Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad28…feff58
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$816
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
17
Trades
11,002
lifetime
Volume
$1.46M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$23.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
53% 71% $-1,069
Other
40% 50% $-167
Tech
6% — —
Crypto
1% 75% $-8
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +3,400 $2,972 86¢ $2.9K $-31 06-30 07:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,740 $1,613 100¢ $1.7K +$119 06-29 17:15
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -1,700 $-1,594 100¢ $-1694 $-100 06-10 00:09
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -1,321 $-1,330 100¢ $-1320 +$10 06-25 17:48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +1,428 $1,037 76¢ $1.1K +$41 06-30 20:48
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? No +1,034 $1,003 100¢ $1.0K +$29 06-28 20:57
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +983 $953 100¢ $978 +$26 06-30 17:58
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +953 $936 100¢ $952 +$15 06-10 11:26
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -949 $-981 100¢ $-946 +$35 06-29 23:52
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1,000 $830 86¢ $865 +$35 06-22 12:52
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +900 $735 82¢ $742 +$8 06-21 18:26
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +690 $650 100¢ $688 +$38 06-30 16:02
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -685 $-674 100¢ $-684 $-10 06-07 16:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -666 $-676 100¢ $-665 +$10 06-18 07:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -600 $-631 100¢ $-599 +$31 06-15 19:26
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +600 $466 100¢ $599 +$133 06-23 11:53
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -600 $-639 100¢ $-599 +$40 06-21 12:17
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -600 $-619 100¢ $-598 +$21 06-10 04:41
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -690 $-578 86¢ $-590 $-11 06-26 05:49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +538 $516 99¢ $532 +$16 06-30 16:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +610 $514 86¢ $528 +$13 06-27 17:30
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +420 $333 100¢ $419 +$86 06-25 22:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -400 $-427 100¢ $-400 +$27 06-14 21:29
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +460 $378 84¢ $389 +$11 06-29 13:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -400 $-374 96¢ $-383 $-9 06-01 09:43
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +433 $308 85¢ $367 +$59 06-28 23:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +410 $320 86¢ $351 +$31 06-11 19:00
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -298 $-449 100¢ $-298 +$151 06-13 07:32
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +420 $328 70¢ $294 $-34 06-20 20:35
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +320 $240 83¢ $266 +$25 06-25 12:37