Realized P&L
-$1.40K
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
427
Trades
1,985
lifetime
Volume
$39.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$370
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-09
last 08-25 08:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
97% 45% -$1,295
Sports
2% 8% -$24
Politics
1% 0% -$6
Crypto
0% 0% -$64
Tech
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +118 $72 80¢ $94 +$22 07-03 21:42
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +99 $36 84¢ $84 +$48 07-04 11:03
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +61 $33 98¢ $60 +$26 07-11 20:34
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +80 $50 60¢ $48 -$2 07-02 20:25
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $31 40¢ $32 +$1 07-02 20:24
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +118 $48 20¢ $24 -$24 07-03 22:13
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +99 $65 16¢ $15 -$50 07-04 10:05
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +12 $5 78¢ $9 +$4 07-05 21:45
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +12 $7 22¢ $3 -$5 07-05 21:41
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +61 $32 2¢ $1 -$31 07-08 21:28