Creamy-Geology 0xf524bf…c38178
new
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Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
17
17 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$586
$586 lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$549
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 02:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69% — —
Tech
27% — —
Politics
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? Yes -300 $-223 76¢ $-226 $-4 05-05 17:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? Yes -200 $-155 56¢ $-111 +$44 05-05 13:45
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? No -58 $-43 75¢ $-44 $-0 05-05 19:53
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May? Yes -200 $-40 21¢ $-42 $-2 05-05 19:53
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? Yes -52 $-38 74¢ $-39 $-1 05-05 03:50
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat? No -27 $-26 94¢ $-26 +$0 05-05 01:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes -21 $-14 63¢ $-13 +$1 05-05 19:44
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? Yes -66 $-14 19¢ $-13 +$2 05-05 19:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? No -20 $-5 44¢ $-9 $-4 05-04 21:29
Will Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 05-05 17:52
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? Yes -9 $-5 59¢ $-5 +$0 05-05 17:52
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? No -7 $-6 66¢ $-5 +$1 05-05 10:15
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? No -5 $-4 78¢ $-4 +$0 05-05 17:52
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat? No -13 $-3 20¢ $-3 +$0 05-06 02:59
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? Yes -1 $-1 81¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 05:15
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? No -2 $-0 19¢ $-0 $-0 05-05 22:39