Small-Blowhole 0xb24c85…5aeefe Create alert
whale cold
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Realized P&L
-$8.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.46K
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved
442
Trades
7,136
lifetime
Volume
$2.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$350
Open exposure
$91.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 11-06 04:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Politics
43% 65% -$16,673
Other
40% 71% +$10,831
Crypto
9% 62% -$4,161
Sports
5% 52% -$1,553
Tech
3% 84% +$3,316
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +42,399 $35,204 88¢ $37.5K +$2,319 07-17 16:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +6,108 $5,537 87¢ $5.3K -$248 11-05 15:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +4,200 $3,392 92¢ $3.9K +$493 10-12 16:54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,500 $2,171 97¢ $3.4K +$1,240 11-04 23:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,000 $3,400 84¢ $3.3K -$60 10-15 03:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,012 $3,124 68¢ $2.7K -$415 10-14 13:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,045 $2,674 88¢ $2.7K +$21 10-31 21:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +2,500 $2,515 100¢ $2.5K -$18 11-03 01:23
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +2,500 $840 97¢ $2.4K +$1,586 09-15 18:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,000 -$2,192 97¢ $-1941 +$251 09-16 20:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +2,000 $1,620 95¢ $1.9K +$287 11-02 22:49
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +2,000 $1,802 82¢ $1.6K -$152 11-05 15:08
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +2,000 $1,680 82¢ $1.6K -$30 10-24 15:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,000 $2,179 77¢ $1.5K -$644 11-04 06:31
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +2,050 $1,486 74¢ $1.5K +$20 09-26 00:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,764 $2,001 55¢ $1.5K -$495 11-05 13:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,561 $3,505 42¢ $1.5K -$1,999 11-02 17:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +2,561 $605 58¢ $1.5K +$873 11-02 17:26
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,350 72¢ $1.4K +$80 11-04 16:36
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,485 $1,819 56¢ $1.4K -$440 10-14 14:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,485 $841 91¢ $1.4K +$515 09-23 16:05
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 No +1,147 $936 88¢ $1.0K +$68 08-18 20:50
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -995 -$865 98¢ $-979 -$114 05-25 11:41
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +1,000 $890 98¢ $979 +$89 08-08 03:25
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1,000 $800 95¢ $950 +$150 08-29 18:12
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $860 94¢ $945 +$85 10-21 18:37
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 No +2,000 $1,260 47¢ $940 -$320 10-14 12:42
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +1,000 $810 90¢ $905 +$95 10-08 20:49
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +918 $747 96¢ $885 +$139 08-30 11:48
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +1,000 $800 88¢ $880 +$80 08-14 13:50