Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$194
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,546
lifetime
Volume
$10.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$2.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 07-14 17:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
55%
Politics
21%
Crypto
20%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +293 $151 66¢ $192 +$41 07-13 19:49
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +190 $69 66¢ $124 +$55 07-14 11:07
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +275 $30 45¢ $124 +$95 07-13 19:31
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? No +132 $109 87¢ $115 +$5 06-20 17:40
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +175 $88 64¢ $112 +$24 07-13 20:43
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? No +123 $102 86¢ $107 +$5 06-21 13:09
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +180 $103 58¢ $104 +$2 07-14 13:53
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +290 $113 34¢ $100 $-13 07-12 23:05
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +140 $94 64¢ $89 $-6 07-05 07:59
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +90 $83 95¢ $86 +$3 06-20 19:36
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +155 $110 54¢ $84 $-26 07-08 07:11
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +175 $62 42¢ $74 +$12 07-13 20:20
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +206 $113 34¢ $71 $-42 07-12 12:39
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No +90 $74 76¢ $69 $-5 07-13 22:26
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +114 $84 55¢ $62 $-22 07-13 04:28
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +60 $58 98¢ $59 +$1 07-13 17:30
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $57 97¢ $58 +$1 07-12 19:12
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +60 $57 97¢ $58 +$1 07-13 10:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +70 $44 80¢ $56 +$11 07-13 16:37
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $51 92¢ $56 +$4 07-12 15:30
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +93 $62 58¢ $54 $-9 07-03 12:03
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? No +63 $48 84¢ $53 +$6 06-21 10:59
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +70 $33 74¢ $52 +$19 07-13 17:14
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +60 $47 85¢ $51 +$4 07-12 10:50
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +60 $50 85¢ $51 +$1 07-13 18:40
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No +110 $31 46¢ $51 +$20 07-07 12:45
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No +55 $43 90¢ $50 +$6 06-20 17:16
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +65 $49 73¢ $47 $-2 07-12 06:27
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +60 $41 78¢ $46 +$5 06-21 08:23
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? No +87 $51 54¢ $46 $-5 07-14 11:15