Creamy-Geology 0xf524bf…c38178
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$406
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
6.7%
Resolved
71
Trades
30,510
lifetime
Volume
$284.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$3.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-20 23:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
50% 16% $-273
Politics
25% 26% $-65
Tech
16% 0% $-37
Sports
6% 0% $-31
Crypto
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +541 $508 88¢ $478 $-30 07-12 07:30
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +546 $468 70¢ $385 $-83 07-11 02:58
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +248 $204 94¢ $233 +$29 07-01 21:10
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +280 $222 76¢ $214 $-8 07-15 06:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +200 $196 96¢ $193 $-3 07-20 17:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +546 $89 30¢ $161 +$72 07-07 23:03
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +183 $152 84¢ $155 +$3 07-20 06:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -200 $-139 66¢ $-133 +$6 07-19 23:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $84 88¢ $88 +$4 07-17 02:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +741 $62 12¢ $87 +$25 07-12 07:07
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +100 $76 86¢ $86 +$11 07-05 21:57
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? Yes +100 $89 86¢ $86 $-4 07-19 23:37
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +80 $77 97¢ $77 +$0 07-05 23:47
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $71 72¢ $72 +$1 07-21 03:38
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +280 $66 24¢ $66 $-1 07-09 12:01
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +73 $63 90¢ $65 +$2 07-19 13:36
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +80 $66 80¢ $64 $-2 07-06 01:38
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +63 $60 97¢ $61 +$1 07-05 06:10
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +60 $59 97¢ $58 $-1 07-07 19:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +100 $65 57¢ $57 $-8 07-20 22:56
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +74 $56 71¢ $53 $-3 07-20 18:02
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +53 $52 96¢ $51 $-0 07-06 15:56
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +50 $45 100¢ $50 +$5 07-02 03:45
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -50 $-48 99¢ $-49 $-2 07-19 23:21
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -60 $-44 79¢ $-47 $-3 07-19 21:55
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +50 $47 95¢ $47 +$0 07-04 09:05
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? No +50 $44 94¢ $47 +$4 07-05 08:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +49 $47 96¢ $47 $-0 07-20 19:24
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +50 $47 92¢ $46 $-1 07-20 23:30
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? No +60 $48 74¢ $45 $-3 07-20 08:07