Realized P&L
-$2.60K
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
2,272
Trades
7,246
lifetime
Volume
$89.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$519
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-30 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
95% 52% -$2,820
Crypto
3% 63% +$54
Politics
1% 83% +$96
Sports
1% 61% +$72
Tech
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -75 -$58 98¢ $-74 -$16 06-06 00:27
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -63 -$46 86¢ $-54 -$8 06-06 09:55
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -47 -$33 94¢ $-44 -$11 06-06 00:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -32 -$23 98¢ $-31 -$8 06-06 00:19
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -31 -$22 94¢ $-29 -$7 06-06 00:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -30 -$26 94¢ $-28 -$2 06-06 00:12
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -30 -$24 90¢ $-27 -$3 06-06 00:32
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -28 -$23 97¢ $-27 -$4 06-19 00:07
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -23 -$20 94¢ $-21 -$2 06-06 00:13
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -21 -$18 92¢ $-19 -$1 06-06 00:14
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -25 -$14 76¢ $-19 -$5 06-06 09:56
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -20 -$16 91¢ $-18 -$2 06-19 15:24
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -18 -$9 88¢ $-16 -$6 06-21 13:31
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -15 -$14 99¢ $-15 -$1 06-12 11:39
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -14 -$8 99¢ $-14 -$6 08-15 09:31
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$10 98¢ $-12 -$2 05-24 03:11
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$11 99¢ $-12 -$1 05-23 10:34
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -11 -$9 95¢ $-10 -$1 05-23 10:35
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -10 -$8 95¢ $-9 -$1 06-06 00:16
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -32 -$18 28¢ $-9 +$10 08-15 09:31
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$6 99¢ $-6 $0 05-21 21:37
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -49 -$16 12¢ $-6 +$10 08-15 09:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$5 98¢ $-6 -$1 05-21 21:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -6 -$5 85¢ $-5 -$1 06-06 09:56
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No -4 -$2 96¢ $-4 -$1 06-06 09:57
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$4 29¢ $-2 +$2 06-25 05:17
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -24 -$4 6¢ $-2 +$2 08-15 09:32
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -10 -$5 8¢ $-1 +$4 06-21 15:15
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -4 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$3 06-19 15:22