(anonymous) 0xf80e74…602af8 Create alert
whale hot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$16.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$494
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
66
Trades
750
lifetime
Volume
$138.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$185
Open exposure
$38.2K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-13 21:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
51% 71% +$3,325
Politics
39% 77% +$14,213
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
4% — —
Sports
1% 0% -$1,143
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? No +7,700 $7,198 98¢ $7.5K +$329 10-29 17:38
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? No +6,000 $5,376 91¢ $5.5K +$84 11-13 21:20
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +5,074 $3,758 66¢ $3.4K -$384 11-10 06:37
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,220 $2,983 97¢ $3.1K +$155 11-06 05:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3,500 $2,030 82¢ $2.9K +$857 11-06 00:20
Will Dana White be the next White House Press Secretary? No +1,578 $1,516 100¢ $1.6K +$56 11-08 02:05
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +2,270 $2,306 66¢ $1.5K -$796 11-04 03:33
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +1,500 $1,474 99¢ $1.5K +$10 11-06 00:16
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +1,500 $1,470 99¢ $1.5K +$10 11-10 15:40
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,500 $1,395 98¢ $1.5K +$70 11-10 12:53
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +1,082 $1,070 99¢ $1.1K +$3 09-27 15:42
FAA outage attributed to Iran? No — +1,055 $981 96¢ $1.0K +$28 11-13 21:48
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +1,171 $983 86¢ $1.0K +$18 11-13 17:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,006 $871 97¢ $973 +$102 11-06 00:02
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +2,270 $1,112 34¢ $761 -$352 10-03 16:51
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No +736 $625 97¢ $714 +$89 08-13 00:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +750 $638 89¢ $665 +$27 11-07 05:29
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes +850 $366 53¢ $451 +$85 11-13 13:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5,000 $500 8¢ $425 -$75 11-07 07:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +500 $388 82¢ $410 +$22 11-07 02:12
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +282 $253 94¢ $263 +$10 11-04 23:48
Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine? Iowa +175 $171 98¢ $172 +$0 11-09 22:52
Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska? Kansas +118 $114 97¢ $115 +$1 11-09 22:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +99 $91 100¢ $98 +$8 09-02 08:29
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +87 $85 99¢ $86 +$1 11-06 00:40
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? No +69 $59 88¢ $61 +$2 10-06 00:29
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election? No +0 -$6 77¢ $0 +$7 11-06 04:46
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +0 -$125 96¢ $0 +$125 11-05 04:51