Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$7,382
Trades
433
Unique wallets
92
Liquidity
$19
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-18
last 08-03 03:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+68.9¢
(top1%: 97% YES on $154
vs crowd: 28% YES on $4.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $208 | $1.1K | $848 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $332 | $1.0K | $715 |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $334 | $1.0K | $693 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $455 | $205 | +$250 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $150 | $4 | +$146 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $44 | $501 | $458 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $28 | $55 | $28 |
| Median | 8 | $193 | $101 | +$91 |
| Below median | 18 | $223 | $910 | $687 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $27 | $335 | $308 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $129 | $660 | $530 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $112 | $371 | $259 |
| unranked | 34 | $423 | $397 | +$27 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +583 | $473 | $473 | 9 | 07-16 12:16 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +505 | $111 | $189 | 35 | 08-02 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | +458 | $130 | $130 | 13 | 07-17 12:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | +457 | $337 | $337 | 13 | 07-17 12:07 |
| Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | +407 | $312 | $312 | 4 | 07-19 18:14 |
| Exotic-Anywhere 0x14c3…bfb9 | Yes | +354 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 07-26 04:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2574…144b | Yes | +218 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-17 02:14 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +163 | $37 | $37 | 5 | 07-09 21:31 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +134 | $112 | $112 | 7 | 07-28 22:14 |
| Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | +115 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-02 06:53 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +95 | $23 | $109 | 11 | 07-27 22:36 |
| Yummy-Winter 0xb17d…59ae | No | +94 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 07-06 13:48 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +76 | $51 | $498 | 15 | 07-30 07:40 |
| Sharp-Okra-Robot 0x21c0…38d9 | Yes | +74 | $-17 | $164 | 6 | 07-28 18:15 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +52 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-16 16:16 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +51 | $52 | $134 | 8 | 07-17 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | +50 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-16 16:17 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +45 | $12 | $43 | 11 | 08-03 03:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +42 | $18 | $65 | 6 | 07-30 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +41 | $36 | $137 | 6 | 07-30 07:40 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +35 | $32 | $79 | 5 | 07-30 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7fb4…c704 | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-26 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xffb3…9ae4 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-27 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 07:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-17 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5203…b975 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-02 07:53 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-07 20:06 |
| Large-Handsaw 0xa6fe…818b | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-20 03:53 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +18 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-02 01:30 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +17 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 08-02 12:08 |
| Jumpy-Earring 0x43f7…e591 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-10 11:51 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 08-02 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-18 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x125c…7463 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-02 11:42 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-19 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +5 | $4 | $12 | 2 | 07-19 12:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +3 | $13 | $262 | 7 | 07-15 14:35 |
| Rowdy-Yang 0xcd96…11a3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 13:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:54:39 | Growling-Retrospective 0x936a…7a5a | No | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xd34570… |
| 08-03 03:54:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xd34570… |
| 08-02 12:09:05 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x9b436d… |
| 08-02 12:09:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x9b436d… |
| 08-02 12:08:11 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x22d8e6… |
| 08-02 12:08:11 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x22d8e6… |
| 08-02 11:43:03 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xd8f79b… |
| 08-02 11:43:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xd8f79b… |
| 08-02 11:42:44 | (anonymous) 0x125c…7463 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xcff48d… |
| 08-02 11:42:44 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0xcff48d… |
| 07-30 07:41:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xc072d2… |
| 07-30 07:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xc072d2… |
| 07-30 07:40:59 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 66 | 78¢ | $51 | 0xbe938b… |
| 07-30 07:40:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xbe938b… |
| 07-30 07:40:59 | (anonymous) 0xf18c…18c1 | Yes | SELL | 96 | 22¢ | $21 | 0xbe938b… |
| 07-30 07:40:44 | (anonymous) 0xf057…ab54 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x6596a7… |
| 07-30 07:40:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x6596a7… |
| 07-30 07:40:41 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 93 | 78¢ | $72 | 0x80de57… |
| 07-30 07:40:41 | Wilted-Uniform 0x0f99…6734 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 22¢ | $45 | 0x80de57… |
| 07-30 07:40:41 | (anonymous) 0xf057…ab54 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x80de57… |
| 07-30 07:40:41 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x80de57… |
| 07-30 07:40:41 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 60 | 77¢ | $46 | 0x80de57… |
| 07-30 07:40:29 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 24¢ | $48 | 0x0288d1… |
| 07-30 07:40:29 | Wilted-Uniform 0x0f99…6734 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 24¢ | $25 | 0x0288d1… |
| 07-30 07:40:29 | (anonymous) 0xf18c…18c1 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 24¢ | $23 | 0x0288d1… |
