Small-Blowhole 0xb24c85…5aeefe
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$60
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,206
lifetime
Volume
$981.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$445
Open exposure
$52.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 07-01 05:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
43% — —
Politics
41% 50% $-4,301
Crypto
9% 100% +$34
Tech
6% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +16,670 $14,265 86¢ $14.4K +$155 06-30 18:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6,445 $6,380 99¢ $6.4K +$19 06-27 12:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +5,000 $4,775 100¢ $5.0K +$215 06-17 20:59
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,407 $4,342 100¢ $4.4K +$61 06-29 21:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $3,650 70¢ $3.5K $-125 06-02 21:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,000 $2,580 86¢ $2.6K +$15 06-25 22:48
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +3,000 $2,580 86¢ $2.6K +$15 06-28 04:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,682 $2,334 90¢ $2.4K +$67 07-01 03:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,000 $-2,160 56¢ $-2220 $-60 06-30 14:22
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 $-920 97¢ $-969 $-49 06-04 01:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,000 $-900 90¢ $-905 $-5 06-13 14:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $865 86¢ $855 $-10 06-29 12:35
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1,000 $840 83¢ $830 $-10 06-29 21:28
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -728 $-621 94¢ $-688 $-66 06-01 18:53
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1,000 $674 69¢ $686 +$12 06-29 10:17
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +500 $733 100¢ $500 $-233 06-28 07:35
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +521 $424 86¢ $448 +$24 07-01 07:17
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +500 $450 89¢ $445 $-5 06-28 16:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $440 43¢ $430 $-10 06-25 16:51
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +483 $430 84¢ $403 $-27 06-30 14:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +456 $397 88¢ $399 +$2 07-01 03:35
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +500 $390 78¢ $392 +$2 05-31 03:05
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No -229 $-169 86¢ $-198 $-29 06-17 21:33
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +199 $180 87¢ $174 $-6 06-28 07:38
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +129 $113 89¢ $114 +$1 07-01 08:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -129 $-29 70¢ $-90 $-61 06-25 12:22
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 $-140 9¢ $-88 +$52 06-05 14:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -35 $-147 84¢ $-30 +$118 06-30 07:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -20 $-14 84¢ $-17 $-3 06-11 16:27
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-25 09:21