Realized P&L
+$130
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
81.4%
Resolved
294
Trades
69,365
lifetime
Volume
$32.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$47
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 06-10 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
71% 49% +$50
Crypto
12% 51% +$41
Politics
12% 60% +$27
Sports
5% 58% +$12
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 3380 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -27 $-1 18¢ $-5 $-4 06-03 23:58
VEO 4 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $-3 50¢ $-4 $-2 06-08 05:07
Will "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? Yes +10 $1 42¢ $4 +$3 06-02 08:01
Will Miami Heretics finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season? Yes +13 $1 31¢ $4 +$3 06-05 22:38
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -21 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-02 08:59
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +82 $-0 $2 +$2 06-09 17:33
Diddy released from custody in 2026? Yes -10 $-2 20¢ $-2 $-0 05-30 15:07
D4vd released from custody in 2026? Yes -12 $-2 14¢ $-2 +$1 05-30 15:07
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +22 $1 $2 +$1 06-01 08:32
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? Yes -21 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-06 11:39
Will BMO fail by end of 2026? Yes +15 $1 $1 +$1 05-29 01:33
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter? No -16 $-1 $-1 $-1 06-07 11:19
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? Yes +26 $1 $1 +$0 06-07 08:21
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May? Yes +7 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 06-08 08:15
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -69 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-01 08:32
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -23 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-29 16:58
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-1 17¢ $-1 +$0 06-08 23:06
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +26 $1 $1 +$0 06-10 00:00
Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30? Yes +9 $0 11¢ $1 +$1 05-28 17:54
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes +15 $0 $1 +$1 06-09 15:55
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? Yes +22 $1 $1 +$0 06-06 16:54
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? Yes +52 $1 $1 +$0 06-07 12:45
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? Yes +15 $0 $1 +$1 06-09 04:47
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -23 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-29 00:29
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026? Yes +73 $1 $1 +$0 06-02 09:48
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +5 $-0 17¢ $1 +$1 06-06 21:11
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +209 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 09:12
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +5 $0 15¢ $1 +$0 06-06 01:07
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? Yes -60 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 19:26
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +48 $0 $1 +$0 06-10 02:33