Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$9,086
Trades
132
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$2,001
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-12 22:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+27.6¢
(top1%: 40% YES on $2.0K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $7.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $12 | $2.7K | $2.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $914 | $1.5K | $558 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $3 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $12 | $117 | $106 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $779 | $1.2K | $404 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $11 | $4.4K | $4.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $7 | $328 | $321 |
| Median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $119 | $118 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $35 | $235 | $200 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $101 | $69 | +$32 |
| unranked | 12 | $7 | $471 | $464 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +5,309 | $779 | $779 | 5 | 06-09 20:13 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +2,571 | $2,200 | $2,200 | 3 | 06-06 14:58 |
| Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | +2,452 | $2,073 | $2,315 | 7 | 06-12 22:54 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +838 | $734 | $734 | 2 | 06-05 13:05 |
| Yawning-Premeditation 0xf3a5…5f3c | Yes | +531 | $64 | $64 | 6 | 06-05 13:05 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +474 | $422 | $422 | 2 | 06-05 22:48 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | +400 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-08 12:43 |
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +112 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 06-08 12:43 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | +91 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 06-12 01:26 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +70 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-06 14:58 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +60 | $52 | $89 | 7 | 06-09 17:31 |
| Narrow-Bat 0x1c04…b64e | Yes | +55 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-27 20:57 |
| Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | +29 | $30 | $392 | 10 | 06-12 03:26 |
| Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $5 | 5 | 06-12 11:39 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +22 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-01 00:08 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +20 | $17 | $121 | 5 | 06-05 13:05 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 23:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-07 02:52 |
| Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x18f6…da1b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 08:23 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 07:20 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 16:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 22:54:28 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x348ad7… |
| 06-12 22:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x348ad7… |
| 06-12 11:39:55 | Stingy-Sushi 0x8487…c1db | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xb88006… |
| 06-12 11:39:55 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb88006… |
| 06-12 03:26:51 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x26b073… |
| 06-12 03:26:51 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x26b073… |
| 06-12 03:21:01 | Youthful-Luncheonette 0x45dd…83e2 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xb42d49… |
| 06-12 03:21:01 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb42d49… |
| 06-12 03:21:01 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0xc2d9a9… |
| 06-12 03:21:01 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0xc2d9a9… |
| 06-12 03:15:51 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb3260a… |
| 06-12 03:15:51 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0xb85e3d… |
| 06-12 03:15:51 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0xb85e3d… |
| 06-12 03:15:51 | Youthful-Luncheonette 0x45dd…83e2 | No | SELL | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0xb3260a… |
| 06-12 01:26:21 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xdfdab1… |
| 06-12 01:26:21 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 31 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xdfdab1… |
| 06-12 01:26:21 | Glamorous-Shirt 0x5ba8…2bdf | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xdfdab1… |
| 06-12 01:26:21 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xdfdab1… |
| 06-11 23:08:07 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6ec2f9… |
| 06-11 23:08:07 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6ec2f9… |
| 06-11 23:08:07 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x6ec2f9… |
| 06-11 23:07:58 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x342e60… |
| 06-11 23:07:58 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x342e60… |
| 06-11 16:50:06 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xab43a5… |
| 06-11 16:50:06 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xab43a5… |
| 06-09 20:13:52 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa99010… |
| 06-09 20:13:52 | Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | BUY | 309 | 10¢ | $31 | 0xa99010… |
| 06-09 20:13:52 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 299 | 10¢ | $30 | 0xa99010… |
| 06-09 17:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa43369… |
| 06-09 17:31:04 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa43369… |
| 06-09 02:20:13 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x148831… |
| 06-09 02:20:13 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x148831… |
| 06-09 02:20:13 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 28 | 91¢ | $25 | 0x148831… |
| 06-08 23:30:10 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xae064d… |
| 06-08 23:30:10 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xae064d… |
