Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad28…feff58
whale hot 18W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$29.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.08K
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved
1,432
Trades
21,099
lifetime
Volume
$2.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$35.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 00:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 243 days
Categories
Politics
54% 75% +$5,687
Other
38% 68% +$16,274
Tech
6% 80% +$6,633
Sports
1% 58% +$950
Crypto
1% 80% +$83
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,882 $2,639 95¢ $4.6K +$2,011 10-25 23:40
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,660 $2,300 87¢ $3.2K +$873 10-23 14:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,310 $2,549 82¢ $2.7K +$149 10-24 16:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,862 $2,250 56¢ $2.2K -$68 10-22 13:05
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +2,318 $1,954 80¢ $1.9K -$89 10-22 13:08
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +2,120 $1,533 72¢ $1.5K +$4 10-26 14:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,008 $1,493 50¢ $1.5K +$12 10-26 16:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +1,400 $1,346 100¢ $1.4K +$47 10-28 00:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,871 $551 34¢ $1.3K +$785 10-20 18:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,400 $1,159 92¢ $1.3K +$123 10-25 22:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,400 $1,277 92¢ $1.3K +$4 10-07 18:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +2,856 $1,137 44¢ $1.2K +$106 10-27 15:45
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,271 $990 97¢ $1.2K +$239 10-26 17:33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,453 $1,181 72¢ $1.0K -$142 09-29 13:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +951 $795 86¢ $814 +$19 10-25 22:33
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +729 $751 98¢ $714 -$37 10-26 22:49
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $718 86¢ $684 -$34 10-25 06:11
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +630 $554 99¢ $621 +$66 10-07 20:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +620 $417 99¢ $615 +$198 10-23 13:19
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +722 $540 82¢ $588 +$48 09-22 07:34
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $565 72¢ $576 +$11 10-17 16:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +583 $477 94¢ $545 +$68 10-25 23:53
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +637 $378 82¢ $519 +$141 10-24 17:11
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +810 $623 60¢ $490 -$133 10-02 18:57
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +606 $472 77¢ $468 -$5 09-29 14:40
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,660 $741 12¢ $421 -$320 10-23 17:19
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +656 $431 62¢ $410 -$21 10-24 21:20
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +413 $384 93¢ $385 +$1 10-04 15:18
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +400 $352 92¢ $368 +$16 10-27 23:50
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $358 92¢ $366 +$8 10-19 10:16