Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open
Total volume
$15,348
$22 in 24h
Trades
689
Unique wallets
142
Liquidity
$3,149
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-22 10:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $234 | $3.2K | $3.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 36 | $519 | $2.1K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 36 | $238 | $649 | $411 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 52 | $137 | $670 | $533 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $104 | $149 | $45 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $160 | $342 | $182 |
| Median | 17 | $75 | $301 | $226 |
| Below median | 18 | $161 | $516 | $355 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $54 | $63 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $184 | $1.9K | $1.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $81 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| unranked | 56 | $309 | $2.2K | $1.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +1,725 | $1,329 | $2,017 | 26 | 08-21 18:08 |
| Striking-Saucer 0x1e55…e3e2 | No | +750 | $610 | $966 | 2 | 08-16 21:41 |
| Powerless-Email 0x1e34…b86f | Yes | +600 | $126 | $126 | 3 | 08-11 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +492 | $95 | $95 | 5 | 08-20 20:50 |
| Delayed-Appetiser 0x270a…7b78 | Yes | +433 | $94 | $131 | 6 | 08-14 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | +369 | $214 | $214 | 7 | 08-22 07:05 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +358 | $273 | $464 | 80 | 08-21 15:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +271 | $81 | $81 | 7 | 08-20 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | +271 | $195 | $195 | 6 | 08-21 15:37 |
| albert.c 0x0655…475d | No | +237 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 07-12 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…17d9 | No | +200 | $166 | $166 | 3 | 08-06 06:57 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +187 | $59 | $59 | 6 | 08-22 08:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x2574…144b | Yes | +174 | $31 | $57 | 3 | 08-21 15:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x1aed…68d4 | No | +170 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 08-21 15:37 |
| Limited-Spokesman 0xa58c…56e3 | Yes | +155 | $32 | $32 | 10 | 08-08 16:04 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +105 | $103 | $346 | 10 | 08-20 18:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0de…370d | Yes | +101 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-21 07:59 |
| Yummy-Winter 0xb17d…59ae | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 4 | 08-16 21:41 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +94 | $79 | $79 | 3 | 08-02 15:16 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +84 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 08-21 15:37 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +78 | $15 | $55 | 2 | 08-14 17:28 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +52 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 06-21 08:27 |
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | +50 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 08-07 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | +45 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 08-16 18:05 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +37 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-17 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x802d…f484 | No | +35 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 08-20 23:47 |
| Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | +30 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-19 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 08-07 15:15 |
| Melodic-Portion 0x772d…0deb | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-31 04:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4f3…b9f9 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-18 03:07 |
| Terrific-Screw 0xb408…f21b | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-08 13:16 |
| Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | +17 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-22 10:30 |
| Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | No | +17 | $10 | $10 | 6 | 08-22 00:53 |
| Chilly-Ravioli 0xb7c4…be7b | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-15 21:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x3413…d913 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 14:30 |
| Adept-Comfortable 0xf0fc…d716 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 11:03 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $8 | $25 | 2 | 07-19 05:07 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | +10 | $6 | $72 | 3 | 08-21 15:37 |
| 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-17 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ecf…c85d | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb52c…a5c0 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-19 02:59 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 20:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x35df…cf97 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-18 14:43 |
| Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-20 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf19…b4a8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 13:38 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +5 | $6 | $53 | 3 | 08-22 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-14 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf19…b4a8 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-14 21:08 |
| Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $20 | 9 | 08-22 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x703b…2320 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-10 10:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-21 11:35 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +1 | $23 | $73 | 46 | 08-22 10:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 10:30:13 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x77898f… |
| 08-22 10:30:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x77898f… |
| 08-22 10:30:13 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | BUY | 17 | 53¢ | $9 | 0x77898f… |
| 08-22 08:37:55 | Unrealistic-Opinion 0x4fb3…a39b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 47¢ | $6 | 0x9f8b78… |
| 08-22 08:37:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x9f8b78… |
| 08-22 08:37:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x9f8b78… |
| 08-22 07:05:01 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x3e60e9… |
| 08-22 07:05:01 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | SELL | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x3e60e9… |
| 08-22 00:53:31 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x4e940f… |
| 08-22 00:53:31 | Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | No | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x4e940f… |
| 08-22 00:52:57 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xa048cb… |
| 08-22 00:52:57 | Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | No | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xa048cb… |
| 08-22 00:47:46 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | SELL | 25 | 53¢ | $13 | 0xb4d557… |
