Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,825
Trades
69
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,884
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-06-05
last 08-22 07:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $12 | $15 | $3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $96 | $671 | $575 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $22 | $482 | $460 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $16 | $9 | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $54 | $542 | $487 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 11 | $69 | $635 | $566 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | +557 | $510 | $510 | 3 | 08-01 14:06 |
| Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | +500 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 07-03 09:18 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +175 | $161 | $161 | 2 | 08-03 14:01 |
| Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | +164 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 08-22 03:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +91 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 08-01 14:04 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-03 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +44 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 06-21 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +37 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-21 13:43 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-03 14:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +23 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 08-22 03:24 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 08-12 09:45 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +11 | $-5 | $33 | 5 | 08-22 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c7c…d042 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-22 07:02 |
| Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-22 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-01 14:03 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 06-25 11:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 07:11:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xba70ae… |
| 08-22 07:11:52 | Mediocre-Peripheral 0xdebd…49f3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xba70ae… |
| 08-22 07:02:54 | Mediocre-Peripheral 0xdebd…49f3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xbfba46… |
| 08-22 07:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x8c7c…d042 | No | BUY | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0xbfba46… |
| 08-22 03:24:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xd7fa06… |
| 08-22 03:24:49 | Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xd7fa06… |
| 08-22 03:24:48 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x446c08… |
| 08-22 03:24:48 | Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | BUY | 155 | 16¢ | $25 | 0x446c08… |
| 08-22 03:24:48 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x446c08… |
| 08-22 03:24:48 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 120 | 16¢ | $19 | 0x446c08… |
| 08-22 03:24:48 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x446c08… |
| 08-22 03:24:19 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3833a4… |
| 08-22 03:24:19 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3833a4… |
| 08-12 09:45:21 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb197f8… |
| 08-12 09:45:21 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xb197f8… |
| 08-05 09:28:33 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2ad967… |
| 08-05 09:28:33 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2ad967… |
| 08-03 14:01:27 | Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | BUY | 75 | 94¢ | $70 | 0xdd9c18… |
| 08-03 14:01:27 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xdd9c18… |
| 08-03 14:01:27 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xdd9c18… |
| 08-01 14:06:08 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 459 | 92¢ | $422 | 0x84cfe6… |
| 08-01 14:06:08 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | SELL | 452 | 92¢ | $416 | 0x84cfe6… |
| 08-01 14:06:08 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x84cfe6… |
| 08-01 14:05:42 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x9a8fe7… |
| 08-01 14:05:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x9a8fe7… |
| 08-01 14:04:21 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 58 | 91¢ | $53 | 0x169f06… |
| 08-01 14:04:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x169f06… |
| 08-01 14:04:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x169f06… |
| 08-01 14:03:41 | Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x9aa29c… |
| 08-01 14:03:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x9aa29c… |
| 08-01 14:03:41 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9aa29c… |
| 08-01 14:03:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x9aa29c… |
| 08-01 14:03:41 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | SELL | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x9aa29c… |
| 07-19 02:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x050b…dd18 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xab0c40… |
| 07-19 02:38:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xab0c40… |
| 07-19 00:05:27 | (anonymous) 0x050b…dd18 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x35a4f6… |
| 07-19 00:05:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x35a4f6… |
| 07-10 09:36:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x45f740… |
| 07-10 09:36:46 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x45f740… |
| 07-08 16:33:17 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xc067e0… |
| 07-08 16:33:17 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xc067e0… |
| 07-08 16:33:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xc067e0… |
| 07-03 09:18:16 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 477 | 90¢ | $429 | 0x4b58a7… |
| 07-03 09:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x4b58a7… |
| 07-03 09:18:16 | Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | BUY | 472 | 10¢ | $47 | 0x4b58a7… |
| 06-25 11:57:52 | Stingy-Sushi 0x8487…c1db | No | SELL | 3 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x392bfa… |
| 06-25 11:57:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x392bfa… |
| 06-21 19:43:02 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfc8c43… |
| 06-21 19:43:02 | Speedy-Knifeedge 0x6954…9729 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfc8c43… |
| 06-21 13:43:32 | Speedy-Knifeedge 0x6954…9729 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb717fa… |
| 06-21 13:43:32 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xb717fa… |
| 06-21 13:43:32 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb717fa… |
| 06-21 05:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 14 | 81¢ | $11 | 0xc5f9c5… |
| 06-21 05:53:29 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xc5f9c5… |
| 06-20 23:04:17 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 18 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xfbf304… |
| 06-20 23:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xfbf304… |
| 06-20 23:04:14 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 22 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x70de84… |
| 06-20 23:04:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x70de84… |
| 06-20 17:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0xd8c2da… |
| 06-20 17:49:38 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xd8c2da… |
| 06-20 17:36:14 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x05de01… |
| 06-20 17:36:14 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x05de01… |
| 06-12 08:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x44d331… |
| 06-12 08:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x44d331… |
| 06-12 08:43:49 | Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x44d331… |
| 06-12 08:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x44d331… |
| 06-12 08:43:49 | (anonymous) 0xc6c7…df9d | Yes | SELL | 74 | 15¢ | $11 | 0x44d331… |
| 06-05 15:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x452e97… |
| 06-05 15:20:43 | Shabby-Era 0x25c5…8581 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x452e97… |