Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
22.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
57,900
lifetime
Volume
$46.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$91
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 19:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
52% 29% $-8
Politics
21% 12% $-9
Sports
15% 0% $-1
Tech
8%
Crypto
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 669 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +81 $22 10¢ $8 $-14 06-01 15:59
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +69 $11 11¢ $8 $-3 05-31 02:49
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? No -8 $-7 97¢ $-8 $-0 06-01 12:35
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +59 $8 $5 $-3 06-01 22:14
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +7 $4 70¢ $5 +$1 06-02 18:14
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-1 39¢ $-4 $-3 06-08 15:18
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 65¢ $4 $-1 06-03 19:30
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +14 $2 28¢ $4 +$2 06-08 19:01
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -11 $-3 33¢ $-4 $-0 05-30 15:15
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes -14 $-2 26¢ $-4 $-2 05-29 03:32
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +21 $2 16¢ $3 +$1 06-05 01:38
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes -3 $-4 100¢ $-3 +$1 06-03 09:17
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $1 24¢ $3 +$2 06-03 10:23
Will Ventuals launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +17 $1 18¢ $3 +$2 05-28 13:09
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +44 $2 $3 +$1 06-02 07:59
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $1 14¢ $2 +$2 05-31 12:03
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $2 32¢ $2 +$0 06-04 09:55
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? Yes +7 $1 32¢ $2 +$1 06-05 15:15
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +6 $2 26¢ $2 $-0 06-01 13:28
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30? Yes +35 $2 $2 $-0 06-03 08:08
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +10 $1 16¢ $2 +$1 06-07 09:39
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -4 $-2 34¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 15:58
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +21 $1 $1 $-0 06-04 13:05
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? Yes +30 $2 $1 $-1 06-01 20:21
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-09 19:03
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? Yes +12 $1 $1 +$0 06-01 22:56
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $1 $1 +$0 06-05 11:42
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $1 $-0 06-02 11:19
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +7 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 06-02 14:50
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -13 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-04 02:03