Willing-Eaves — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.5%

Resolved

Trades

58,224

lifetime

Volume

$47.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

52% 29% $-8

Politics

21% 12% $-9

Sports

15% 0% $-1

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	1,695	$2.3K	16,765	14,220	+2,544	open	—	04-28 03:07
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2,494	$2.1K	39,252	36,189	+3,063	open	—	04-27 17:23
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2,061	$1.7K	30,728	37,059	-6,331	open	—	03-24 08:33
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	1,677	$1.7K	12,348	13,188	-840	open	—	04-28 07:31
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	1,947	$1.6K	38,535	34,743	+3,792	open	—	03-28 02:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	600	$1.3K	29,734	32,817	-3,083	open	—	01-31 01:55
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	1,611	$1.2K	26,608	24,834	+1,774	open	—	04-28 04:17
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	1,734	$1.0K	22,880	21,904	+977	open	—	04-22 12:17
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1,242	$950	32,926	35,318	-2,391	open	—	03-28 02:38
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1,737	$905	27,820	25,767	+2,053	open	—	03-24 17:53
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	443	$820	2,237	2,272	-34	open	—	03-24 07:55
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	587	$768	11,232	13,645	-2,413	open	—	01-30 05:44
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	659	$732	5,033	4,641	+392	open	—	04-28 08:32
will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	441	$731	5,810	6,139	-329	open	—	02-20 16:57
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	382	$730	2,397	2,716	-319	open	—	03-09 19:06
will lus marques mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	147	$710	908	1,014	-106	open	—	01-16 15:38
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	358	$554	1,363	1,464	-101	open	—	03-05 19:41
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election 836	335	$443	3,897	3,655	+242	open	—	01-17 15:12
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	460	$418	4,098	3,920	+178	open	—	05-25 20:22
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	804	$415	16,940	14,495	+2,445	open	—	04-26 03:56
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	464	$410	5,746	5,560	+186	open	—	04-28 00:51
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	432	$360	6,095	6,770	-675	open	—	03-31 21:19
will czech republic win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	360	$330	9,535	9,357	+178	open	—	02-18 15:59
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	210	$320	1,415	1,785	-370	open	—	01-16 13:48
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	864	$313	15,069	12,361	+2,708	open	—	04-17 01:20
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	501	$310	6,582	6,504	+78	open	—	01-29 08:04
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	172	$309	1,123	1,044	+79	open	—	02-05 13:40
will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	423	$304	8,124	7,851	+273	open	—	02-17 18:04
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	865	$302	16,064	12,940	+3,124	open	—	04-24 01:10
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	160	$297	852	807	+45	open	—	02-03 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 12:09:52	Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xa0949b…
08-12 11:47:43	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xd9b34c…
08-12 08:35:39	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x6b4eef…
08-12 08:24:07	Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x057b86…
08-12 07:48:31	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x0523d1…
08-12 07:08:37	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x1adb96…
08-12 06:06:43	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xc6cd7b…
08-12 05:56:37	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xd77100…
08-12 05:46:13	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x153092…
08-12 05:24:18	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x8e6f96…
08-12 02:06:01	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xaf6463…
08-12 02:03:03	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x4b6dcd…
08-12 01:17:45	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x05db06…
08-11 23:34:09	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x992a59…
08-11 22:51:57	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x35e0d3…
08-11 22:44:27	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x6905b9…
08-11 21:29:28	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0xdaec0e…
08-11 14:54:31	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xf4baba…
08-11 08:47:25	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x9081c9…
08-11 08:13:58	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xb36eb7…
08-11 08:06:48	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xa0e27b…
08-11 08:03:28	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xe05d88…
08-11 07:11:00	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0xcb5443…
08-11 04:21:42	Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd28338…
08-11 03:50:34	Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x4e98f2…
08-11 03:18:52	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0xf831ba…
08-11 02:23:07	Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x81f5f1…
08-11 02:16:30	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x4846a9…
08-11 01:01:27	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x4cdc13…
08-11 00:11:01	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xe2fd67…
08-10 23:13:21	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x542ba1…
08-10 19:17:34	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x483579…
08-10 19:13:58	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x944c9c…
08-10 18:16:10	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xbb1387…
08-10 18:12:19	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x641bd7…
08-10 18:09:01	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf3a656…
08-10 18:05:43	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x48808a…
08-10 18:03:19	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf8c3b3…
08-10 17:29:36	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0x277a05…
08-10 16:52:49	Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x66b366…
08-10 14:44:16	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xc2324c…
08-10 10:00:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x021c38…
08-10 08:41:43	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x3f6bbe…
08-10 07:05:00	Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0xe76bc8…
08-09 22:14:30	Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xb398d5…
08-09 22:11:51	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x2ab536…
08-09 20:53:07	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xd9492c…
08-09 19:40:21	Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xdf3e36…
08-09 18:55:46	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6acbad…
08-09 16:15:21	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x58d538…
08-09 15:07:06	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xf98a48…
08-09 12:14:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0xbc8991…
08-09 12:09:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x80e9f4…
08-09 11:32:46	Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x30136a…
08-09 11:21:09	Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x0ce099…
08-09 11:06:42	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xca6e81…
08-09 10:53:54	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x6eb96b…
08-09 10:23:30	Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	64	6¢	$4	0x2fabec…
08-09 05:01:27	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x0b4c8e…
08-09 03:09:51	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x36a6c4…
08-09 02:34:39	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x429ae1…
08-09 02:34:36	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x26075d…
08-08 23:03:34	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x2121c9…
08-08 22:42:54	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x456b0d…
08-08 19:29:16	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x4f784c…
08-08 18:19:39	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x2aed2f…
08-08 16:51:21	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xaf67ff…
08-08 16:04:24	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x34afba…
08-08 14:25:22	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x57e686…
08-08 11:57:10	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xe89eba…
08-08 11:53:34	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xab37cf…
08-08 11:50:27	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x9c7b9b…
08-08 11:48:49	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x95bd89…
08-08 10:12:21	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x663077…
08-08 09:23:22	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x8e6449…
08-08 09:20:33	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x8aaa35…
08-08 07:28:16	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x0f0ddf…
08-08 06:48:22	Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xe141eb…
08-08 04:26:04	Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$3	0x652a06…
08-08 02:17:30	Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x434b84…
08-08 02:17:28	Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x020a8b…
08-08 00:55:03	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x383be4…
08-07 23:25:55	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x6cc846…
08-07 22:49:16	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x22a5cd…
08-07 22:49:15	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xd0d97b…
08-07 22:49:13	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x34ea76…
08-07 18:10:24	Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xfb0f15…
08-07 18:06:31	Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x60b139…
08-07 18:04:13	Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x38c205…
08-07 17:30:22	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x17c96b…
08-07 17:28:27	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x05ccda…
08-07 16:03:30	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xe45dee…
08-07 15:55:18	Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x28e03b…
08-07 15:23:28	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xab65fd…
08-07 15:22:58	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x34ca59…
08-07 14:18:03	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0xd3ee75…
08-07 12:39:24	Will Donald Trump visit Vermont in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x1ca7f3…
08-07 12:38:45	Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?	Yes	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0xf3e4fc…
08-07 12:01:54	Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x9b2e4f…
08-07 06:54:07	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x24cd56…