Realized P&L
+$40.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$895
Hit rate
70.5%
Resolved
4,853
Trades
23,997
lifetime
Volume
$565.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$4.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 11:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 257 days
Categories
Other
96% 52% +$37,805
Politics
2% 48% +$334
Crypto
1% 56% +$2,095
Tech
1% 43% +$222
Sports
0% 42% -$49
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$53
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 1125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +680 $323 96¢ $651 +$328 08-24 23:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? No +510 $479 99¢ $505 +$26 10-30 21:04
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes +2,394 $627 12¢ $299 -$328 11-10 00:41
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -250 -$186 96¢ $-239 -$52 07-01 11:34
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? Yes +2,303 $265 9¢ $207 -$58 11-03 22:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +433 $170 38¢ $162 -$8 11-10 11:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -159 -$127 98¢ $-156 -$29 05-08 09:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +300 $84 50¢ $152 +$67 10-31 01:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +300 $75 50¢ $148 +$73 10-31 01:26
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in November? Yes +3,360 $66 4¢ $141 +$75 11-08 20:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? Yes +3,324 $954 4¢ $135 -$820 11-10 00:32
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes +5,557 $500 2¢ $117 -$383 10-09 10:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November? Yes +204 $31 56¢ $113 +$83 11-02 09:11
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 Week of November 9 2026? No +115 $105 96¢ $110 +$6 11-08 04:42
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $307.50 Week of November 9 2026? No +115 $105 95¢ $109 +$4 11-09 07:52
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of November 9 2026? No +115 $83 94¢ $109 +$26 11-08 22:00
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of November 9 2026? No +115 $105 90¢ $104 -$1 11-09 02:34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of November 9 2026? Yes +115 $39 84¢ $97 +$58 11-09 13:01
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $322.50 Week of November 9 2026? No +115 $99 84¢ $97 -$2 11-07 17:05
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of November 9 2026? No +115 $100 82¢ $94 -$6 11-07 17:06
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of November 9 2026? Yes +115 $55 66¢ $76 +$21 11-09 14:38
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of November 9 2026? No +115 $68 61¢ $70 +$2 11-09 02:34
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of November 9 2026? No +115 $87 57¢ $66 -$21 11-09 02:24
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -116 -$33 56¢ $-64 -$32 07-01 16:35
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in November? Yes +207 $59 30¢ $61 +$2 11-07 17:07
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027 No +60 $14 96¢ $57 +$43 06-05 23:00
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of November 9 2026? Yes +115 $21 45¢ $52 +$31 11-09 13:00
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No -55 -$36 92¢ $-51 -$15 05-28 06:01
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -56 -$36 88¢ $-49 -$13 07-01 10:43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? Yes +208 $16 21¢ $44 +$27 09-01 09:57