| 07-30 07:40:26 | Wilted-Uniform 0x0f99…6734 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x7e93cf… |
| 07-30 07:40:26 | Nimble-Checkbook 0x05bd…72e2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x7e93cf… |
| 07-30 07:40:24 | Wilted-Uniform 0x0f99…6734 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xac1c48… |
| 07-30 07:40:24 | Wilted-Uniform 0x0f99…6734 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x2270e2… |
| 07-30 07:40:24 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x2270e2… |
| 07-30 07:40:24 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 24¢ | $12 | 0xac1c48… |
| 07-30 07:40:23 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 289 | 25¢ | $72 | 0xa6aa9a… |
| 07-30 07:40:23 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 25¢ | $12 | 0xa6aa9a… |
| 07-30 07:40:23 | Nimble-Checkbook 0x05bd…72e2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xa6aa9a… |
| 07-30 07:40:23 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 25¢ | $50 | 0xa6aa9a… |
| 07-30 07:39:53 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 296 | 25¢ | $74 | 0x0678a3… |
| 07-30 07:39:53 | (anonymous) 0x069e…863c | Yes | SELL | 296 | 25¢ | $74 | 0x0678a3… |
| 07-28 22:14:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x50f9f7… |
| 07-28 22:14:50 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | SELL | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x50f9f7… |
| 07-28 20:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x33224a… |
| 07-28 20:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x33224a… |
| 07-28 18:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x58b5b7… |
| 07-28 18:15:05 | Sharp-Okra-Robot 0x21c0…38d9 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x58b5b7… |
| 07-28 18:15:05 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x58b5b7… |
| 07-28 18:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x58b5b7… |
| 07-27 22:36:33 | (anonymous) 0xffb3…9ae4 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x652641… |
| 07-27 22:36:33 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x652641… |
| 07-27 19:35:04 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 16 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xcc01bb… |
| 07-27 19:35:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 16 | 77¢ | $12 | 0xcc01bb… |
| 07-26 09:33:03 | (anonymous) 0x7fb4…c704 | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x453462… |
| 07-26 09:33:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x453462… |
| 07-26 04:59:06 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 62 | 77¢ | $47 | 0xc66edf… |
| 07-26 04:59:06 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 38 | 24¢ | $9 | 0xc66edf… |
| 07-26 04:59:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 100 | 77¢ | $77 | 0xc66edf… |
| 07-26 04:58:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 138 | 77¢ | $106 | 0x3b23df… |
| 07-26 04:58:43 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 138 | 77¢ | $106 | 0x3b23df… |
| 07-26 04:58:42 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 25 | 77¢ | $19 | 0x9184b9… |
| 07-26 04:58:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 25 | 77¢ | $19 | 0x9184b9… |
| 07-26 04:58:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 100 | 77¢ | $77 | 0xcf236a… |
| 07-26 04:58:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 100 | 77¢ | $77 | 0xcf236a… |
| 07-26 04:58:37 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 65 | 77¢ | $50 | 0x04d906… |
| 07-26 04:58:37 | (anonymous) 0x2108…d3dd | No | SELL | 65 | 77¢ | $50 | 0x04d906… |
| 07-26 04:58:34 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 23¢ | $9 | 0x8ddc78… |
| 07-26 04:58:34 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 199 | 77¢ | $154 | 0x8ddc78… |
| 07-26 04:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x2108…d3dd | No | BUY | 65 | 77¢ | $50 | 0x8ddc78… |
| 07-26 04:58:34 | Exotic-Anywhere 0x14c3…bfb9 | Yes | BUY | 354 | 23¢ | $80 | 0x8ddc78… |
| 07-26 04:58:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 77¢ | $39 | 0x8ddc78… |
| 07-24 13:16:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x45a650… |
| 07-24 13:16:42 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x45a650… |
| 07-23 17:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x974c7b… |
| 07-23 17:03:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x974c7b… |
| 07-22 16:28:22 | Sharp-Okra-Robot 0x21c0…38d9 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 26¢ | $15 | 0xcc322c… |
| 07-22 16:28:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 56 | 26¢ | $15 | 0xcc322c… |
| 07-22 16:24:46 | Sharp-Okra-Robot 0x21c0…38d9 | Yes | SELL | 368 | 25¢ | $90 | 0xc5c0bd… |
| 07-22 16:24:46 | Growling-Retrospective 0x936a…7a5a | No | SELL | 99 | 76¢ | $75 | 0xc5c0bd… |
| 07-22 16:24:46 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 58 | 76¢ | $44 | 0xc5c0bd… |
| 07-22 16:24:46 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 211 | 24¢ | $52 | 0xc5c0bd… |
| 07-21 07:13:10 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 58 | 75¢ | $44 | 0xb6ef07… |
| 07-21 07:13:10 | (anonymous) 0x069e…863c | Yes | BUY | 158 | 25¢ | $39 | 0xb6ef07… |
| 07-21 07:13:10 | Growling-Retrospective 0x936a…7a5a | No | BUY | 100 | 75¢ | $75 | 0xb6ef07… |
| 07-20 16:39:49 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x18a824… |
| 07-20 16:39:49 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x18a824… |
| 07-20 16:39:49 | Growling-Retrospective 0x936a…7a5a | No | BUY | 0 | 75¢ | $0 | 0x18a824… |
| 07-20 03:53:48 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xb462c8… |
| 07-20 03:53:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xb462c8… |
| 07-20 03:53:45 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x37a052… |
| 07-20 03:53:45 | Large-Handsaw 0xa6fe…818b | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x37a052… |
| 07-19 18:14:12 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 45 | 75¢ | $34 | 0xa3eee7… |
| 07-19 18:14:12 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 45 | 75¢ | $34 | 0xa3eee7… |
| 07-19 16:27:54 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0xc0538a… |
| 07-19 16:27:54 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0xc0538a… |
| 07-19 15:27:43 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 45 | 76¢ | $34 | 0x7b7914… |
| 07-19 15:27:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 45 | 76¢ | $34 | 0x7b7914… |
| 07-19 15:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x069e…863c | Yes | BUY | 138 | 24¢ | $34 | 0xfe2391… |
| 07-19 15:27:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 24¢ | $23 | 0xfe2391… |
| 07-19 15:27:37 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 45 | 76¢ | $34 | 0xfe2391… |
| 07-19 12:33:49 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x201cc4… |
| 07-19 12:33:49 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x201cc4… |
| 07-17 14:21:42 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 12 | 25¢ | $3 | 0xdbaaf2… |
| 07-17 14:21:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 25¢ | $3 | 0xdbaaf2… |