Realized P&L
+$41
Unrealized P&L
+$351
Hit rate
98.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
11,316
lifetime
Volume
$2.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$182
Open exposure
$80.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
60%
Politics
29% 100% +$23
Sports
7% 40% +$18
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +9,436 $8,432 90¢ $8.4K +$13 06-07 07:05
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +7,949 $7,811 99¢ $7.9K +$50 06-09 20:21
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +8,306 $7,650 92¢ $7.6K $-0 06-09 19:03
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -6,299 $-6,244 99¢ $-6264 $-21 06-07 15:57
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No +5,613 $5,169 92¢ $5.2K +$23 06-09 19:42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No +5,016 $4,917 99¢ $5.0K +$50 06-09 00:36
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -4,287 $-4,099 95¢ $-4084 +$16 06-08 19:48
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? No -4,037 $-3,950 97¢ $-3930 +$20 06-06 17:29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +3,925 $3,670 93¢ $3.6K $-26 06-06 10:43
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +3,415 $3,359 99¢ $3.4K +$31 06-07 01:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3,571 $3,332 95¢ $3.4K +$45 06-04 00:35
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? No -3,190 $-3,167 99¢ $-3168 $-1 06-10 00:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +2,020 $1,983 98¢ $2.0K +$6 06-09 19:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,820 92¢ $1.8K +$10 06-06 08:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? No -1,779 $-1,765 100¢ $-1776 $-11 06-01 12:11
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -1,693 $-1,578 92¢ $-1566 +$12 06-06 21:01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -8,740 $-1,378 16¢ $-1355 +$24 06-08 08:55
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -1,166 $-1,161 99¢ $-1159 +$2 06-09 11:35
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No -1,141 $-929 82¢ $-938 $-9 06-08 06:10
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -929 $-923 99¢ $-923 $-0 06-06 21:14
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -1,031 $-987 89¢ $-915 +$72 06-05 01:41
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -924 $-875 96¢ $-882 $-7 05-31 10:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No -877 $-839 93¢ $-812 +$27 06-05 17:40
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -855 $-804 94¢ $-799 +$4 06-08 17:51
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +817 $766 94¢ $768 +$2 06-09 16:37
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -711 $-685 94¢ $-671 +$14 06-07 19:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +668 $651 98¢ $651 +$0 06-07 18:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? No -634 $-632 100¢ $-633 $-1 06-05 17:39
Tom Lee charged by December 31? No -667 $-634 94¢ $-630 +$3 06-08 07:42
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No +564 $539 96¢ $542 +$4 06-05 20:28