Realized P&L
-$1.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$866
Hit rate
46.2%
Resolved
1,045
Trades
3,363
lifetime
Volume
$17.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$2.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 07-14 17:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
60% 21% -$753
Politics
20% 31% -$106
Crypto
14% 27% -$138
Sports
3% 37% -$50
Tech
2% 3% -$82
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$16
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +293 $151 92¢ $271 +$120 07-13 19:49
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +275 $30 84¢ $232 +$202 07-13 19:31
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +190 $69 94¢ $179 +$109 07-14 11:07
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +175 $88 85¢ $149 +$61 07-13 20:43
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +126 $31 75¢ $94 +$63 07-14 12:36
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +75 $47 96¢ $72 +$24 07-14 03:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +70 $44 96¢ $67 +$23 07-13 16:37
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No +85 $56 78¢ $66 +$11 06-20 19:54
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +90 $34 69¢ $62 +$28 07-03 12:44
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +60 $57 98¢ $59 +$2 07-13 10:18
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +60 $47 97¢ $58 +$12 07-12 10:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +65 $18 90¢ $58 +$40 07-06 12:20
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +65 $49 88¢ $57 +$8 07-12 06:27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $29 80¢ $56 +$27 07-14 15:49
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No +55 $43 96¢ $53 +$9 06-20 17:16
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +76 $39 69¢ $52 +$14 07-11 23:53
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +62 $34 84¢ $52 +$19 07-05 13:02
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No +52 $41 99¢ $51 +$10 06-19 14:57
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +50 $33 100¢ $50 +$17 07-05 15:10
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +140 $94 31¢ $43 -$51 07-05 07:59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +45 $10 91¢ $41 +$30 07-06 04:38
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +45 $29 90¢ $40 +$11 07-06 09:18
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +41 $25 95¢ $39 +$14 06-20 19:22
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +40 $36 95¢ $38 +$2 07-08 07:14
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +39 $20 91¢ $36 +$16 06-21 10:06
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +35 $30 99¢ $35 +$5 07-05 15:42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +44 $18 78¢ $34 +$16 06-21 12:30
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +60 $15 56¢ $34 +$19 07-13 17:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +35 $30 93¢ $33 +$3 07-05 23:42
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +40 $29 81¢ $32 +$3 07-07 14:44