Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad28…feff58
whale hot 20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$6.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.58K
Hit rate
87.2%
Resolved (90d)
417
Trades (90d)
5,101
21,006 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$393.5K
$2.25M lifetime
Avg / trade
$107
Open exposure
$28.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 12:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 249 days
Categories
Politics
54% 74% +$6,733
Other
38% 68% +$19,381
Tech
6% 76% +$4,977
Sports
1% 58% +$950
Crypto
1% 80% +$83
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,060 $1,769 90¢ $2.7K +$977 10-31 23:40
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,615 $1,897 66¢ $2.4K +$489 10-31 19:29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,871 $551 52¢ $2.0K +$1,482 10-20 18:34
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +2,438 $2,048 80¢ $2.0K -$86 10-30 14:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,810 $1,299 84¢ $1.5K +$212 11-02 09:19
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1,584 $1,472 95¢ $1.5K +$37 10-31 09:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,862 $2,250 38¢ $1.5K -$763 10-22 13:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,400 $1,159 94¢ $1.3K +$165 10-25 22:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,400 $1,277 94¢ $1.3K +$46 10-07 18:31
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,271 $990 98¢ $1.3K +$261 10-26 17:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,242 $1,167 99¢ $1.2K +$64 11-02 12:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,488 $1,338 29¢ $1.0K -$327 10-31 17:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,161 $973 85¢ $991 +$18 11-01 23:07
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $718 94¢ $756 +$38 10-25 06:11
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +713 $661 94¢ $669 +$8 10-29 17:47
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $565 72¢ $572 +$7 10-17 16:33
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +722 $540 78¢ $567 +$27 09-22 07:34
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +553 $528 97¢ $536 +$8 11-01 23:43
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +637 $378 82¢ $519 +$141 10-24 17:11
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +656 $431 74¢ $489 +$58 10-24 21:20
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +499 $442 96¢ $477 +$34 10-31 12:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +630 $83 66¢ $419 +$336 10-27 20:00
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +410 $377 93¢ $381 +$4 11-01 17:41
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $358 94¢ $378 +$20 10-19 10:16
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +400 $352 94¢ $378 +$26 10-27 23:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +520 $350 72¢ $372 +$22 11-01 19:41
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +490 $410 71¢ $346 -$64 10-29 15:23
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,060 $659 11¢ $321 -$337 10-31 17:32
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +810 $623 38¢ $312 -$312 10-02 18:57
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +450 $324 68¢ $308 -$16 11-02 02:20