Realized P&L
+$5.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$58
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
21,512
Trades
109,450
lifetime
Volume
$58.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$83
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 08-20 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 231 days
Categories
Other
68% 45% +$3,448
Politics
10% 54% +$835
Crypto
10% 49% +$153
Sports
9% 48% +$633
Tech
2% 55% +$186
Pop-Culture
0% 39% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +28 $1 83¢ $24 +$23 07-27 07:37
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +23 $1 37¢ $9 +$8 07-04 01:43
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +122 $1 6¢ $7 +$6 07-26 05:23
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +5 -$4 96¢ $5 +$9 07-21 08:06
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +68 $1 5¢ $3 +$2 07-15 21:22
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -93 $0 3¢ $-3 -$3 05-31 22:43
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +3 $0 81¢ $2 +$2 07-19 17:31
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -2 -$1 100¢ $-2 -$1 06-23 19:08
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +5 $1 42¢ $2 +$1 07-15 16:28
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +3 $0 71¢ $2 +$2 07-04 00:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +68 $0 3¢ $2 +$2 07-26 09:07
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? Yes -64 -$3 3¢ $-2 +$1 05-14 04:13
Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +190 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 07-09 22:57
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +6 $0 31¢ $2 +$1 07-24 21:21
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -41 -$2 4¢ $-2 +$0 05-20 17:50
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +33 $1 4¢ $1 +$1 05-10 16:27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +157 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 07-27 00:05
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes +56 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 07-24 16:44
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Yes -38 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 07-05 22:25
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -20 $0 6¢ $-1 -$1 05-16 12:23
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 07-26 15:17
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes -50 -$5 2¢ $-1 +$4 05-25 22:41
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +237 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 07-09 23:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +183 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 07-26 09:07
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $0 07-21 01:11
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +65 $1 1¢ $1 $0 07-24 17:27
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +19 $1 4¢ $1 $0 07-24 08:34
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +158 $1 0¢ $1 $0 07-09 22:58
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -20 $0 4¢ $-1 $0 05-16 12:03
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +73 $1 1¢ $1 $0 07-15 21:22