Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$30,050
Trades
370
Unique wallets
92
Liquidity
$2,001
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-14 16:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+23.4¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $2.6K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $20.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $62 | $11.9K | $11.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $944 | $2.5K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $34 | $4.4K | $4.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $344 | $327 | +$17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $779 | $1.8K | $1.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $18 | $7.7K | $7.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $18 | $6.1K | $6.0K |
| Median | 9 | $1 | $84 | $84 |
| Below median | 15 | $31 | $581 | $550 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $58 | $930 | $873 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $136 | $381 | $245 |
| unranked | 31 | $344 | $1.5K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +6,112 | $5,652 | $5,652 | 13 | 06-26 22:37 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +5,309 | $779 | $779 | 5 | 06-09 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +3,743 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 06-26 22:37 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +3,649 | $3,200 | $3,200 | 4 | 07-01 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf80e…2af8 | No | +746 | $692 | $692 | 4 | 08-12 15:13 |
| Yawning-Premeditation 0xf3a5…5f3c | Yes | +556 | $61 | $72 | 8 | 08-10 12:34 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | +400 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-08 12:43 |
| Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | +371 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +205 | $191 | $191 | 3 | 07-21 06:33 |
| Immaculate-Adrenalin 0xe549…7d86 | No | +185 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 07-02 09:56 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +172 | $149 | $446 | 34 | 08-09 00:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | +158 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 08-06 04:33 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | +121 | $110 | $110 | 5 | 06-26 22:38 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +100 | $89 | $325 | 4 | 07-21 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | +58 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-11 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d61…17cf | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +50 | $9 | $21 | 7 | 08-06 08:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0ef…4179 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | +44 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 15:16 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $15 | 10 | 08-06 11:37 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +22 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-01 00:08 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +20 | $17 | $294 | 11 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Forked-Original 0x35a7…44f4 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-14 12:02 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-06 11:37 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-26 23:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-06 09:48 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 23:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-17 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 08-06 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-07 02:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-14 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:24 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 07:20 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | +2 | $7 | $547 | 8 | 07-11 14:37 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 13:20 |
| Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | +1 | $0 | $10 | 3 | 07-22 21:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 16:54:49 | Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | SELL | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0x0d4799… |
| 08-14 16:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0x0d4799… |
| 08-12 15:13:10 | (anonymous) 0xf80e…2af8 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x85456b… |
| 08-12 15:13:10 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x85456b… |
| 08-12 15:13:09 | (anonymous) 0xf80e…2af8 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xaad791… |
| 08-12 15:13:09 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xaad791… |
| 08-10 12:34:58 | Yawning-Premeditation 0xf3a5…5f3c | Yes | BUY | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x49ee7b… |
| 08-10 12:34:58 | (anonymous) 0x9e84…6624 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x49ee7b… |
| 08-09 00:50:51 | (anonymous) 0x2ef8…b0f4 | No | SELL | 119 | 92¢ | $109 | 0x941abe… |
| 08-09 00:50:51 | (anonymous) 0xf80e…2af8 | No | BUY | 119 | 92¢ | $109 | 0x941abe… |
| 08-09 00:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xf80e…2af8 | No | BUY | 605 | 93¢ | $563 | 0x151e9e… |
| 08-09 00:50:07 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x151e9e… |
| 08-09 00:50:07 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 575 | 93¢ | $535 | 0x151e9e… |
| 08-06 19:17:51 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xb525b5… |
| 08-06 19:17:51 | Acceptable-Alteration 0x4ab2…aa6c | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xb525b5… |
| 08-06 18:48:15 | Acceptable-Alteration 0x4ab2…aa6c | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x81efe4… |
| 08-06 18:48:15 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x81efe4… |
| 08-06 11:37:48 | (anonymous) 0x2ef8…b0f4 | No | BUY | 78 | 91¢ | $71 | 0xc7c4be… |
| 08-06 11:37:48 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 28 | 91¢ | $25 | 0xc7c4be… |
| 08-06 11:37:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xc7c4be… |
| 08-06 11:37:48 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc7c4be… |
| 08-06 10:30:21 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | No | SELL | 42 | 90¢ | $38 | 0xad39a9… |
| 08-06 10:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x2ef8…b0f4 | No | BUY | 42 | 90¢ | $38 | 0xad39a9… |
| 08-06 09:48:53 | (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x1083e6… |
| 08-06 09:48:53 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x1083e6… |
