Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$26,978
Trades
269
Unique wallets
65
Liquidity
$2,001
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-02 09:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+23.4¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $2.6K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $18.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $51 | $8.4K | $8.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $937 | $5.3K | $4.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $7 | $3.7K | $3.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $319 | $67 | +$252 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $779 | $1.8K | $1.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $14 | $7.7K | $7.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $12 | $6.0K | $6.0K |
| Median | 4 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 8 | $10 | $233 | $223 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $58 | $904 | $846 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $133 | $269 | $136 |
| unranked | 18 | $309 | $537 | $228 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +6,112 | $5,652 | $5,652 | 13 | 06-26 22:37 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +5,309 | $779 | $779 | 5 | 06-09 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +3,743 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 06-26 22:37 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +3,649 | $3,200 | $3,200 | 4 | 07-01 11:54 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +935 | $847 | $847 | 6 | 06-28 10:16 |
| Yawning-Premeditation 0xf3a5…5f3c | Yes | +531 | $64 | $64 | 6 | 06-05 13:05 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | +400 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-08 12:43 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +217 | $16 | $46 | 5 | 07-01 21:58 |
| Immaculate-Adrenalin 0xe549…7d86 | No | +185 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 07-02 09:56 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +124 | $109 | $220 | 17 | 07-01 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | +123 | $14 | $76 | 6 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | +121 | $110 | $110 | 5 | 06-26 22:38 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +100 | $87 | $139 | 2 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | +44 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 15:16 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +22 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-01 00:08 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +20 | $17 | $294 | 11 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-26 23:02 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $18 | 5 | 06-26 22:36 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 23:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-07 02:52 |
| Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x18f6…da1b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 08:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-02 09:56 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 07:20 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 16:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 09:56:55 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 175 | 94¢ | $164 | 0xec171e… |
| 07-02 09:56:55 | Immaculate-Adrenalin 0xe549…7d86 | No | BUY | 185 | 94¢ | $174 | 0xec171e… |
| 07-02 09:56:55 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xec171e… |
| 07-02 09:56:55 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xec171e… |
| 07-01 21:58:35 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x8bc0bf… |
| 07-01 21:58:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8bc0bf… |
| 07-01 13:06:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xffc494… |
| 07-01 13:06:29 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 95 | 91¢ | $86 | 0xffc494… |
| 07-01 11:54:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4ee208… |
| 07-01 11:54:58 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 134 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x4ee208… |
| 07-01 11:54:58 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 114 | 94¢ | $107 | 0x4ee208… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | BUY | 1,078 | 93¢ | $1,000 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 320 | 8¢ | $26 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | SELL | 29 | 90¢ | $26 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 7¢ | $9 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 282 | 94¢ | $265 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 11:54:44 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 120 | 94¢ | $113 | 0xa7eafd… |
| 07-01 08:11:28 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | BUY | 129 | 88¢ | $113 | 0xce85d9… |
| 07-01 08:11:28 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 129 | 88¢ | $113 | 0xce85d9… |
| 06-30 06:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x93a563… |
| 06-30 06:05:22 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x93a563… |
| 06-30 06:05:22 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x93a563… |
| 06-28 19:18:40 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0xf40612… |
| 06-28 19:18:40 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf40612… |
| 06-28 19:18:40 | (anonymous) 0x343c…a9a4 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xf40612… |
| 06-28 19:18:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xf40612… |
| 06-28 10:16:55 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 41 | 86¢ | $35 | 0xde8650… |
| 06-28 10:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 24 | 86¢ | $21 | 0xde8650… |
| 06-28 10:16:55 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0xde8650… |
| 06-28 10:00:47 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xb25a55… |
