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xceafb3…
08-10 14:17:03	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xcd0af2…
08-10 14:17:03	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xbc668c…
08-10 14:17:01	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	188	92¢	$173	0x94ce6d…
08-10 14:02:09	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	102	89¢	$91	0x42858d…
08-10 13:10:54	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	202	93¢	$188	0x85f9b3…
08-10 12:10:22	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$17	0xc9c7d7…
08-10 11:56:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	202	88¢	$178	0x30d849…
08-10 11:07:24	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by september 30 2026	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xe9d7c4…
08-10 11:07:18	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3889e0…
08-10 08:49:19	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0x380372…
08-10 08:09:16	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xc55f0d…
08-10 06:09:22	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1c074d…
08-10 05:02:51	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3763fb…
08-10 02:11:25	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x7370e8…
08-10 01:46:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	202	95¢	$192	0x2c4efd…
08-10 00:00:40	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by october 31 2026	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x7598f6…
08-09 23:01:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	159	90¢	$143	0xc2ef95…
08-09 16:14:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	202	92¢	$186	0x03359b…
08-09 16:00:51	will sneako be deported in 2026 20260807154140938	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x78320b…
08-09 15:56:51	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	281	93¢	$262	0xee2cbb…
08-09 15:56:39	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0xa980d1…
08-09 15:42:03	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	82	94¢	$77	0x50f5a7…
08-09 09:55:18	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	No	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0x9c437a…
08-09 06:08:58	Tom Lee charged by December 31?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xcf90e6…
08-09 04:27:04	Will Kash Patel be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0x809a17…
08-09 04:08:24	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xf91bc1…
08-09 03:16:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x792b98…
08-09 03:12:06	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x845328…
08-09 01:10:19	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xaeb172…
08-09 00:55:39	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xd60d86…
08-08 23:25:01	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xd8c6b6…
08-08 22:37:30	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x691873…
08-08 22:05:58	Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf786e4…
08-08 21:14:39	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x098f1d…
08-08 20:17:06	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x2a69d7…
08-08 20:16:15	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x01abd4…
08-08 20:16:12	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x859748…
08-08 18:56:22	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	102	90¢	$92	0xd7eec5…
08-08 17:11:09	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0x5c38e6…
08-08 15:13:01	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x341a1e…
08-08 15:05:51	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0xef7185…
08-08 14:59:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0xc1d432…
08-08 14:56:27	will msft dip to 345 in august 2026	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x074869…
08-08 14:53:51	will mu reach 1260 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2290ad…
08-08 14:48:48	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xca1bc2…
08-08 14:47:18	will meta reach 720 in august 2026	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x16bb94…
08-08 14:45:28	will googl dip to 300 in august 2026	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x486f91…
08-08 14:44:28	will hood reach 125 in august 2026	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x62b5e8…
08-08 14:43:21	will open reach 5 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x7d4abf…
08-08 14:41:13	will nvda dip to 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x3ab3db…
08-08 14:31:57	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	650	90¢	$585	0xdb3916…
08-08 14:25:22	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	427	94¢	$400	0x57e686…
08-08 14:09:34	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x31c393…
08-08 13:18:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	202	96¢	$194	0xe1b32a…
08-08 13:02:55	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xcaf81a…
08-08 12:24:40	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe97406…
08-08 11:15:22	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x06b720…
08-08 11:07:42	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x778aee…
08-08 10:05:18	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb3f101…
08-08 09:44:36	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xcfa6fd…
08-08 06:55:16	Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x95a350…
08-08 06:52:37	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by november 30 2026	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x741bb2…
08-08 06:52:18	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by november 30 2026	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x8db70b…
08-08 02:24:33	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x566a3c…
08-07 23:54:19	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x2a355d…
08-07 23:53:13	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x0afbe9…
08-07 23:52:25	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	102	89¢	$91	0xb12778…
08-07 23:14:45	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x8ac7c5…
08-07 21:45:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	202	83¢	$168	0xf43603…
08-07 21:07:07	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	159	96¢	$153	0x4deb35…
08-07 21:06:40	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x809a0d…
08-07 20:50:40	Tom Lee charged by December 31?	No	SELL	140	96¢	$134	0x6e333a…
08-07 20:50:15	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1,791	96¢	$1,719	0x5bfe95…
08-07 18:28:10	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	126	87¢	$110	0xd3a773…
08-07 18:10:16	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x7925f2…
08-07 18:10:15	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x300e15…
08-07 17:32:49	ai data center in space by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,248	97¢	$1,213	0xc1a200…
08-07 17:04:55	Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	177	91¢	$160	0x71a82a…