Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad28…feff58
whale hot 18W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.60K
Hit rate
81.3%
Resolved (7d)
49
Trades (7d)
480
21,159 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$45.7K
$2.28M lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$33.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Politics
54% 75% +$5,958
Other
38% 68% +$16,322
Tech
6% 80% +$6,633
Sports
1% 58% +$950
Crypto
1% 80% +$83
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5,403 $3,149 97¢ $5.3K +$2,110 10-29 17:35
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,660 $2,300 89¢ $3.2K +$943 10-23 14:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,310 $2,549 80¢ $2.7K +$116 10-24 16:05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,208 $1,633 67¢ $2.1K +$517 10-29 17:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,871 $551 53¢ $2.1K +$1,501 10-20 18:34
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +2,318 $1,954 81¢ $1.9K -$77 10-22 13:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +1,400 $1,346 100¢ $1.4K +$54 10-28 00:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,862 $2,250 34¢ $1.3K -$937 10-22 13:05
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,400 $1,277 94¢ $1.3K +$32 10-07 18:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,400 $1,159 92¢ $1.3K +$137 10-25 22:51
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,271 $990 97¢ $1.2K +$246 10-26 17:33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +951 $795 86¢ $820 +$25 10-25 22:33
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $718 91¢ $728 +$10 10-25 06:11
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +729 $751 100¢ $727 -$24 10-26 22:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +2,956 $1,179 24¢ $724 -$455 10-28 16:51
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +713 $661 92¢ $657 -$4 10-29 17:47
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +630 $554 99¢ $623 +$69 10-07 20:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +620 $417 100¢ $618 +$202 10-23 13:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +583 $477 96¢ $559 +$82 10-25 23:53
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $565 69¢ $552 -$13 10-17 16:33
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +722 $540 74¢ $531 -$9 09-22 07:34
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +637 $378 80¢ $507 +$128 10-24 17:11
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +656 $431 64¢ $423 -$8 10-24 21:20
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,660 $741 12¢ $421 -$320 10-23 17:19
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +810 $623 52¢ $417 -$206 10-02 18:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +630 $83 60¢ $375 +$292 10-27 20:00
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +400 $352 92¢ $370 +$18 10-27 23:50
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $358 92¢ $368 +$10 10-19 10:16
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +400 $352 91¢ $364 +$12 10-27 22:53
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +367 $195 93¢ $341 +$146 10-29 14:50