| 06-08 12:43:46 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x28ae3e… |
| 06-08 12:43:46 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 112 | 91¢ | $102 | 0x28ae3e… |
| 06-08 12:43:46 | (anonymous) 0x0087…f099 | No | SELL | 19 | 91¢ | $17 | 0x28ae3e… |
| 06-07 02:52:18 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x9ed82e… |
| 06-07 02:52:18 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x9ed82e… |
| 06-06 14:58:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x58152c… |
| 06-06 14:58:07 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 260 | 9¢ | $23 | 0x58152c… |
| 06-06 14:58:07 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x58152c… |
| 06-06 14:58:07 | Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | BUY | 333 | 90¢ | $300 | 0x58152c… |
| 06-06 10:33:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x59d32a… |
| 06-06 10:33:19 | Stupendous-Growth 0x0328…8b68 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x59d32a… |
| 06-06 10:33:18 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 0 | 74¢ | $0 | 0x533251… |
| 06-06 10:33:18 | Punctual-Sheath 0x06de…cf4c | No | SELL | 0 | 74¢ | $0 | 0x533251… |
| 06-06 08:15:09 | Punctual-Sheath 0x06de…cf4c | No | SELL | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x2cea02… |
| 06-06 08:15:09 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x2cea02… |
| 06-06 08:11:10 | Punctual-Sheath 0x06de…cf4c | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x18b7d6… |
| 06-06 08:11:10 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x18b7d6… |
| 06-06 08:09:55 | Punctual-Sheath 0x06de…cf4c | No | SELL | 11 | 74¢ | $8 | 0x70f448… |
| 06-06 08:09:55 | Stupendous-Growth 0x0328…8b68 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x416f8f… |
| 06-06 08:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x416f8f… |
| 06-06 08:09:55 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 11 | 74¢ | $8 | 0x70f448… |
| 06-06 08:04:48 | Stupendous-Growth 0x0328…8b68 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x9c12f3… |
| 06-06 08:04:48 | Punctual-Sheath 0x06de…cf4c | No | SELL | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0x9c12f3… |
| 06-06 08:04:48 | Punctual-Sheath 0x06de…cf4c | No | SELL | 11 | 74¢ | $8 | 0x78cf01… |
| 06-06 08:04:48 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 11 | 74¢ | $8 | 0x78cf01… |
| 06-06 07:00:30 | Punctual-Sheath 0x06de…cf4c | No | SELL | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0xef6f1b… |
| 06-06 07:00:30 | Stupendous-Growth 0x0328…8b68 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xfb2c9b… |
| 06-06 07:00:30 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0xef6f1b… |
| 06-06 07:00:30 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0xfb2c9b… |
| 06-05 22:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xfc9a22… |
| 06-05 22:48:28 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xfc9a22… |
| 06-05 22:44:06 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x0349a9… |
| 06-05 22:44:06 | Punctual-Sheath 0x06de…cf4c | No | BUY | 47 | 91¢ | $43 | 0x0349a9… |
| 06-05 22:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 11¢ | $13 | 0xe320ea… |
| 06-05 22:44:04 | Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | SELL | 346 | 89¢ | $308 | 0xe320ea… |
| 06-05 22:44:04 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 461 | 89¢ | $410 | 0xe320ea… |
| 06-05 16:08:01 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x36f172… |
| 06-05 16:08:01 | Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x36f172… |
| 06-05 13:32:04 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa385b0… |
| 06-05 13:32:04 | Stupendous-Statue 0x8de3…f0d4 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa385b0… |
| 06-05 13:05:48 | Yawning-Premeditation 0xf3a5…5f3c | Yes | BUY | 387 | 12¢ | $46 | 0x5e6ca5… |
| 06-05 13:05:48 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | BUY | 189 | 12¢ | $23 | 0x5e6ca5… |
| 06-05 13:05:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0x5e6ca5… |
| 06-05 13:05:48 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | BUY | 593 | 88¢ | $522 | 0x5e6ca5… |
| 06-05 13:00:24 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 173 | 87¢ | $150 | 0x001a2e… |
| 06-05 13:00:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x001a2e… |
| 06-05 13:00:24 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 22 | 86¢ | $19 | 0x001a2e… |
| 06-05 13:00:24 | Yawning-Premeditation 0xf3a5…5f3c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xbc6f1e… |
| 06-05 13:00:24 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | BUY | 245 | 87¢ | $212 | 0x001a2e… |
| 06-05 13:00:24 | Stupendous-Statue 0x8de3…f0d4 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xbc6f1e… |
| 06-05 07:15:01 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x82db90… |
| 06-05 07:15:01 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x82db90… |
| 06-05 07:12:27 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x1e28db… |
| 06-05 07:12:27 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x1e28db… |
| 06-02 21:17:28 | Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x3e33d9… |
| 06-02 21:17:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x3e33d9… |
| 06-02 14:24:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xb98028… |
| 06-02 14:24:35 | Youthful-Luncheonette 0x45dd…83e2 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xb98028… |
| 06-02 14:24:33 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | BUY | 81 | 85¢ | $69 | 0x04f7fb… |
| 06-02 14:24:33 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x04f7fb… |
| 06-02 14:24:33 | Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | BUY | 61 | 15¢ | $9 | 0x04f7fb… |
| 06-01 17:12:18 | Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | BUY | 1,176 | 15¢ | $176 | 0xbba07b… |
| 06-01 17:12:18 | Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | BUY | 1,176 | 85¢ | $1,000 | 0xbba07b… |
| 06-01 17:12:03 | Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | BUY | 1,062 | 85¢ | $900 | 0x82db2c… |
| 06-01 17:12:03 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 262 | 84¢ | $220 | 0x82db2c… |