| 08-06 08:55:42 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x6c12a4… |
| 08-06 08:55:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6c12a4… |
| 08-06 07:59:47 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xd53381… |
| 08-06 07:59:47 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd53381… |
| 08-06 04:33:44 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x3d0bbe… |
| 08-06 04:33:44 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x3d0bbe… |
| 08-06 04:33:41 | (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x974323… |
| 08-06 04:33:41 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x974323… |
| 08-06 04:33:41 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x974323… |
| 08-06 04:33:41 | (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x974323… |
| 08-06 04:33:41 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x974323… |
| 08-06 04:33:41 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x974323… |
| 08-05 19:22:03 | Ironclad-Will 0xc6fa…51e5 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xc46d0c… |
| 08-05 19:22:03 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xc46d0c… |
| 08-05 19:21:50 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xd8d4cd… |
| 08-05 19:21:50 | Ironclad-Will 0xc6fa…51e5 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xd8d4cd… |
| 08-04 18:48:21 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xc715e6… |
| 08-04 18:48:21 | (anonymous) 0x9568…da69 | No | SELL | 17 | 91¢ | $16 | 0xc715e6… |
| 08-04 18:48:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc715e6… |
| 08-03 20:31:44 | (anonymous) 0x9568…da69 | No | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x4efeee… |
| 08-03 20:31:44 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x4efeee… |
| 08-03 20:07:08 | Ironclad-Will 0xc6fa…51e5 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x2a27c6… |
| 08-03 20:07:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x2a27c6… |
| 08-01 16:28:24 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x98be64… |
| 08-01 16:28:24 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x98be64… |
| 07-29 18:56:02 | Yawning-Premeditation 0xf3a5…5f3c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xf8a222… |
| 07-29 18:56:02 | (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 16¢ | $10 | 0xf8a222… |
| 07-29 18:56:02 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xf8a222… |
| 07-23 02:44:45 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xfcd925… |
| 07-23 02:44:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xfcd925… |
| 07-22 21:07:15 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x208399… |
| 07-22 21:07:15 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | SELL | 4 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x208399… |
| 07-22 21:07:15 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x2b7bf2… |
| 07-22 21:07:15 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x2b7bf2… |
| 07-22 21:07:13 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xac994f… |
| 07-22 21:07:13 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xac994f… |
| 07-22 13:20:24 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x4ac1b1… |
| 07-22 13:20:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x4ac1b1… |
| 07-22 13:20:24 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x4ac1b1… |
| 07-22 13:14:33 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x156680… |
| 07-22 13:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x9e84…6624 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x156680… |
| 07-22 13:14:33 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x156680… |
| 07-22 13:14:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x156680… |
| 07-21 06:33:04 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | SELL | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x12b637… |
| 07-21 06:33:04 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x12b637… |
| 07-21 05:24:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbabda7… |
| 07-21 05:24:22 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbabda7… |
| 07-17 22:43:58 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | No | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xeefd67… |
| 07-17 22:43:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xeefd67… |
| 07-16 20:40:59 | Responsible-Hole 0x3022…59c1 | No | SELL | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x44b92b… |
| 07-16 20:40:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x44b92b… |
| 07-14 12:02:44 | Forked-Original 0x35a7…44f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xdffe07… |
| 07-14 12:02:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xdffe07… |
| 07-13 19:34:37 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x4a4f6b… |
| 07-13 19:34:37 | Impressive-Congress 0x9bbf…4624 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4a4f6b… |
| 07-13 08:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x18f6…da1b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8fa577… |
| 07-13 08:09:14 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x8fa577… |
| 07-12 12:07:04 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x308b4f… |
| 07-12 12:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x308b4f… |
| 07-11 14:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa8104a… |
| 07-11 14:39:19 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 26 | 90¢ | $24 | 0xa8104a… |
| 07-11 14:39:19 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa8104a… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 117 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | BUY | 371 | 8¢ | $30 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | (anonymous) 0x0d61…17cf | No | BUY | 55 | 93¢ | $51 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | (anonymous) 0xd0ef…4179 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 14:37:17 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 26 | 92¢ | $24 | 0x0d06c6… |
| 07-11 03:20:41 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 85 | 94¢ | $80 | 0x0bf8a8… |
| 07-11 03:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0x0bf8a8… |
| 07-11 03:20:41 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 366 | 94¢ | $344 | 0x0bf8a8… |
| 07-11 03:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 123 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x0bf8a8… |
| 07-11 03:20:41 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x0bf8a8… |
| 07-10 01:33:37 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x2a0dea… |