| 06-28 10:00:47 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xb25a55… |
| 06-28 10:00:47 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0xb25a55… |
| 06-28 09:55:46 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xc73514… |
| 06-28 09:55:46 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xc73514… |
| 06-28 09:50:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xee4215… |
| 06-28 09:50:37 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xee4215… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 158 | 88¢ | $139 | 0xd13c18… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xd13c18… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 163 | 88¢ | $144 | 0xd13c18… |
| 06-28 08:18:04 | (anonymous) 0x343c…a9a4 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xeb4996… |
| 06-28 08:18:04 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 42 | 88¢ | $37 | 0xeb4996… |
| 06-26 23:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0xa45a47… |
| 06-26 23:02:23 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xa45a47… |
| 06-26 23:02:23 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xa45a47… |
| 06-26 22:38:37 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 53 | 89¢ | $47 | 0x39b4b9… |
| 06-26 22:38:37 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 53 | 89¢ | $47 | 0x39b4b9… |
| 06-26 22:38:35 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x2f5a00… |
| 06-26 22:38:35 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x2f5a00… |
| 06-26 22:38:35 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 35 | 89¢ | $31 | 0x2f5a00… |
| 06-26 22:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 43 | 91¢ | $39 | 0xe69b84… |
| 06-26 22:38:31 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 43 | 91¢ | $39 | 0xe69b84… |
| 06-26 22:37:31 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 616 | 92¢ | $567 | 0x2925cd… |
| 06-26 22:37:31 | (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | BUY | 1,198 | 8¢ | $100 | 0x2925cd… |
| 06-26 22:37:31 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | BUY | 34 | 92¢ | $31 | 0x2925cd… |
| 06-26 22:37:31 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 391 | 91¢ | $356 | 0x2925cd… |
| 06-26 22:37:31 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 23 | 91¢ | $21 | 0x2925cd… |
| 06-26 22:37:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 45 | 92¢ | $41 | 0x2925cd… |
| 06-26 22:36:50 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 144 | 92¢ | $132 | 0xeb0361… |
| 06-26 22:36:50 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 144 | 92¢ | $132 | 0xeb0361… |
| 06-26 22:36:22 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 2,189 | 92¢ | $2,014 | 0x658240… |
| 06-26 22:36:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x658240… |
| 06-26 22:36:22 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x658240… |
| 06-26 22:36:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x658240… |
| 06-26 22:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | BUY | 2,544 | 8¢ | $200 | 0x658240… |
| 06-26 22:36:22 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x658240… |
| 06-26 15:36:41 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 571 | 93¢ | $531 | 0xef6909… |
| 06-26 15:36:41 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 571 | 93¢ | $531 | 0xef6909… |
| 06-26 06:37:29 | Narrow-Bat 0x1c04…b64e | Yes | SELL | 55 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7480f9… |
| 06-26 06:37:29 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 55 | 94¢ | $52 | 0x7480f9… |
| 06-25 23:03:29 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0x3ae73f… |
| 06-25 23:03:29 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0x3ae73f… |
| 06-24 17:17:40 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x5c991d… |
| 06-24 17:17:40 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x5c991d… |
| 06-24 12:39:10 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x8127c3… |
| 06-24 12:39:10 | (anonymous) 0xccf3…7627 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xe00444… |
| 06-24 12:39:10 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xe00444… |
| 06-24 12:39:10 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0xe41607… |
| 06-24 12:39:10 | (anonymous) 0xfb24…bffd | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x8127c3… |
| 06-24 12:39:10 | Grave-Streetcar 0x3897…22bb | No | SELL | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0xe41607… |
| 06-24 12:39:08 | Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | No | SELL | 2,046 | 93¢ | $1,903 | 0x0f8500… |
| 06-24 12:39:08 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x0f8500… |
| 06-24 12:39:08 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x0f8500… |
| 06-24 12:39:08 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0f8500… |
| 06-24 12:39:08 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 2,191 | 93¢ | $2,038 | 0x0f8500… |
| 06-24 12:39:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x0f8500… |
| 06-24 12:38:20 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x90919d… |
| 06-24 12:38:20 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x90919d… |
| 06-24 12:38:19 | (anonymous) 0xbecc…f560 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xb61ce4… |
| 06-24 12:38:19 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xb61ce4… |
| 06-24 12:38:19 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 26 | 92¢ | $24 | 0xb61ce4… |
| 06-21 06:35:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x76ca0a… |
| 06-21 06:35:46 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x76ca0a… |
| 06-20 20:17:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x67b80e… |
| 06-20 20:17:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x67b80e… |
| 06-20 12:40:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x460b1b… |