Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,302
Trades
192
Unique wallets
61
Liquidity
$19
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-18
last 07-10 15:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+80.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $7
vs crowd: 20% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $92 | $201 | $109 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $100 | $193 | $93 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $25 | $478 | $454 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $57 | $238 | $181 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $34 | $365 | $331 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | $29 | $27 |
| Median | 3 | — | $84 | $84 |
| Below median | 14 | $2 | $164 | $163 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $23 | $212 | $188 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $90 | $73 | +$17 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $45 | $52 | $7 |
| unranked | 19 | $71 | $132 | $61 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | +262 | $202 | $202 | 1 | 07-01 12:08 |
| Sharp-Okra-Robot 0x21c0…38d9 | Yes | +179 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-08 18:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +163 | $37 | $37 | 5 | 07-09 21:31 |
| Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | +115 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-02 06:53 |
| Yummy-Winter 0xb17d…59ae | No | +94 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 07-06 13:48 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +82 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 07-10 15:26 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +60 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 07-09 21:42 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +59 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-01 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 10:53 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +48 | $3 | $13 | 6 | 07-09 21:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +46 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 07-09 14:55 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +36 | $12 | $59 | 13 | 07-09 21:31 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-08 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 07:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-02 07:53 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-07 20:06 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +18 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-02 01:30 |
| Jumpy-Earring 0x43f7…e591 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-10 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-18 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $19 | 26 | 07-10 15:26 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +7 | $1 | $18 | 4 | 07-02 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-08 18:00 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-08 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 18:00 |
| Wide-Convertible 0x9a48…f315 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 12:23 |
| Rowdy-Yang 0xcd96…11a3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 13:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 15:26:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc98077… |
| 07-10 15:26:40 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc98077… |
| 07-10 11:51:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x8f2385… |
| 07-10 11:51:26 | Jumpy-Earring 0x43f7…e591 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x8f2385… |
| 07-10 11:18:58 | Second-Hand-Compass 0xd799…8f86 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xace80c… |
| 07-10 11:18:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xace80c… |
| 07-10 11:18:50 | Second-Hand-Compass 0xd799…8f86 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xae1c56… |
| 07-10 11:18:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xae1c56… |
| 07-10 10:53:59 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x6f4c32… |
| 07-10 10:53:59 | Second-Hand-Compass 0xd799…8f86 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x6f4c32… |
| 07-10 10:53:25 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xbb65bf… |
| 07-10 10:53:25 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xbb65bf… |
| 07-10 10:53:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x192209… |
| 07-10 10:53:13 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x192209… |
| 07-10 10:53:13 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x192209… |
| 07-10 10:53:13 | (anonymous) 0x80a0…8761 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x192209… |
| 07-09 21:42:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 47 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xe497dd… |
| 07-09 21:42:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe497dd… |
| 07-09 21:42:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xe497dd… |
| 07-09 21:42:04 | (anonymous) 0x80a0…8761 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xe497dd… |
| 07-09 21:42:04 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xe497dd… |
| 07-09 21:31:35 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xae77dc… |
| 07-09 21:31:35 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe28e92… |
| 07-09 21:31:35 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe28e92… |
| 07-09 21:31:35 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xae77dc… |
| 07-09 21:31:31 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 48 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x608fe4… |
| 07-09 21:31:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x608fe4… |
| 07-09 21:31:31 | (anonymous) 0x1d08…3f18 | Yes | SELL | 99 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x608fe4… |
| 07-09 21:31:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x608fe4… |
| 07-09 21:31:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x608fe4… |
| 07-09 14:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x1d08…3f18 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xf14aa3… |
