Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
13
lifetime
Volume
$32
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 06-14 16:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
93%
Crypto
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +12 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 06-14 16:16
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +40 $8 22¢ $9 +$1 06-14 03:15
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +20 $6 29¢ $6 $-0 05-28 14:37
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +20 $2 13¢ $3 +$1 06-01 14:41
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-13 11:07