Realized P&L
+$51
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
721
Trades
125,632
lifetime
Volume
$286.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$405
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 07-20 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
80% 47% +$30
Politics
11% 52% +$8
Sports
6% 32% +$1
Crypto
2% 41% +$4
Tech
1% 60% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 596 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes -101 $-23 57¢ $-57 $-34 07-18 02:53
Relay FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +28 $27 96¢ $27 +$0 07-06 06:11
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? No +20 $20 96¢ $19 $-0 07-14 20:07
Noble FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +20 $19 93¢ $19 $-0 07-06 18:22
Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +19 $18 97¢ $18 +$0 07-19 22:55
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +21 $17 87¢ $18 +$1 07-18 02:02
Will Hylo launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -20 $-16 85¢ $-17 $-1 06-25 06:05
GHO depeg by December 31? No -15 $-14 96¢ $-14 $-1 06-02 06:46
Tuyo FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +15 $13 94¢ $14 +$1 06-23 23:19
Neutrl FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +15 $13 87¢ $13 $-0 06-24 12:33
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027? No +15 $14 82¢ $12 $-2 06-21 05:24
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? Yes +15 $14 72¢ $11 $-3 06-26 06:29
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +15 $12 66¢ $10 $-2 06-25 06:54
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 $-0 07-05 14:13
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-06 11:22
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? Yes +15 $10 64¢ $10 $-0 06-16 16:23
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31? Yes -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 +$0 07-17 07:13
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 07-13 12:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 07-20 09:15
Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch? No +10 $9 92¢ $10 +$0 07-20 08:13
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +10 $10 94¢ $9 $-0 07-18 20:34
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 $-0 07-05 14:21
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 90¢ $9 +$2 07-04 20:46
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? No -10 $-9 91¢ $-9 $-0 06-05 01:40
Betmoar FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -10 $-9 93¢ $-9 $-0 06-29 08:09
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026? No -10 $-8 94¢ $-9 $-1 07-09 17:07
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-8 92¢ $-9 $-1 06-16 07:54
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? No +10 $8 81¢ $8 +$0 07-20 18:51
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? No +8 $7 97¢ $8 +$1 06-04 11:20
Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 80.5 +13 $8 60¢ $8 +$0 07-08 13:09