Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$51
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$39
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 06-22 15:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
96%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +101 $18 17¢ $17 $-1 06-21 07:59
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +12 $12 98¢ $12 +$0 06-14 16:16
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +20 $6 28¢ $6 $-1 05-28 14:37
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? Yes +20 $5 13¢ $3 $-2 06-21 12:23
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-13 11:07
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes -2 $-3 16¢ $-0 +$2 06-22 15:30