Realized P&L
+$84
Unrealized P&L
-$74
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,520
lifetime
Volume
$340.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$224
Open exposure
$5.27K
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 07-20 22:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
69% 100% +$2
Politics
28% 100% +$82
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $943 89¢ $887 $-56 07-06 20:33
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? No +840 $775 95¢ $800 +$25 07-05 15:34
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +683 $652 98¢ $673 +$21 07-05 15:34
Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +577 $556 100¢ $575 +$19 07-10 00:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +759 $672 71¢ $539 $-134 06-22 05:06
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No +828 $380 50¢ $410 +$30 07-06 09:13
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +397 $359 96¢ $381 +$21 06-22 05:24
Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03? No +348 $330 98¢ $341 +$11 06-29 03:18
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +249 $230 95¢ $237 +$7 06-28 05:08
Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03? No +191 $177 98¢ $188 +$11 06-29 03:17
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +135 $114 76¢ $102 $-12 06-28 05:09
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? No +105 $102 96¢ $101 $-1 07-04 00:13
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No -60 $-29 50¢ $-30 $-1 05-29 14:10
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +40 $28 29¢ $12 $-17 07-02 23:23