Realized P&L
-$7.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.33K
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
872
Trades
3,524
lifetime
Volume
$407.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$13.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 11-05 17:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Other
51% 48% +$1,076
Politics
23% 57% +$7,410
Sports
17% 42% -$13,911
Tech
4% 6% -$3,137
Crypto
3% 54% +$73
Pop-Culture
2% 56% +$634
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? Yes +1,848 $1,193 72¢ $1.3K +$146 10-26 14:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,426 $759 36¢ $1.3K +$491 11-04 15:11
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +1,525 $389 82¢ $1.2K +$859 10-25 13:09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? Yes +1,252 $217 97¢ $1.2K +$1,000 11-01 09:34
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? No — +1,005 $907 99¢ $998 +$92 10-11 03:20
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +1,067 $956 88¢ $945 -$11 11-05 12:28
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +998 $533 85¢ $848 +$316 11-04 08:25
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +2,921 $572 24¢ $701 +$129 10-24 11:56
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? Yes +820 $200 85¢ $697 +$497 11-04 14:31
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +708 $537 90¢ $641 +$104 10-31 02:04
Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? Yes +740 $448 62¢ $455 +$7 10-30 13:39
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +1,714 $308 24¢ $403 +$94 10-18 14:30
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +387 $259 96¢ $372 +$112 10-22 11:23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 20%-25%? No +642 $475 41¢ $265 -$210 10-10 18:29
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +228 $166 92¢ $208 +$42 09-30 17:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more? No — +200 $169 97¢ $195 +$26 10-30 06:01
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000? No +200 $55 91¢ $182 +$127 10-07 03:31
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? No +200 $138 80¢ $160 +$22 10-04 02:57
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +476 $189 30¢ $140 -$48 10-28 18:06
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? Yes +400 $94 32¢ $126 +$32 09-23 17:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 35% or more? No +200 $184 62¢ $123 -$61 10-17 07:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +170 $134 66¢ $113 -$21 10-30 15:14
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? No +100 $89 97¢ $97 +$8 10-04 03:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +270 $61 34¢ $90 +$29 10-29 20:13
Will SZA headline Coachella 2027? Yes — +114 $40 52¢ $60 +$20 10-30 14:49
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes — +485 $417 10¢ $46 -$371 10-27 12:22
Will Drake release a new album by December 31? Yes +306 $72 8¢ $24 -$47 11-05 17:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 6% or more? No +110 $93 21¢ $23 -$70 10-10 10:56
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more? Yes — +158 $8 8¢ $12 +$4 10-14 15:55
Will Ezreal be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? Yes +50 $4 23¢ $12 +$8 10-24 05:07