Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 15%-18%? open
Create alert
Trades Price moves Resolution
← all wallets
Total volume
$3,974
$63 in 24h
Trades
236
Unique wallets
65
Liquidity
$10,234
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-07
last 11-04 14:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -2.5¢ (top1%: 10% YES on $837 vs crowd: 13% YES on $2.9K)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 27 $120 $1.3K $1.2K
🐬 Dolphin 26 $207 $1.1K $937
🐟 Fish 6 $28 $12 +$16
🦐 Shrimp 6 $4 $38 $34
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 20 $83 $754 $670
🏆 Top 5% 7 $37 $228 $190
Median 2 $73 $38 +$35
Below median 4 $3 — +$3
⚠️ Bottom 10% 2 $2 $234 $232
🔻 Bottom 5% 9 $52 $139 $86
💀 Bottom 1% 21 $108 $1.1K $1.0K
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 Yes +360 $29 $29 14 10-30 03:56
(anonymous) 0x8314…0b88 Yes +265 $26 $26 2 11-04 01:21
Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd No +256 $234 $234 7 11-04 01:21
(anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 No +229 $161 $161 2 11-04 04:40
Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae Yes +209 $63 $63 3 11-04 04:40
(anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 No +159 $158 $158 2 10-29 19:06
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf Yes +101 $12 $12 10 10-05 10:39
Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be No +100 $91 $124 3 11-04 01:15
Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be Yes +100 $12 $23 9 11-04 01:15
(anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b Yes +80 $11 $15 5 10-05 10:39
(anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b No +80 $71 $71 3 10-05 10:39
Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 No +80 $80 $80 2 10-27 20:39
Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 No +70 $63 $63 8 08-13 10:19
Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd Yes +62 $10 $10 2 10-01 10:04
Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 Yes +60 $2 $2 1 10-29 06:37
(anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 No +57 $57 $57 2 10-27 18:38
(anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 Yes +50 $5 $5 1 10-05 10:39
(anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 No +50 $46 $46 1 10-05 10:39
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 No +43 $38 $167 7 10-03 12:17
Ironclad-Housework 0x9703…69c2 No +43 $41 $41 1 11-02 18:09
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 No +40 $35 $35 2 08-13 10:22
(anonymous) 0x7167…d110 Yes +39 $1 $1 1 10-31 14:47
Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 No +37 $37 $37 1 10-27 20:39
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 No +36 $33 $33 2 09-09 00:31
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e Yes +36 $0 $2 3 11-04 14:08
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 Yes +35 $4 $4 3 08-13 10:22
(anonymous) 0xae2a…384d No +30 $30 $30 1 10-27 20:39
(anonymous) 0x4b3e…cfae Yes +27 -$2 $3 14 11-04 14:08
Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f Yes +20 $2 $2 1 10-05 10:39
(anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 Yes +20 $2 $2 1 10-05 10:39
Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 Yes +20 $4 $4 1 09-28 08:26
(anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 No +20 $18 $18 1 10-05 10:39
Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 No +20 $17 $17 1 09-28 08:26
Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f No +20 $18 $18 1 10-05 10:39
Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 No +20 $17 $17 1 09-15 16:52
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e No +20 $19 $19 1 11-02 18:09
Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b Yes +19 $2 $2 3 08-13 10:19
Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 No +18 $15 $15 2 09-28 09:39
Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 No +17 $14 $14 2 08-10 17:37
(anonymous) 0x51ca…364a No +15 $12 $12 1 09-28 09:42
Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 No +10 $9 $9 2 08-13 10:22
Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d No +10 $9 $9 1 08-13 10:22
(anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 No +7 $6 $6 1 08-13 10:19
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 No +2 $2 $2 1 09-28 09:42