| 08-22 00:47:46 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0xb4d557… |
| 08-22 00:47:46 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xb4d557… |
| 08-22 00:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 40 | 53¢ | $21 | 0xb4d557… |
| 08-21 21:19:52 | Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | No | SELL | 12 | 52¢ | $6 | 0x724c3f… |
| 08-21 21:19:52 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 12 | 52¢ | $6 | 0x724c3f… |
| 08-21 18:08:37 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x3abc54… |
| 08-21 18:08:37 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x3abc54… |
| 08-21 18:08:37 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | SELL | 13 | 51¢ | $7 | 0x3abc54… |
| 08-21 15:46:42 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 14 | 52¢ | $7 | 0x09eb13… |
| 08-21 15:46:42 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 50 | 51¢ | $25 | 0x09eb13… |
| 08-21 15:46:42 | (anonymous) 0x2574…144b | Yes | SELL | 26 | 50¢ | $13 | 0x09eb13… |
| 08-21 15:46:42 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x09eb13… |
| 08-21 15:45:18 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0x4a1fbd… |
| 08-21 15:45:18 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | SELL | 13 | 55¢ | $7 | 0x832259… |
| 08-21 15:45:18 | (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 45¢ | $6 | 0x832259… |
| 08-21 15:45:18 | (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 45¢ | $22 | 0x4a1fbd… |
| 08-21 15:45:18 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | SELL | 23 | 52¢ | $12 | 0x4dce8f… |
| 08-21 15:45:18 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 23 | 52¢ | $12 | 0x4dce8f… |
| 08-21 15:38:48 | (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 45¢ | $14 | 0x300252… |
| 08-21 15:38:48 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | No | SELL | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0x300252… |
| 08-21 15:38:48 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0x300252… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 500 | 60¢ | $298 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | No | BUY | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | (anonymous) 0x1aed…68d4 | No | BUY | 170 | 60¢ | $102 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 15:37:34 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x086d44… |
| 08-21 11:35:07 | Expensive-Owl 0xf915…0c01 | No | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0x4d94b2… |
| 08-21 11:35:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x4d94b2… |
| 08-20 23:47:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 36¢ | $9 | 0xc4739e… |
| 08-20 23:47:36 | (anonymous) 0x802d…f484 | No | BUY | 35 | 64¢ | $22 | 0xc4739e… |
| 08-20 23:47:36 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0xc4739e… |
| 08-20 20:50:45 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 47 | 38¢ | $18 | 0x08ee44… |
| 08-20 20:50:45 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 38¢ | $30 | 0x08ee44… |
| 08-20 20:50:45 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x08ee44… |
| 08-20 20:50:45 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 26 | 62¢ | $16 | 0x08ee44… |
| 08-20 18:22:40 | Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xebc6a2… |
| 08-20 18:22:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xebc6a2… |
| 08-20 18:17:31 | Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x1df52c… |
| 08-20 18:17:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x1df52c… |
| 08-20 18:14:48 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x597ef7… |
| 08-20 18:14:48 | Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x597ef7… |
| 08-20 18:14:27 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x99aeff… |
| 08-20 18:14:27 | Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | No | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0x99aeff… |
| 08-20 18:14:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 1 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x99aeff… |
| 08-20 18:10:48 | Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | No | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0x4ae5a7… |
| 08-20 18:10:48 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x4ae5a7… |
| 08-20 14:19:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x926c08… |
| 08-20 14:19:57 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x926c08… |
| 08-20 14:19:57 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 60 | 62¢ | $37 | 0x926c08… |
| 08-20 14:19:57 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x926c08… |
| 08-20 13:03:27 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xd3426f… |
| 08-20 13:03:27 | (anonymous) 0x226a…eec3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xd3426f… |
| 08-20 08:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 40¢ | $12 | 0xa293f7… |
| 08-20 08:35:49 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 200 | 60¢ | $120 | 0xa293f7… |
| 08-20 08:35:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 99 | 60¢ | $59 | 0xa293f7… |
| 08-20 08:35:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0xa293f7… |
| 08-20 08:35:49 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0xa293f7… |
| 08-19 23:21:10 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 35¢ | $11 | 0xda02be… |
| 08-19 23:21:10 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xda02be… |
| 08-19 23:21:10 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xda02be… |
| 08-19 17:41:36 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x631a73… |
| 08-19 17:41:36 | Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x631a73… |
| 08-19 15:55:15 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x98f28f… |
| 08-19 15:55:15 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x98f28f… |
| 08-19 15:55:01 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xef0e15… |
| 08-19 15:55:01 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0xef0e15… |
| 08-19 15:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 45 | 68¢ | $31 | 0xef0e15… |
| 08-19 05:59:21 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x0b8a81… |
| 08-19 05:59:21 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 79 | 67¢ | $53 | 0x0b8a81… |
| 08-19 05:59:21 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 33¢ | $15 | 0x0b8a81… |
| 08-19 05:59:21 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x0b8a81… |
| 08-19 05:59:21 | Dark-Inevitable 0xe5b4…1e3e | Yes | SELL | 140 | 33¢ | $46 | 0x0b8a81… |
| 08-19 02:59:40 | (anonymous) 0xb52c…a5c0 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xf2b498… |
| 08-19 02:59:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xf2b498… |
| 08-18 14:28:13 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 34¢ | $6 | 0x7fe25b… |
| 08-18 14:28:13 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 33 | 66¢ | $22 | 0x7fe25b… |
| 08-18 14:28:13 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x7fe25b… |
| 08-18 14:28:13 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 100 | 66¢ | $66 | 0x7fe25b… |
| 08-18 14:28:13 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 34¢ | $15 | 0x7fe25b… |
| 08-18 07:29:48 | (anonymous) 0x9fb7…3297 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 34¢ | $6 | 0xbd7b88… |
| 08-18 07:29:48 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 17 | 66¢ | $11 | 0xbd7b88… |