Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$603
Trades
36
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$1,884
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-06-05
last 07-19 02:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $7 | $7 | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $57 | $473 | $417 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $10 | — | +$10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $7 | $15 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 7 | $66 | $465 | $399 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | +500 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 07-03 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | +477 | $429 | $429 | 1 | 07-03 09:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +45 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 07-19 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +44 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 06-21 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +37 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-21 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-08 16:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +14 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-19 00:05 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-10 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +3 | $1 | $5 | 3 | 06-20 17:36 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 06-25 11:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 02:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x050b…dd18 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xab0c40… |
| 07-19 02:38:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xab0c40… |
| 07-19 00:05:27 | (anonymous) 0x050b…dd18 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x35a4f6… |
| 07-19 00:05:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x35a4f6… |
| 07-10 09:36:46 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x45f740… |
| 07-10 09:36:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x45f740… |
| 07-08 16:33:17 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xc067e0… |
| 07-08 16:33:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xc067e0… |
| 07-08 16:33:17 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xc067e0… |
| 07-03 09:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x4b58a7… |
| 07-03 09:18:16 | (anonymous) 0xf43b…7673 | No | BUY | 477 | 90¢ | $429 | 0x4b58a7… |
| 07-03 09:18:16 | Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | BUY | 472 | 10¢ | $47 | 0x4b58a7… |
| 06-25 11:57:52 | Stingy-Sushi 0x8487…c1db | No | SELL | 3 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x392bfa… |
| 06-25 11:57:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x392bfa… |
| 06-21 19:43:02 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfc8c43… |
| 06-21 19:43:02 | Speedy-Knifeedge 0x6954…9729 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfc8c43… |
| 06-21 13:43:32 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xb717fa… |
| 06-21 13:43:32 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb717fa… |
| 06-21 13:43:32 | Speedy-Knifeedge 0x6954…9729 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb717fa… |
| 06-21 05:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 14 | 81¢ | $11 | 0xc5f9c5… |
| 06-21 05:53:29 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xc5f9c5… |
| 06-20 23:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xfbf304… |
| 06-20 23:04:17 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 18 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xfbf304… |
| 06-20 23:04:14 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 22 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x70de84… |
| 06-20 23:04:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x70de84… |
| 06-20 17:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0xd8c2da… |
| 06-20 17:49:38 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xd8c2da… |
| 06-20 17:36:14 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x05de01… |
| 06-20 17:36:14 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x05de01… |
| 06-12 08:43:49 | Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x44d331… |
| 06-12 08:43:49 | (anonymous) 0xc6c7…df9d | Yes | SELL | 74 | 15¢ | $11 | 0x44d331… |
| 06-12 08:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x44d331… |
| 06-12 08:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x44d331… |
| 06-12 08:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x44d331… |
| 06-05 15:20:43 | Shabby-Era 0x25c5…8581 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x452e97… |
| 06-05 15:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x452e97… |