Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
open
Total volume
$304
Trades
54
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$8,898
Latest YES mid
82¢
Latest NO mid
18¢
End date
2027-02-28
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-30 12:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $85 | $12 | +$73 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $20 | $2 | +$18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $43 | $25 | +$18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $85 | — | +$85 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Median | 5 | $24 | $2 | +$23 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| unranked | 13 | $41 | $26 | +$15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Up | +100 | $85 | $85 | 5 | 06-24 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xea39…9cb9 | Down | +87 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-24 13:55 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Up | +32 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-27 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Up | +32 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-24 20:29 |
| Cheery-Science 0x3089…92f6 | Up | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-27 13:50 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Down | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-24 20:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | +14 | $3 | $16 | 11 | 06-30 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc4c…50ae | Down | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Down | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-24 20:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Up | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 12:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Down | +2 | $3 | $10 | 4 | 06-27 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x37cd…f05f | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 08:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 12:38:50 | Wiry-Paddle 0xde9b…074e | Up | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x6af4c1… |
| 06-30 12:38:50 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Up | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x6af4c1… |
| 06-30 12:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Down | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x4a1b4d… |
| 06-30 12:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x4a1b4d… |
| 06-27 19:18:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Down | BUY | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0xac758f… |
| 06-27 19:18:47 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Up | BUY | 25 | 76¢ | $19 | 0xac758f… |
| 06-27 19:18:32 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Up | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xc275aa… |
| 06-27 19:18:32 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xc275aa… |
| 06-27 13:50:11 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x8c26d9… |
| 06-27 13:50:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Up | SELL | 18 | 66¢ | $12 | 0x8c26d9… |
| 06-27 13:50:11 | Cheery-Science 0x3089…92f6 | Up | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x8c26d9… |
| 06-27 07:40:35 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | Up | SELL | 17 | 70¢ | $12 | 0x9ba7ef… |
| 06-27 07:40:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Down | SELL | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x9ba7ef… |
| 06-27 07:31:29 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | Up | SELL | 9 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x07dcda… |
| 06-27 07:31:29 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | SELL | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x07dcda… |
| 06-26 04:57:38 | (anonymous) 0xc70b…d2f2 | Down | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x3b7d47… |
| 06-26 04:57:38 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x3b7d47… |
| 06-25 14:20:01 | Careless-Preservation 0xd099…3a44 | Up | SELL | 3 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xbcf462… |
| 06-25 14:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | SELL | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xbcf462… |
| 06-24 20:29:19 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Up | BUY | 15 | 71¢ | $11 | 0x215fe2… |
| 06-24 20:29:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | BUY | 0 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x215fe2… |
| 06-24 20:29:19 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Down | BUY | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x215fe2… |
| 06-24 20:28:44 | (anonymous) 0xc70b…d2f2 | Down | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xa19e47… |
| 06-24 20:28:44 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xa19e47… |
| 06-24 20:28:44 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Up | BUY | 12 | 71¢ | $9 | 0xa19e47… |
| 06-24 20:27:23 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Up | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x7d3b4a… |
| 06-24 20:27:23 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Down | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x7d3b4a… |
| 06-24 19:41:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Down | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xe5c405… |
| 06-24 19:41:41 | (anonymous) 0x08c8…bac1 | Up | SELL | 1 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xe5c405… |
| 06-24 16:31:44 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Down | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x09a460… |
| 06-24 16:31:44 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Down | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x09a460… |
| 06-24 13:55:32 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Up | BUY | 56 | 85¢ | $47 | 0x8025b4… |
| 06-24 13:55:32 | (anonymous) 0xea39…9cb9 | Down | BUY | 87 | 15¢ | $13 | 0x8025b4… |
| 06-24 13:55:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Down | SELL | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x8025b4… |
| 06-24 13:55:32 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | SELL | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x8025b4… |
| 06-17 17:00:56 | Simple-Queen 0xbc21…1424 | Up | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x47d554… |
| 06-17 17:00:56 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x47d554… |
| 06-11 09:14:51 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Up | BUY | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x6086be… |
| 06-11 09:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xcdbb…4575 | Up | SELL | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x6086be… |
| 06-11 09:14:45 | (anonymous) 0xcdbb…4575 | Up | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xd13608… |
| 06-11 09:14:45 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Down | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd13608… |
| 06-08 20:58:27 | Aggravating-Snuck 0x0f67…866e | Up | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x018095… |
| 06-08 20:58:27 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Up | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x018095… |
| 06-04 00:36:55 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Up | BUY | 3 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x55c907… |
| 06-04 00:36:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3f5…c3fd | Up | SELL | 3 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x55c907… |
| 06-03 08:25:39 | (anonymous) 0x37cd…f05f | Up | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x0f83f3… |
| 06-03 08:25:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Down | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0f83f3… |
| 06-03 08:18:18 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Up | BUY | 22 | 85¢ | $18 | 0x054929… |
| 06-03 08:18:18 | Worst-Heavy 0x37d6…fd31 | Up | SELL | 22 | 85¢ | $18 | 0x054929… |
| 06-01 23:33:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Down | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4dd0d5… |
| 06-01 23:33:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Down | SELL | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x4dd0d5… |
| 06-01 23:33:50 | (anonymous) 0xcc4c…50ae | Down | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4dd0d5… |
| 05-31 20:07:40 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Down | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xe16dbc… |
| 05-31 20:07:40 | Milky-Bee 0x75f5…3b23 | Up | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xe16dbc… |