Ripe-Botany — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$1.45K

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

755

Trades

1,880

lifetime

Volume

$63.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$3.52K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 02:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Other

71% 71% +$961

Politics

15% 78% -$847

Tech

6% 73% -$325

Sports

5% 77% +$156

Crypto

2% 75% +$35

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,703	$852	84¢	$2.3K	+$1,405	09-02 13:21
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+4,000	$280	8¢	$340	+$60	10-09 05:47
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+400	$276	74¢	$298	+$22	10-18 14:48
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	+200	$156	78¢	$155	-$1	11-01 17:36
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+200	$137	67¢	$133	-$3	11-01 05:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+200	$110	57¢	$114	+$4	11-02 02:15
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+200	$94	46¢	$93	-$1	11-01 17:36
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-70	-$60	98¢	$-68	-$9	05-14 16:20
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	-40	-$37	96¢	$-38	-$1	06-20 08:00
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+120	$48	16¢	$20	-$28	10-11 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	35	$2.4K	1,327	1,355	-28	Yes	+$47	03-30 16:01
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	13	$1.4K	807	807	+0	No	+$210	07-25 16:47
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	11	$1.4K	835	718	+118	open	—	10-19 19:15
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 4	11	$1.3K	685	685	+0	No	+$12	01-05 08:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$1.1K	980	180	+800	Yes	-$756	04-07 18:14
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	16	$1.1K	942	452	+491	open	—	10-06 16:31
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	10	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	Yes	+$23	03-04 15:40
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	15	$951	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$107	01-29 15:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$942	500	500	+0	No	+$50	04-29 17:25
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	20	$916	2,843	20	+2,823	open	—	10-11 17:35
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	9	$842	584	292	+291	No	+$20	02-28 06:37
will hsi dip to 17850 in march	10	$665	675	0	+675	No	+$9	03-26 11:09
nvda above 175 on april 3 2026	19	$617	624	0	+624	Yes	+$7	04-03 08:57
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	8	$605	318	318	+0	No	+$26	05-12 01:39
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$602	631	0	+631	No	+$28	07-03 16:39
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	6	$600	400	276	+124	Yes	+$42	01-24 04:13
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	12	$600	400	300	+100	Yes	+$84	02-01 13:49
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	5	$589	299	299	+0	No	+$4	01-12 01:54
amzn above 210 on february 6 2026	4	$567	587	0	+587	Yes	+$20	02-03 15:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$557	640	0	+640	Yes	+$83	07-24 17:17
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	8	$554	591	0	+591	No	+$37	03-09 01:20
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	11	$532	585	0	+585	No	+$53	06-24 16:02
grok 5 released by march 31 2026	20	$515	424	234	+190	No	+$112	03-02 03:36
will hsi dip to 18600 in march	10	$500	519	0	+519	No	+$18	03-26 01:50
Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?	18	$493	280	280	+0	No	+$51	01-23 04:40
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	6	$477	879	0	+879	No	+$403	06-14 05:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$468	300	300	+0	No	+$36	05-14 16:24
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	5	$429	354	88	+266	No	+$13	02-23 18:05
will the us strike 5 countries in february 2026	11	$412	433	0	+433	No	+$21	02-28 15:13
will trump say n word in january	8	$405	428	0	+428	No	+$23	01-24 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 02:15:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xf58daa…
11-01 22:48:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x68861f…
11-01 22:44:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	61	55¢	$33	0x33c46e…
11-01 22:42:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0xdfa333…
11-01 20:45:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xca1766…
11-01 18:13:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x22dffa…
11-01 17:36:36	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x72ceb7…
11-01 17:36:18	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xf0b522…
11-01 05:04:01	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	80	71¢	$56	0xbb9808…
11-01 05:04:01	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x24c54d…
10-22 17:52:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xc6267a…
10-22 17:52:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xa1dcc5…
10-22 17:52:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x389251…
10-21 16:02:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October?	No	BUY	76	89¢	$67	0x9a257b…
10-20 18:35:14	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x44be7e…
10-19 19:15:18	Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	No	BUY	63	84¢	$53	0x0926ee…
10-18 14:48:03	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x6f2db8…
10-18 12:49:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,342	0¢	$32	0x0ecbf4…
10-17 18:02:39	FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x9fc81b…
10-17 18:00:59	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xc32d5b…
10-17 04:46:58	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9,549	0¢	$19	0x16fa69…
10-16 18:26:17	lol fur c9 2026 10 16 game handicap home 2pt5	FURIA Esports	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x0cc45b…
10-16 08:36:04	Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe4b412…
10-15 15:43:38	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x07dca1…
10-15 06:51:20	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 31	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x61dbb7…
10-14 17:39:18	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 31	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc8e656…
