Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
22.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
58,033
lifetime
Volume
$46.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$73
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 08:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
52% 29% $-8
Politics
21% 12% $-9
Sports
15% 0% $-1
Tech
8%
Crypto
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 198 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +67 $18 23¢ $15 $-3 06-25 00:20
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? No -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-0 06-01 12:35
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -21 $-4 27¢ $-6 $-1 06-24 14:34
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -98 $-4 $-5 $-0 06-25 23:27
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -10 $-5 44¢ $-4 +$1 06-25 13:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? Yes -17 $-5 23¢ $-4 +$1 06-29 15:09
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -11 $-3 24¢ $-3 +$0 06-25 21:34
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -17 $-1 13¢ $-2 $-1 06-24 14:22
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -4 $-2 48¢ $-2 $-0 06-02 15:58
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? Yes -99 $1 $-2 $-3 06-27 19:12
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-27 03:48
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $1 15¢ $2 +$1 06-03 10:23
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes -14 $-2 13¢ $-2 +$0 05-29 03:32
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -12 $-1 14¢ $-2 $-1 05-31 10:15
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $1 $2 +$1 05-31 12:03
Will Donald Trump visit Indiana in 2026? Yes -3 $-3 41¢ $-1 +$2 06-25 12:18
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -26 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-26 00:02
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $4 42¢ $1 $-3 06-29 01:06
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-26 21:01
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -12 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-24 23:45
Negative GDP growth in 2026? Yes -16 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-25 13:56
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0042 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 18¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 05:57
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -1 $-2 67¢ $-1 +$1 06-25 07:56
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +39 $5 $1 $-4 06-24 16:09
Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -177 $-4 $-1 +$3 06-28 15:11
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +11 $4 $1 $-3 06-24 13:49
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -18 $-0 $-1 $-0 06-25 03:38
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026? Yes -5 $-0 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 23:24
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-24 13:31
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -2 $0 27¢ $-1 $-1 06-25 02:07