Realized P&L
+$84
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,384
lifetime
Volume
$325.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$235
Open exposure
$6.26K
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-30 04:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
70% 100% +$2
Politics
28% 100% +$82
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -2,500 $-2,478 100¢ $-2497 $-19 06-17 02:35
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? No +675 $617 92¢ $622 +$5 06-29 03:19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +759 $672 74¢ $565 $-107 06-22 05:06
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +420 $398 96¢ $404 +$6 06-07 06:36
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +397 $359 95¢ $377 +$18 06-22 05:24
Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03? No +348 $330 98¢ $342 +$12 06-29 03:18
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +249 $230 91¢ $225 $-4 06-28 05:08
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026? No -225 $-224 100¢ $-225 $-0 06-28 16:24
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No +428 $190 49¢ $210 +$20 06-16 13:43
Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03? No +191 $177 98¢ $187 +$10 06-29 03:17
Will KeyBank fail by June 30, 2026? No +156 $153 100¢ $155 +$2 06-11 02:46
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No +100 $98 100¢ $100 +$2 06-14 17:20
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +135 $114 72¢ $97 $-17 06-28 05:09
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026? No -61 $-60 100¢ $-60 +$0 06-28 16:24
Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-50 100¢ $-50 $-0 06-29 03:31
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -42 $-45 100¢ $-42 +$3 06-17 02:36
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No -60 $-29 48¢ $-29 $-0 05-29 14:10
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? No -25 $-25 99¢ $-25 +$0 06-28 22:09
Will Wells Fargo fail by June 30, 2026? No -19 $-19 100¢ $-19 +$0 06-28 18:04
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026? No -18 $-18 99¢ $-18 +$0 06-22 02:08
Will BNY fail by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-8 99¢ $-8 +$0 06-28 16:24