Creamy-Geology 0xf524bf…c38178
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$406
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
6.7%
Resolved
71
Trades
14,405
lifetime
Volume
$179.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$435
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 06-10 00:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
51% 16% $-273
Politics
25% 26% $-65
Tech
18% 0% $-37
Sports
5% 0% $-31
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 616 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +200 $14 62¢ $125 +$111 05-29 18:19
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No -35 $-24 71¢ $-25 $-1 05-31 15:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No -255 $-14 9¢ $-24 $-10 06-09 16:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T Yes +427 $36 4¢ $19 $-16 06-10 05:48
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +200 $8 9¢ $18 +$10 06-09 15:57
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-18 8¢ $-17 +$1 06-06 08:53
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -221 $-17 6¢ $-14 +$2 06-09 20:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -194 $-13 7¢ $-14 $-1 06-05 16:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -239 $-11 5¢ $-13 $-2 06-06 16:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +176 $34 6¢ $11 $-22 06-08 11:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -142 $-6 8¢ $-11 $-6 06-04 09:53
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +169 $9 6¢ $11 +$2 06-09 23:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +200 $12 5¢ $11 $-1 06-10 03:21
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +234 $34 4¢ $10 $-24 06-10 01:57
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -130 $-9 8¢ $-10 $-1 06-08 19:37
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +88 $8 10¢ $9 +$1 06-10 06:56
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes -76 $-0 11¢ $-9 $-8 05-28 02:10
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election? No -31 $-2 28¢ $-9 $-7 05-31 03:10
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? Yes +100 $10 8¢ $9 $-1 06-10 02:40
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? Yes -495 $-11 2¢ $-8 +$3 05-30 18:25
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -180 $-11 4¢ $-8 +$3 06-04 15:54
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $17 6¢ $6 $-11 06-10 01:23
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -50 $-5 12¢ $-6 $-1 06-10 00:00
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +61 $6 10¢ $6 $-0 06-06 01:00
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +62 $6 10¢ $6 $-0 06-08 07:02
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +85 $6 7¢ $6 $-1 06-09 14:46
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? Yes +58 $5 10¢ $6 +$0 05-30 16:50
Les Wexner charged by June 30? Yes +100 $7 5¢ $5 $-2 06-09 15:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +61 $6 8¢ $5 $-1 06-09 15:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -319 $-9 2¢ $-5 +$4 06-05 14:40