Creamy-Geology 0xf524bf…c38178
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$18.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
19.2%
Resolved
5,233
Trades
96,702
lifetime
Volume
$1.24M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$10.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 10-26 23:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
52% 14% -$10,599
Politics
31% 15% -$4,679
Tech
10% 15% -$1,797
Sports
5% 16% -$1,402
Crypto
1% 26% +$11
Pop-Culture
1% 15% -$73
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 959 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +800 $723 86¢ $691 -$32 10-25 03:56
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +600 $561 99¢ $595 +$34 10-06 22:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +599 $433 88¢ $531 +$98 10-24 16:49
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +800 $608 62¢ $496 -$112 10-25 19:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +500 $446 90¢ $452 +$5 10-26 22:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +515 $448 86¢ $445 -$3 10-25 23:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +526 $468 84¢ $439 -$28 10-26 11:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +470 $352 90¢ $420 +$69 08-28 16:36
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +400 $387 96¢ $385 -$2 10-25 22:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +400 $386 96¢ $384 -$2 10-26 14:05
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +400 $350 92¢ $370 +$20 10-25 22:03
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +362 $354 98¢ $353 -$1 10-26 22:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +403 $368 87¢ $351 -$17 10-26 11:16
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +400 $326 82¢ $326 +$0 10-26 20:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +372 $327 84¢ $311 -$15 10-27 00:03
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +300 $268 100¢ $300 +$32 10-19 08:38
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +318 $287 94¢ $297 +$11 10-26 05:08
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +400 $306 70¢ $282 -$24 10-03 12:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +311 $241 82¢ $255 +$14 10-26 11:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +362 $292 70¢ $252 -$40 10-26 11:02
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +400 $243 61¢ $244 +$1 10-07 18:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +273 $234 88¢ $242 +$8 10-26 10:52
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +240 $202 98¢ $235 +$33 10-17 19:47
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +241 $232 93¢ $223 -$9 10-13 04:45
No one announced as next James Bond? No +300 $260 74¢ $223 -$37 10-25 16:14
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +280 $222 80¢ $223 +$0 07-15 06:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +233 $214 94¢ $219 +$5 09-21 17:34
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +223 $205 94¢ $210 +$5 10-26 11:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +253 $260 82¢ $208 -$52 10-25 19:28
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +214 $197 97¢ $207 +$10 08-16 14:01