Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf3c…33464b
whale bot hot 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$15.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$129
Hit rate
79.3%
Resolved
77,185
Trades
336,823
lifetime
Volume
$718.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$368
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 10-22 05:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 218 days
Categories
Other
84% 53% +$13,201
Politics
9% 49% +$1,303
Sports
4% 45% +$692
Tech
1% 58% +$307
Crypto
1% 42% +$54
Pop-Culture
0% 30% +$108
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 1908 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +21 $1 99¢ $21 +$20 08-23 16:53
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No +20 $6 100¢ $20 +$14 08-23 22:21
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +20 $1 99¢ $20 +$19 10-04 06:17
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +20 $0 97¢ $19 +$19 10-20 16:48
trump renames strait of hormuz to strait of trump by december 31 No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 08-19 13:09
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $0 95¢ $19 +$19 09-02 07:20
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +20 $17 83¢ $17 $0 08-17 09:43
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +20 $16 79¢ $16 $0 08-12 07:18
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +16 $0 98¢ $15 +$15 06-23 04:56
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +20 $16 72¢ $14 -$2 09-06 00:17
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $18 68¢ $14 -$4 08-21 09:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +20 $10 64¢ $13 +$2 08-27 12:18
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes -11 -$2 99¢ $-11 -$10 05-04 18:24
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $14 55¢ $11 -$3 09-17 09:07
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$2 07-05 13:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$1 08-03 22:40
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027 No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 07-12 11:24
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 05-25 11:51
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 06-09 19:54
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$15 90¢ $-9 +$6 06-01 22:56
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +10 $3 86¢ $9 +$6 08-04 12:15
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +10 $6 87¢ $9 +$3 07-26 17:11
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +20 $1 44¢ $9 +$8 09-08 11:46
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +10 $9 84¢ $8 -$1 07-23 01:53
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +10 $9 84¢ $8 -$1 07-27 17:26
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +9 $6 93¢ $8 +$2 08-02 02:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +10 $9 78¢ $8 -$1 06-12 14:23
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +10 $5 75¢ $8 +$2 07-07 14:37
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +10 $1 71¢ $7 +$6 07-04 00:51
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +20 $1 36¢ $7 +$6 08-11 03:08