Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad28…feff58
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$277
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
17
Trades
10,262
lifetime
Volume
$1.35M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$131
Open exposure
$17.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 04:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
55% 71% $-1,069
Other
38% 50% $-167
Tech
6% — —
Crypto
1% 75% $-8
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +2,400 $2,329 97¢ $2.3K +$2 06-09 23:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +1,700 $1,650 98¢ $1.7K +$8 06-07 20:07
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -1,700 $-1,594 96¢ $-1624 $-30 06-10 00:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1,600 $1,559 99¢ $1.6K +$21 06-06 01:26
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? No +965 $934 97¢ $936 +$2 06-09 10:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +1,000 $936 94¢ $935 $-1 06-04 19:15
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -685 $-674 99¢ $-679 $-5 06-07 16:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +800 $664 82¢ $660 $-4 06-06 07:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -666 $-669 99¢ $-659 +$9 06-04 18:05
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -600 $-619 98¢ $-590 +$29 06-10 04:41
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +700 $573 81¢ $567 $-6 06-08 15:49
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +600 $518 86¢ $513 $-5 06-08 15:01
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +503 $332 96¢ $485 +$152 06-08 10:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +600 $380 68¢ $405 +$25 06-06 10:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -400 $-374 94¢ $-378 $-4 06-01 09:43
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +400 $366 94¢ $378 +$12 06-03 22:57
Kurds declare independence from Iran? No +357 $348 98¢ $348 +$0 06-08 08:37
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +350 $324 95¢ $332 +$8 06-08 04:13
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +300 $283 100¢ $300 +$17 06-08 11:48
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? No +248 $243 99¢ $245 +$2 06-06 03:46
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? No +200 $194 99¢ $198 +$3 06-03 00:00
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +200 $189 97¢ $193 +$5 06-04 18:25
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -200 $-186 96¢ $-191 $-5 05-28 01:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -210 $-183 90¢ $-188 $-5 06-08 23:41
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -183 $-178 99¢ $-181 $-3 05-29 22:42
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +174 $169 99¢ $172 +$3 06-10 07:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +700 $145 24¢ $169 +$24 06-08 20:41
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -167 $-164 92¢ $-153 +$12 06-08 16:02
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -138 $-135 99¢ $-137 $-1 05-27 20:24
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No +110 $97 99¢ $109 +$12 06-06 18:35