Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$28,169
Trades
317
Unique wallets
80
Liquidity
$2,001
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-23 02:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+23.0¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $2.6K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $19.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $56 | $11.0K | $11.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $941 | $3.3K | $2.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $33 | $3.6K | $3.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $325 | $230 | +$95 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $779 | $1.8K | $1.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $16 | $7.7K | $7.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $15 | $6.1K | $6.0K |
| Median | 9 | $1 | $84 | $84 |
| Below median | 11 | $10 | $468 | $459 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $56 | $930 | $874 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $134 | $363 | $228 |
| unranked | 24 | $344 | $652 | $308 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +6,112 | $5,652 | $5,652 | 13 | 06-26 22:37 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +5,309 | $779 | $779 | 5 | 06-09 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +3,743 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 06-26 22:37 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +3,649 | $3,200 | $3,200 | 4 | 07-01 11:54 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +574 | $507 | $1,225 | 10 | 07-23 02:44 |
| Yawning-Premeditation 0xf3a5…5f3c | Yes | +531 | $64 | $64 | 6 | 06-05 13:05 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | +400 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-08 12:43 |
| Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | +371 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +205 | $191 | $191 | 3 | 07-21 06:33 |
| Immaculate-Adrenalin 0xe549…7d86 | No | +185 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 07-02 09:56 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +124 | $108 | $300 | 23 | 07-22 21:07 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | +121 | $110 | $110 | 5 | 06-26 22:38 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +100 | $89 | $325 | 4 | 07-21 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | +58 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-11 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d61…17cf | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0ef…4179 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e84…6624 | Yes | +47 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-22 13:14 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | +44 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 15:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +40 | $8 | $19 | 6 | 07-14 12:02 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +22 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-01 00:08 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +20 | $17 | $294 | 11 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Forked-Original 0x35a7…44f4 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-14 12:02 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $10 | 7 | 07-23 02:44 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-26 23:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-22 21:07 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 23:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-17 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-07 02:52 |
| Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:24 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 07:20 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | +2 | $7 | $547 | 8 | 07-11 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 21:07 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 13:20 |
| Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | +1 | $0 | $10 | 3 | 07-22 21:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 02:44:45 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xfcd925… |
| 07-23 02:44:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xfcd925… |
| 07-22 21:07:15 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x2b7bf2… |
| 07-22 21:07:15 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x208399… |
| 07-22 21:07:15 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x2b7bf2… |
| 07-22 21:07:15 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | SELL | 4 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x208399… |
| 07-22 21:07:13 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xac994f… |
| 07-22 21:07:13 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xac994f… |
| 07-22 13:20:24 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x4ac1b1… |
| 07-22 13:20:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x4ac1b1… |
| 07-22 13:20:24 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x4ac1b1… |
| 07-22 13:14:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x156680… |
| 07-22 13:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x156680… |
| 07-22 13:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x9e84…6624 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x156680… |
| 07-22 13:14:33 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x156680… |
| 07-21 06:33:04 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x12b637… |
| 07-21 06:33:04 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | SELL | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x12b637… |
| 07-21 05:24:22 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbabda7… |
| 07-21 05:24:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbabda7… |
| 07-17 22:43:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xeefd67… |
| 07-17 22:43:58 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | No | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xeefd67… |
| 07-16 20:40:59 | Responsible-Hole 0x3022…59c1 | No | SELL | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x44b92b… |
| 07-16 20:40:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x44b92b… |
