Adept-Comfortable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

-$32

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

326

Trades

660

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-08 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 26% -$16

Other

14% 42% -$13

Politics

9% 0% -$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+170	$28	2¢	$4	-$24	11-05 00:19
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	+39	$3	7¢	$3	-$1	11-07 23:39
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+88	$9	1¢	$1	-$7	06-04 11:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Yes	+31	$1	3¢	$1	+$0	11-06 01:56
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+5	$1	14¢	$1	$0	11-06 01:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President before 2027?	7	$82	438	268	+170	open	—	11-05 00:19
will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	6	$78	70	70	+0	No	+$20	06-04 10:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	5	$53	410	410	+0	open	—	06-01 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$38	61	43	+18	Down	+$30	05-18 02:14
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$30	126	35	+91	Yes	+$12	05-16 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$28	43	42	+0	Up	+$16	05-18 01:39
ebola case in the us by june 30	4	$26	129	0	+129	No	-$26	06-13 03:59
ebola pandemic in 2026	4	$23	194	107	+88	open	—	06-04 11:15
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 4	2	$20	29	29	+0	No	+$10	06-04 10:58
will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 4	2	$19	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	06-04 08:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 3?	2	$18	24	24	+0	Yes	+$8	06-03 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$17	14	13	+1	Down	+$10	04-29 15:20
Trump out as President by May 31?	6	$16	2,398	0	+2,398	No	-$16	05-26 21:22
Trump out as President by June 30?	5	$16	798	369	+429	No	-$6	06-04 03:22
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?	26	$16	1,391	1,351	+40	No	+$3	05-30 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$8	05-16 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$14	13	13	+0	Up	+$8	05-18 22:04
will bitcoin dip to 64k on june 3	6	$13	44	44	+0	Yes	+$5	06-03 20:03
will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 5	2	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	+$9	06-05 14:06
will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 3	8	$13	140	140	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 21:32
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	11-05 00:10
will bitcoin reach 66k on june 4	2	$11	17	17	+0	No	-$5	06-04 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$6	04-29 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	04-29 14:11
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 3	5	$10	150	150	+0	No	-$1	06-04 02:14
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	7	$10	247	207	+39	No	-$4	06-04 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$9	34	9	+25	Down	+$1	05-18 21:44
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 3?	1	$9	18	0	+18	No	-$9	06-03 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$9	14	13	+1	Down	+$6	05-18 20:58
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 5	2	$9	30	30	+0	No	+$5	06-05 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 03:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x38dffd…
11-08 03:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd253db…
11-08 03:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x769eef…
11-08 03:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x97c80c…
11-08 03:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdef63d…
11-08 03:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8727f2…
11-08 03:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x70e66b…
11-08 03:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5c8b04…
11-08 03:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xf366b3…
11-08 03:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x90cce7…
11-08 03:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x528830…
11-08 03:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x129c15…
11-08 02:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x62233c…
11-08 00:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xce218b…
11-07 23:39:52	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xe32735…
11-07 00:01:40	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x37c8bc…
11-06 23:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xd676f0…
11-06 23:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x6fa97d…
11-06 23:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x1cd368…
11-06 23:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x0f54a2…
11-06 23:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9b4732…
11-06 23:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xe623dc…
11-06 01:59:03	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x340651…
11-06 01:58:06	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x96ca99…
11-06 01:56:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x2453b2…
11-06 01:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x7a2eda…
11-06 01:43:54	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xb69f45…
11-05 02:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x4b63aa…
11-05 02:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x88ee26…
11-05 02:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x23e1d5…
11-05 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaf8119…
11-05 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f6ef9…
11-05 02:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x17bdcb…
11-05 02:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xafa3c8…
11-05 00:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xec1455…
11-05 00:30:48	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xcb9180…
11-05 00:19:10	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0d8b9e…
11-05 00:10:57	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5b4e9f…
06-27 05:23:59	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf79280…
06-27 05:23:44	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 738	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x87dd7c…
06-24 02:21:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8f90b7…
06-24 01:55:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xf55c17…
06-24 01:51:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd8ebf8…
06-24 01:51:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xa26985…
06-24 01:34:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x83e332…
06-24 00:48:04	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x66322d…
06-13 03:59:00	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x92162a…
06-11 08:23:57	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 11	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x03ce7f…
06-10 12:03:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 10	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xc6a346…
06-10 11:03:01	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3bb2a7…
06-10 10:58:42	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf50d58…
06-10 07:03:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 10	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf5e9f5…
06-09 14:57:24	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x58bb2f…
06-09 14:50:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd22157…
06-09 14:46:07	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 9	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x7b378a…
06-09 14:41:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 9?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x128b70…
06-09 14:34:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 9?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x58bd5b…
06-09 14:26:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x5538ab…
06-09 13:35:19	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 9	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x919016…
06-09 12:29:10	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 9	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x870405…
06-09 10:52:36	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 738	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7c59bd…
06-09 08:45:06	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 738	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x482d1a…
06-09 08:43:19	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xe6e24f…
06-09 08:36:54	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 9	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x861311…
06-09 08:33:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x7e9b44…
06-08 19:06:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 8	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xbf7071…
06-08 17:14:52	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 8	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x02c611…
06-08 16:27:34	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 8	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x17bb5b…
06-08 16:26:55	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x7280bd…
06-08 16:26:24	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 8	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x7c9d3a…
06-08 14:57:30	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 8	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8a8004…
06-08 14:57:27	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 8	No	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0xa7702e…
06-08 14:57:12	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 8	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x329a46…
06-08 14:40:24	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 8	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x3ff95a…
06-08 14:36:39	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 8	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbb11b9…
06-08 13:30:12	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2c97a5…
06-08 13:15:28	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 8	Yes	BUY	241	0¢	$1	0x770de3…
06-08 12:57:52	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 8	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x3a452d…
06-08 12:57:15	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa603f8…
06-08 12:49:58	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 8	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xec241a…
06-08 12:49:01	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xba2e53…
06-08 12:42:40	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf1f284…
06-08 12:37:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb53b52…
06-08 12:36:40	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xad7cec…
06-08 12:36:36	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xaa0503…
06-08 12:36:18	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 8	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x839cce…
06-08 12:36:16	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x810905…
06-08 12:31:27	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 8	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x7ae169…
06-08 12:31:00	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7610aa…
06-08 12:30:51	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x54bbe1…
06-08 12:30:21	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xee9f10…
06-08 12:30:07	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb29278…
06-08 12:30:04	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x679c7e…
06-08 12:29:21	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 8	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5f6b6a…
06-08 11:58:12	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 8	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xb3029f…
06-08 11:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x93ef7f…
06-08 11:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xeabeab…
06-08 11:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0xd391d7…
06-08 11:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb17cd9…
06-07 07:59:04	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 738	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x9c4c70…