Realized P&L
+$41
Unrealized P&L
+$2.02K
Hit rate
98.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
13,624
lifetime
Volume
$2.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$169
Open exposure
$125.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
59%
Politics
31% 100% +$23
Sports
6% 40% +$18
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -15,244 $-14,235 86¢ $-13186 +$1,049 06-30 17:54
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +10,986 $10,817 100¢ $11.0K +$158 06-23 19:55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -10,559 $-9,976 95¢ $-10005 $-28 06-25 15:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No +9,010 $8,901 100¢ $9.0K +$73 06-30 16:59
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -8,025 $-7,996 100¢ $-8017 $-21 06-23 17:35
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +8,508 $7,836 94¢ $8.0K +$131 06-11 23:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +6,470 $6,449 100¢ $6.5K +$14 06-29 20:09
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -6,299 $-6,244 100¢ $-6293 $-49 06-07 15:57
Trump out as President before 2027? No +6,384 $5,396 92¢ $5.8K +$445 06-30 15:25
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -5,844 $-5,503 92¢ $-5374 +$129 06-21 15:01
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? No -4,991 $-4,886 100¢ $-4966 $-81 06-10 18:11
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -4,287 $-4,099 95¢ $-4088 +$12 06-08 19:48
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +4,385 $4,020 92¢ $4.1K +$37 06-29 08:05
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -3,711 $-3,476 94¢ $-3469 +$7 06-29 04:36
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? No -3,190 $-3,167 100¢ $-3187 $-20 06-10 00:26
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? No -2,653 $-2,642 100¢ $-2650 $-8 06-21 13:48
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -17,709 $-2,903 15¢ $-2568 +$335 06-16 07:25
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -2,134 $-2,005 93¢ $-1987 +$18 06-21 21:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +1,947 $1,937 100¢ $1.9K +$8 06-29 17:50
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -1,866 $-1,860 100¢ $-1860 $-1 06-26 17:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? No -1,779 $-1,765 100¢ $-1777 $-12 06-01 12:11
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +1,711 $1,593 94¢ $1.6K +$6 06-27 04:18
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +1,279 $1,264 99¢ $1.3K +$5 06-16 23:14
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -1,265 $-1,232 98¢ $-1240 $-8 06-30 16:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +1,107 $1,080 100¢ $1.1K +$26 06-14 18:06
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -1,155 $-1,085 94¢ $-1091 $-6 06-25 14:16
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +2,397 $1,203 42¢ $1.0K $-196 06-30 18:00
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -929 $-923 100¢ $-928 $-5 06-06 21:14
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -924 $-875 95¢ $-879 $-4 05-31 10:31
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No -878 $-879 100¢ $-877 +$2 06-12 02:47