Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad28…feff58
whale 18W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$87
Unrealized P&L
+$4.32K
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved (30d)
170
Trades (30d)
1,538
21,230 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$143.6K
$2.28M lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$36.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 02:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 246 days
Categories
Politics
54% 75% +$6,012
Other
38% 68% +$16,280
Tech
6% 80% +$6,633
Sports
1% 58% +$950
Crypto
1% 80% +$83
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5,803 $3,541 99¢ $5.8K +$2,218 10-30 13:45
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,660 $2,300 87¢ $3.2K +$886 10-23 14:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,310 $2,549 82¢ $2.7K +$182 10-24 16:05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,552 $1,855 58¢ $2.1K +$223 10-30 22:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,871 $551 53¢ $2.1K +$1,501 10-20 18:34
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +2,438 $2,048 80¢ $2.0K -$86 10-30 14:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,476 $1,460 99¢ $1.5K +$1 10-30 17:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,400 $1,159 94¢ $1.3K +$151 10-25 22:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,400 $1,277 94¢ $1.3K +$32 10-07 18:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,862 $2,250 34¢ $1.3K -$956 10-22 13:05
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,271 $990 98¢ $1.2K +$255 10-26 17:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,188 $1,249 32¢ $1.0K -$213 10-30 22:54
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1,075 $999 93¢ $999 +$0 10-30 10:22
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1,460 $924 66¢ $971 +$47 10-30 20:20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +951 $795 86¢ $815 +$20 10-25 22:33
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $718 92¢ $740 +$22 10-25 06:11
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +729 $751 100¢ $727 -$24 10-26 22:49
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +713 $661 93¢ $660 -$1 10-29 17:47
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +630 $554 99¢ $622 +$68 10-07 20:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +620 $417 100¢ $619 +$202 10-23 13:19
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +583 $477 98¢ $571 +$94 10-25 23:53
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +722 $540 76¢ $549 +$9 09-22 07:34
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $565 68¢ $548 -$17 10-17 16:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +637 $378 80¢ $513 +$135 10-24 17:11
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +656 $431 68¢ $449 +$18 10-24 21:20
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +415 $349 100¢ $414 +$65 10-30 10:42
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +810 $623 48¢ $385 -$239 10-02 18:57
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,255 $682 12¢ $374 -$308 10-31 02:48
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $358 93¢ $372 +$14 10-19 10:16
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +400 $352 93¢ $372 +$20 10-27 22:53