| 07-09 14:55:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf14aa3… |
| 07-09 14:55:34 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xf14aa3… |
| 07-09 14:55:34 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 46 | 90¢ | $41 | 0xf14aa3… |
| 07-09 14:55:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xf14aa3… |
| 07-09 02:46:55 | Exemplary-Strawberry 0xdbd7…60b9 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc0a341… |
| 07-09 02:46:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc0a341… |
| 07-09 02:46:50 | Quizzical-Toilet 0x3570…f9d9 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x36f141… |
| 07-09 02:46:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x36f141… |
| 07-09 02:46:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2bf7b4… |
| 07-09 02:46:46 | Juvenile-Rosemary 0xbe44…fdf9 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x2bf7b4… |
| 07-09 02:46:44 | Petty-Overload 0x9dbc…406a | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc700a1… |
| 07-09 02:46:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc700a1… |
| 07-09 02:46:35 | Oblong-Keyboard 0x5e3e…e6ba | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x11d210… |
| 07-09 02:46:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x11d210… |
| 07-09 02:46:16 | Pitiful-Bet 0x84a9…53f4 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x8d6bc0… |
| 07-09 02:46:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8d6bc0… |
| 07-09 02:46:11 | Large-Flax 0x5cfa…f7c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xb1124d… |
| 07-09 02:46:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb1124d… |
| 07-09 02:46:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x19b22d… |
| 07-09 02:46:07 | Bogus-Webinar 0x646f…cd8e | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x19b22d… |
| 07-09 02:46:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc421ac… |
| 07-09 02:46:02 | Slight-Resolve 0xa952…07f4 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc421ac… |
| 07-09 02:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xfe8c88… |
| 07-09 02:46:01 | Best-Twins 0x432b…eebf | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xfe8c88… |
| 07-09 02:39:50 | Exemplary-Strawberry 0xdbd7…60b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x55ca27… |
| 07-09 02:39:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x55ca27… |
| 07-09 02:39:37 | Quizzical-Toilet 0x3570…f9d9 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xbf76f2… |
| 07-09 02:39:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbf76f2… |
| 07-09 02:39:20 | Juvenile-Rosemary 0xbe44…fdf9 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x55570f… |
| 07-09 02:39:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x55570f… |
| 07-09 02:39:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8dd2ee… |
| 07-09 02:39:17 | Petty-Overload 0x9dbc…406a | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x8dd2ee… |
| 07-09 02:39:10 | Oblong-Keyboard 0x5e3e…e6ba | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe3890b… |
| 07-09 02:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe3890b… |
| 07-09 02:39:08 | Pitiful-Bet 0x84a9…53f4 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb196ea… |
| 07-09 02:39:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb196ea… |
| 07-09 02:38:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x11b3b3… |
| 07-09 02:38:59 | Large-Flax 0x5cfa…f7c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x11b3b3… |
| 07-09 02:38:56 | Bogus-Webinar 0x646f…cd8e | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x83ffb6… |
| 07-09 02:38:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x83ffb6… |
| 07-09 02:38:40 | Slight-Resolve 0xa952…07f4 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xef2a62… |
| 07-09 02:38:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xef2a62… |
| 07-09 02:38:35 | Best-Twins 0x432b…eebf | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xab724a… |
| 07-09 02:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xab724a… |
| 07-08 18:24:04 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x65dcbd… |
| 07-08 18:24:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x65dcbd… |
| 07-08 18:24:04 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x65dcbd… |
| 07-08 18:00:29 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa844b9… |
| 07-08 18:00:29 | Sharp-Okra-Robot 0x21c0…38d9 | Yes | BUY | 179 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xa844b9… |
| 07-08 18:00:29 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa844b9… |
| 07-08 18:00:29 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xa844b9… |
| 07-08 18:00:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xa844b9… |
| 07-08 18:00:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xa844b9… |
| 07-08 18:00:29 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xa844b9… |
| 07-08 18:00:29 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa844b9… |
| 07-08 11:42:31 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xc62ed8… |
| 07-08 11:42:31 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xc62ed8… |
| 07-08 01:50:43 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x7d8091… |
| 07-08 01:50:43 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x7d8091… |
| 07-07 20:06:19 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x4aeb22… |
| 07-07 20:06:19 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x4aeb22… |
| 07-07 20:06:19 | Male-Nothing 0x3489…7fff | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x4aeb22… |
| 07-06 23:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x303ced… |
| 07-06 23:37:49 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x303ced… |
| 07-06 20:43:32 | Young-Hurdler 0xfb87…2fcf | No | SELL | 75 | 89¢ | $67 | 0xcbb262… |
| 07-06 20:43:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 11¢ | $8 | 0xcbb262… |
| 07-06 13:48:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xcda8a8… |
| 07-06 13:48:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 12¢ | $9 | 0xcda8a8… |
| 07-06 13:48:49 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 190 | 88¢ | $167 | 0xcda8a8… |