Realized P&L
+$15.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
79.3%
Resolved
77,488
Trades
336,823
lifetime
Volume
$718.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$295
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 10-22 05:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 219 days
Categories
Other
84% 53% +$13,275
Politics
9% 49% +$1,325
Sports
4% 45% +$692
Tech
1% 57% +$319
Crypto
1% 42% +$48
Pop-Culture
0% 30% +$108
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 1908 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +20 $0 99¢ $20 +$20 10-20 16:48
trump renames strait of hormuz to strait of trump by december 31 No +20 $19 94¢ $19 +$0 08-19 13:09
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +20 $16 78¢ $16 -$1 08-12 07:18
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +20 $17 78¢ $16 -$1 08-17 09:43
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $18 74¢ $15 -$3 08-21 09:07
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +20 $16 72¢ $14 -$2 09-06 00:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +20 $10 64¢ $13 +$2 08-27 12:18
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes -11 -$2 97¢ $-11 -$10 05-04 18:24
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $14 55¢ $11 -$3 09-17 09:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$1 08-03 22:40
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$2 07-05 13:09
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027 No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 07-12 11:24
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 06-09 19:54
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 05-25 11:51
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +10 $3 88¢ $9 +$6 08-04 12:15
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$15 90¢ $-9 +$6 06-01 22:56
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +10 $6 86¢ $9 +$3 07-26 17:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +10 $9 82¢ $8 -$1 06-12 14:23
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +10 $9 82¢ $8 -$1 07-27 17:26
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +20 $1 41¢ $8 +$7 08-11 03:08
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +9 $6 93¢ $8 +$2 08-02 02:08
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +10 $9 77¢ $8 -$1 07-23 01:53
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +10 $5 74¢ $8 +$2 07-07 14:37
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +10 $1 72¢ $7 +$7 07-04 00:51
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $2 29¢ $6 +$4 09-03 23:15
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $2 27¢ $5 +$3 08-25 04:15
Will Eintracht Frankfurt be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 07-09 18:21
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 No +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 07-13 23:53
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? Yes +21 $3 22¢ $5 +$1 08-22 08:14
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +20 $9 22¢ $4 -$5 08-12 13:23