| 07-14 12:02:44 | Forked-Original 0x35a7…44f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xdffe07… |
| 07-14 12:02:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xdffe07… |
| 07-13 19:34:37 | Impressive-Congress 0x9bbf…4624 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4a4f6b… |
| 07-13 19:34:37 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x4a4f6b… |
| 07-13 08:09:14 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x8fa577… |
| 07-13 08:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x18f6…da1b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8fa577… |
| 07-12 12:07:04 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x308b4f… |
| 07-12 12:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x308b4f… |
| 07-11 14:39:19 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa8104a… |
| 07-11 14:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa8104a… |
| 07-11 14:39:19 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 26 | 90¢ | $24 | 0xa8104a… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 26 | 92¢ | $24 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 117 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | BUY | 371 | 8¢ | $30 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | (anonymous) 0xd0ef…4179 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | (anonymous) 0x0d61…17cf | No | BUY | 55 | 93¢ | $51 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 03:20:41 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 85 | 94¢ | $80 | 0x0bf8a8… |
| 07-11 03:20:41 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 366 | 94¢ | $344 | 0x0bf8a8… |
| 07-11 03:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 123 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x0bf8a8… |
| 07-11 03:20:41 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x0bf8a8… |
| 07-11 03:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0x0bf8a8… |
| 07-10 01:33:37 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x2a0dea… |
| 07-10 01:33:37 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x2a0dea… |
| 07-02 09:56:55 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xec171e… |
| 07-02 09:56:55 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xec171e… |
| 07-02 09:56:55 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 175 | 94¢ | $164 | 0xec171e… |
| 07-02 09:56:55 | Immaculate-Adrenalin 0xe549…7d86 | No | BUY | 185 | 94¢ | $174 | 0xec171e… |
| 07-01 21:58:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8bc0bf… |
| 07-01 21:58:35 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x8bc0bf… |
| 07-01 13:06:29 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 95 | 91¢ | $86 | 0xffc494… |
| 07-01 13:06:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xffc494… |
| 07-01 11:54:58 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 114 | 94¢ | $107 | 0x4ee208… |
| 07-01 11:54:58 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 134 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x4ee208… |
| 07-01 11:54:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4ee208… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 282 | 94¢ | $265 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 320 | 8¢ | $26 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | BUY | 1,078 | 93¢ | $1,000 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | SELL | 29 | 90¢ | $26 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 120 | 94¢ | $113 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 7¢ | $9 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 08:11:28 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | BUY | 129 | 88¢ | $113 | 0xce85d9… |
| 07-01 08:11:28 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 129 | 88¢ | $113 | 0xce85d9… |
| 06-30 06:05:22 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x93a563… |
| 06-30 06:05:22 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x93a563… |
| 06-30 06:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x93a563… |
| 06-28 19:18:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xf40612… |
| 06-28 19:18:40 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf40612… |
| 06-28 19:18:40 | (anonymous) 0x343c…a9a4 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xf40612… |
| 06-28 19:18:40 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0xf40612… |
| 06-28 10:16:55 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0xde8650… |
| 06-28 10:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 24 | 86¢ | $21 | 0xde8650… |
| 06-28 10:16:55 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 41 | 86¢ | $35 | 0xde8650… |
| 06-28 10:00:47 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xb25a55… |
| 06-28 10:00:47 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xb25a55… |
| 06-28 10:00:47 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0xb25a55… |
| 06-28 09:55:46 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xc73514… |
| 06-28 09:55:46 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xc73514… |
| 06-28 09:50:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xee4215… |
| 06-28 09:50:37 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xee4215… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 158 | 88¢ | $139 | 0xd13c18… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 163 | 88¢ | $144 | 0xd13c18… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xd13c18… |
| 06-28 08:18:04 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 42 | 88¢ | $37 | 0xeb4996… |
| 06-28 08:18:04 | (anonymous) 0x343c…a9a4 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xeb4996… |
| 06-26 23:02:23 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xa45a47… |
| 06-26 23:02:23 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xa45a47… |
| 06-26 23:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0xa45a47… |
| 06-26 22:38:37 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 53 | 89¢ | $47 | 0x39b4b9… |
| 06-26 22:38:37 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 53 | 89¢ | $47 | 0x39b4b9… |
| 06-26 22:38:35 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 35 | 89¢ | $31 | 0x2f5a00… |