Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad28…feff58 Create alert
whale hot 20W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$30.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.12K
Hit rate
87.2%
Resolved
1,489
Trades
21,412
lifetime
Volume
$2.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$29.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 09:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 249 days
Categories
Politics
54% 74% +$5,383
Other
38% 68% +$19,381
Tech
6% 76% +$4,977
Sports
1% 58% +$950
Crypto
1% 80% +$83
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,060 $1,769 90¢ $2.8K +$982 10-31 23:40
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,615 $1,897 68¢ $2.5K +$580 10-31 19:29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,871 $551 57¢ $2.2K +$1,675 10-20 18:34
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +2,438 $2,048 79¢ $1.9K -$122 10-30 14:42
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,910 $1,638 94¢ $1.8K +$167 11-03 10:47
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1,804 $1,680 95¢ $1.7K +$33 11-03 04:24
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,800 $1,653 94¢ $1.7K +$48 11-03 07:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,810 $1,299 82¢ $1.5K +$194 11-02 09:19
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,271 $990 98¢ $1.2K +$255 10-26 17:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,862 $2,250 30¢ $1.2K -$1,072 10-22 13:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,488 $1,338 29¢ $994 -$344 10-31 17:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,042 $869 86¢ $892 +$23 11-02 14:17
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $718 92¢ $732 +$14 10-25 06:11
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +713 $661 94¢ $668 +$7 10-29 17:47
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +856 $579 74¢ $629 +$50 11-02 18:35
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +600 $587 98¢ $588 +$1 11-03 02:19
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +600 $582 97¢ $579 -$3 11-02 14:46
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +722 $540 78¢ $567 +$27 09-22 07:34
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $565 68¢ $540 -$25 10-17 16:33
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +553 $528 97¢ $537 +$10 11-01 23:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +500 $449 96¢ $478 +$28 11-03 01:31
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +499 $442 95¢ $474 +$32 10-31 12:11
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes +500 $457 88¢ $442 -$14 11-03 03:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +630 $83 66¢ $419 +$336 10-27 20:00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +500 $266 82¢ $410 +$144 11-02 22:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +520 $350 76¢ $393 +$43 11-01 19:41
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +400 $381 96¢ $383 +$2 11-03 03:55
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $358 94¢ $378 +$20 10-19 10:16
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +400 $352 94¢ $378 +$26 10-27 23:50
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +400 $358 92¢ $366 +$8 11-02 19:51