Realized P&L
+$130
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
81.4%
Resolved
294
Trades
79,805
lifetime
Volume
$40.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$78
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 07-21 00:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
67% 49% +$50
Crypto
13% 51% +$41
Politics
12% 60% +$27
Sports
6% 58% +$12
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 599 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? Yes +29 $1 28¢ $8 +$7 06-20 19:59
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -27 $-1 21¢ $-6 $-5 06-03 23:58
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? Yes +72 $-1 $5 +$6 06-02 20:05
Will Trump resign before 2027? Yes -85 $-3 $-4 $-1 06-20 04:37
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026? Yes +14 $1 24¢ $3 +$3 07-01 16:12
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +250 $2 $3 +$1 07-18 23:44
Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026? Yes +8 $0 41¢ $3 +$3 07-05 13:56
Will Donald Trump visit Arkansas in 2026? No +6 $1 50¢ $3 +$2 06-25 13:22
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +5 $1 50¢ $3 +$2 06-30 09:49
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -21 $-4 13¢ $-3 +$1 06-02 08:59
Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +10 $1 26¢ $3 +$2 07-17 13:55
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027? Yes +16 $2 15¢ $2 +$1 06-19 17:21
Will edgeX reach $1.80 before 2027? Yes +10 $1 24¢ $2 +$1 07-01 05:27
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -57 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-23 22:44
Diddy released from custody in 2026? Yes -10 $-2 23¢ $-2 $-0 05-30 15:07
Will USD/CAD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026? Yes +19 $1 11¢ $2 +$1 07-03 09:14
Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +21 $1 $2 +$1 07-18 08:53
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? No +5 $1 38¢ $2 +$1 07-03 08:49
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026? Yes +4 $1 44¢ $2 +$1 06-25 22:48
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +136 $1 $2 +$1 07-15 20:02
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? Yes +5 $1 36¢ $2 +$1 07-06 16:57
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? Yes +8 $1 22¢ $2 +$1 07-09 13:10
Will Dricus Du Plessis become UFC champion in 2026? Yes +6 $1 26¢ $2 +$1 06-17 17:54
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? Yes -24 $-1 $-2 $-0 07-03 19:24
Will Hylo launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +14 $1 12¢ $2 +$1 07-18 08:55
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +28 $2 $2 $-0 07-19 13:05
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record? No +10 $1 16¢ $2 +$1 07-03 18:51
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes +172 $1 $2 +$1 07-18 23:31
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? No +5 $-0 33¢ $2 +$2 07-17 09:12
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $-3 $2 +$4 07-17 05:25