10-14 12:05:09	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 31	No	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0x2a4266…
10-14 12:04:51	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 15	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x49635a…
10-14 12:00:48	googl close above 355 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x45cc41…
10-13 15:53:46	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x638dbd…
10-13 15:46:28	googl close above 360 on october 13 2026	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x883fd0…
10-13 15:45:54	googl close above 360 on october 13 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xb24a94…
10-13 15:45:34	googl close above 360 on october 13 2026	No	BUY	55	88¢	$48	0xc7718b…
10-13 15:45:34	googl close above 360 on october 13 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1889ef…
10-13 15:45:33	googl close above 360 on october 13 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xceae11…
10-13 15:45:18	googl close above 360 on october 13 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xaf6bee…
10-13 15:42:55	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x1b0878…
10-11 17:35:22	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x0b8f4e…
10-11 17:35:07	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	40¢	$56	0x2cf746…
10-11 15:24:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,215	1¢	$42	0x1bbf42…
10-11 14:58:43	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$27	0xcf3717…
10-11 14:09:57	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0xc8e297…
10-11 12:47:24	Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x7c2db0…
10-11 12:47:19	Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	No	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0x59965b…
10-09 21:53:04	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0xbb8587…
10-09 05:47:51	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	398	7¢	$28	0xad753b…
10-08 17:13:59	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xcd83a3…
10-08 17:13:59	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	997	0¢	$3	0xc9bcb2…
10-08 17:13:59	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0x8a5c6b…
10-08 17:13:59	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0x863c3b…
10-08 17:13:59	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	254	0¢	$1	0x2ee384…
10-08 13:15:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x41012d…
10-08 12:25:03	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8ea266…
10-08 12:10:54	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x9fc2f1…
10-08 11:52:36	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfd0a3a…
10-08 11:46:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x512e70…
10-08 10:33:12	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe73320…
10-08 10:30:45	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xbeff46…
10-08 10:30:32	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x19bcc6…
10-08 10:30:06	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0x7e920a…
10-08 08:07:01	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa214cc…
10-08 05:49:22	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc7b361…
10-08 02:50:41	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5c7ff1…
10-08 02:37:56	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x7af4bc…
10-08 01:24:02	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x72033b…
10-07 21:23:43	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc9bd48…
10-07 20:13:32	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcbb019…
10-07 20:01:08	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$4	0x6608c2…
10-07 15:32:14	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x9cef08…
10-07 15:32:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xb5f933…
10-07 15:32:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x6784a4…
10-07 13:38:56	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	602	7¢	$42	0xdf3b0b…
10-07 13:27:01	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xbc23df…
10-07 11:57:22	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of October 5 above $250?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x5a3ee0…
10-07 11:27:11	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3d0fa2…
10-07 09:29:12	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x447b76…
10-07 09:19:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3dd0c7…
10-07 08:40:12	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x561f06…
10-07 08:29:20	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xda12a1…
10-07 04:10:38	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xb40e12…
10-06 23:52:16	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7c216a…
10-06 16:53:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xa2d7c5…
10-06 16:42:27	Spread: Spain (-3.5)	Croatia	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd914a9…
10-06 16:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	65	89¢	$58	0x66f2dc…
10-06 16:31:50	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	86¢	$67	0xcee6e3…
10-06 16:27:51	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x3a5aa7…
10-06 16:17:54	Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	No	BUY	143	52¢	$74	0x410285…
10-06 13:57:44	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf4eee2…
10-06 13:18:03	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5ffd89…
10-06 12:38:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xc41549…
10-06 12:38:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x41a989…
10-06 12:38:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x15f862…
10-06 10:55:42	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xbcbbbc…
10-06 09:25:16	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xf994ce…
10-06 08:50:03	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x54ac2f…
10-06 08:49:31	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xba2c8e…
10-06 08:47:06	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5aedf6…
10-06 08:46:36	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x232af4…
10-06 08:46:01	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x32dbda…
10-06 08:33:04	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xc8a133…