Will USD/JPY hit 200 (High) in 2026?
open
Total volume
$143
Trades
30
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$681
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-21 19:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9
vs crowd: 11% YES on $105)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $1 | $19 | $18 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $15 | $13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $1 | $59 | $58 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $19 | $18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $59 | $57 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 5 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | +65 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 07-01 13:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c09…2854 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 00:44 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $3 | 5 | 07-21 18:35 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-14 03:45 |
| Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-03 09:16 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-21 19:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 19:40:30 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x54519d… |
| 07-21 19:40:30 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x54519d… |
| 07-21 19:39:52 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x02997a… |
| 07-21 19:39:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x02997a… |
| 07-21 18:36:00 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb62dfd… |
| 07-21 18:36:00 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb62dfd… |
| 07-21 18:35:48 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf389fc… |
| 07-21 18:35:48 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf389fc… |
| 07-21 17:22:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x507768… |
| 07-21 17:22:39 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x507768… |
| 07-21 17:22:39 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x507768… |
| 07-21 17:22:39 | Mindless-Degradation 0xb35a…c452 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x507768… |
| 07-14 03:45:07 | Cautious-Airfare 0x2967…c4c0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x47e465… |
| 07-14 03:45:07 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x47e465… |
| 07-03 09:16:08 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x6e6b2b… |
| 07-03 09:16:08 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x6e6b2b… |
| 07-02 00:44:32 | (anonymous) 0xc4a3…81fa | Yes | SELL | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf87dc0… |
| 07-02 00:44:32 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xf87dc0… |
| 07-02 00:44:32 | (anonymous) 0x9c09…2854 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf87dc0… |
| 07-01 13:29:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc47413… |
| 07-01 13:29:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc47413… |
| 07-01 13:29:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0xc47413… |
| 07-01 13:29:34 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 65 | 91¢ | $59 | 0xc47413… |
| 06-25 22:28:05 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6ffccc… |
| 06-25 22:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x6f6f…bd48 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x6ffccc… |
| 06-25 22:28:05 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6ffccc… |
| 06-19 03:31:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x6a9ff1… |
| 06-19 03:31:07 | (anonymous) 0xc4a3…81fa | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x6a9ff1… |
| 06-04 16:47:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5fe9dd… |
| 06-04 16:47:34 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x5fe9dd… |