Creamy-Geology 0xf524bf…c38178
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$406
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
6.7%
Resolved
71
Trades
27,694
lifetime
Volume
$232.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$567
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 06-30 18:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
47% 16% $-273
Politics
28% 26% $-65
Tech
16% 0% $-37
Sports
7% 0% $-31
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +153 $14 98¢ $150 +$136 06-11 13:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1,050 $58 5¢ $56 $-2 06-30 11:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +400 $44 12¢ $46 +$2 06-30 23:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-24 14¢ $-27 $-3 06-26 06:08
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +282 $52 10¢ $27 $-25 06-30 23:48
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +260 $21 9¢ $24 +$3 06-30 05:51
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +310 $33 7¢ $22 $-11 06-30 05:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +200 $18 8¢ $17 $-1 06-28 08:46
Will Jennifer Lopez perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +245 $22 6¢ $16 $-7 06-29 22:36
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +204 $16 7¢ $13 $-3 06-30 19:29
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +242 $19 5¢ $12 $-7 06-30 03:12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes -200 $-17 6¢ $-12 +$5 06-25 16:05
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? Yes -39 $-4 29¢ $-11 $-8 06-20 14:00
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +100 $10 10¢ $10 +$1 06-30 11:22
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +46 $4 22¢ $10 +$6 06-30 21:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -239 $-11 4¢ $-10 +$1 06-29 04:00
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -130 $-9 8¢ $-10 $-1 06-08 19:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -142 $-6 6¢ $-9 $-3 06-04 09:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +55 $3 15¢ $8 +$5 06-30 15:36
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes +84 $8 10¢ $8 $-0 06-27 08:14
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30? Yes -100 $-8 8¢ $-8 $-0 06-29 03:47
3Jane FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +15 $1 49¢ $7 +$7 06-25 19:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -44 $-10 16¢ $-7 +$3 06-25 14:17
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? Yes +161 $15 4¢ $7 $-7 06-30 19:07
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -30 $-3 23¢ $-7 $-4 06-28 17:15
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +100 $9 7¢ $7 $-3 06-30 11:02
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +118 $9 6¢ $7 $-2 06-24 23:14
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +70 $7 9¢ $6 $-0 06-30 03:29
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +60 $6 10¢ $6 +$0 06-30 16:28
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -123 $-8 5¢ $-6 +$2 06-30 06:12