Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
22.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
58,069
lifetime
Volume
$46.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$92
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
52% 29% $-8
Politics
21% 12% $-9
Sports
15% 0% $-1
Tech
8%
Crypto
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +67 $18 34¢ $23 +$4 06-25 00:20
Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026? Yes -25 $-2 25¢ $-6 $-5 07-01 00:37
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -91 $-6 $-6 +$0 07-15 22:36
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -98 $-4 $-6 $-1 06-25 23:27
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? No -11 $-4 47¢ $-5 $-1 07-14 22:35
Will Donald Trump visit Indiana in 2026? Yes -8 $-5 46¢ $-4 +$1 07-08 20:01
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -10 $-5 33¢ $-3 +$2 06-25 13:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? Yes -17 $-5 17¢ $-3 +$2 06-29 15:09
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0042 by December 31, 2026? Yes -17 $-3 18¢ $-3 $-0 07-02 12:55
Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -191 $-4 $-3 +$1 07-02 16:12
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -11 $-3 22¢ $-2 +$1 06-25 21:34
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -33 $-2 $-2 +$0 07-03 12:17
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes -14 $-2 15¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 03:32
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -21 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-24 14:34
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -4 $-2 44¢ $-2 $-0 06-02 15:58
Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 38¢ $-2 $-1 07-09 12:32
Negative GDP growth in 2026? Yes -29 $-3 $-2 +$1 07-01 03:43
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 27¢ $-2 $-1 06-26 21:01
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $4 60¢ $2 $-2 06-29 01:06
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? Yes -9 $-1 19¢ $-2 $-1 07-04 18:10
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-27 03:48
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -5 $-2 31¢ $-2 +$0 07-14 17:30
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -52 $-3 $-2 +$2 07-21 11:21
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -12 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-31 10:15
Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -18 $-0 $-1 $-1 06-25 00:57
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -1 $-2 82¢ $-1 +$1 06-25 07:56
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-2 14¢ $-1 +$1 07-01 20:42
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +39 $5 $1 $-4 06-24 16:09
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -7 $0 11¢ $-1 $-1 06-30 08:20
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 34¢ $1 $-0 06-27 20:37