Realized P&L
+$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
1,132
Trades
70,263
lifetime
Volume
$58.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$48
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 12:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
53% 43% +$758
Politics
20% 41% -$224
Sports
15% 42% +$190
Tech
7% 38% +$311
Crypto
4% 67% +$84
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +17 $4 78¢ $13 +$9 08-13 04:45
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +6 $3 73¢ $4 +$1 08-18 02:55
Will Donald Trump visit Missouri in 2026? No -5 -$6 89¢ $-4 +$2 11-10 07:44
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$1 05-24 20:17
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -119 -$1 3¢ $-3 -$2 05-04 07:13
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? Yes -9 -$2 34¢ $-3 -$1 11-06 11:55
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $4 93¢ $3 -$1 06-29 01:06
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? Yes +57 $3 5¢ $3 -$1 11-04 08:13
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? Yes +83 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 11-03 11:07
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$4 18¢ $-2 +$2 11-04 08:34
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +51 $2 3¢ $1 $0 11-11 12:25
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +33 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 08-11 08:47
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes -12 -$3 5¢ $-1 +$2 10-18 21:03
Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026? Yes +8 -$1 7¢ $1 +$1 11-02 16:05
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -10 $1 5¢ $-1 -$2 10-22 00:09
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Yes -20 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 05-03 19:09
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -4 -$5 12¢ $-0 +$4 11-04 04:50
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -11 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$1 09-21 14:32
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -34 -$2 1¢ $-0 +$2 11-05 10:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 11¢ $0 -$2 08-10 10:00
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -8 $0 4¢ $-0 -$1 06-30 08:20
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4 -$2 7¢ $0 +$2 11-03 05:41
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -4 $0 5¢ $-0 $0 08-30 19:18
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -5 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 11-10 02:39
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $0 14¢ $-0 $0 09-04 20:02
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +12 $2 1¢ $0 -$1 11-07 19:15
Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -18 $2 1¢ $-0 -$2 11-06 19:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$1 77¢ $0 +$1 08-20 14:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? Yes -8 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 09-23 18:59
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +4 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-20 00:20