Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
16
lifetime
Volume
$54
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$16
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 06-15 22:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
80%
Politics
11%
Sports
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +35 $6 13¢ $5 $-1 06-15 21:50
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +30 $3 10¢ $3 $-0 06-15 21:49
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +14 $3 20¢ $3 $-0 06-15 21:51
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? Yes +27 $1 $2 +$1 06-15 22:04
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +40 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 21:59
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +27 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 21:58
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +25 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 22:00
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026? Yes +37 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 22:05
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? No +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-15 22:07