U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
open
Total volume
$422
Trades
58
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$12,236
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-20 12:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $3 | $35 | $32 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $3 | $13 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $26 | $3 | +$23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $24 | $9 | +$15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $5 | $25 | $20 |
| Median | 3 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Below median | 7 | $26 | $2 | +$24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 5 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +201 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 06-07 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +95 | $7 | $7 | 9 | 07-19 03:30 |
| Accurate-Congregation 0x3ecd…64ae | Yes | +47 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 12:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xac49…51c4 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 13:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-20 12:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd4e…3f78 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-20 12:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +5 | $0 | $1 | 4 | 07-03 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +3 | $-2 | $8 | 3 | 06-02 14:14 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 12:11 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 17:44 |
| Kooky-Comradeship 0x72a1…c5e4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 17:44 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $6 | 4 | 06-30 08:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 12:34:39 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xed0d76… |
| 07-20 12:34:39 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xed0d76… |
| 07-20 12:34:39 | Accurate-Congregation 0x3ecd…64ae | Yes | BUY | 47 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xed0d76… |
| 07-20 12:34:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xed0d76… |
| 07-20 12:34:39 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xed0d76… |
| 07-19 03:30:19 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0f2a86… |
| 07-19 03:30:19 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0f2a86… |
| 07-11 02:36:44 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9f0538… |
| 07-11 02:36:44 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9f0538… |
| 07-03 22:10:23 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf0ca25… |
| 07-03 22:10:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf0ca25… |
| 07-03 22:10:14 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x44b5b3… |
| 07-03 22:10:14 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x44b5b3… |
| 07-03 21:49:58 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe394d6… |
| 07-03 21:49:58 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe394d6… |
| 07-03 21:49:58 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe394d6… |
| 07-01 12:11:32 | Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xd29d5a… |
| 07-01 12:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd29d5a… |
| 06-30 17:43:08 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3f7cad… |
| 06-30 17:43:08 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3f7cad… |
| 06-30 08:07:26 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x67b7b1… |
| 06-30 08:07:26 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x67b7b1… |
| 06-29 10:35:14 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x31ed96… |
| 06-29 10:35:14 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | SELL | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x31ed96… |
| 06-29 10:35:14 | Sad-Thorn 0x3822…d7e5 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x31ed96… |
| 06-27 06:04:11 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 24 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xaae13a… |
| 06-27 06:04:11 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xaae13a… |
| 06-27 06:04:11 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xaae13a… |
| 06-24 13:06:46 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x9384b6… |
| 06-24 13:06:46 | (anonymous) 0xac49…51c4 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x9384b6… |
| 06-24 13:06:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9384b6… |
| 06-08 21:32:57 | (anonymous) 0xfd4e…3f78 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x46f875… |
| 06-08 21:32:57 | Luminous-Classroom 0x3afe…01d4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x46f875… |
| 06-08 21:32:57 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x46f875… |
| 06-07 09:02:34 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x79acf0… |
| 06-07 09:02:34 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x79acf0… |
| 06-07 09:00:37 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7f816e… |
| 06-07 09:00:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7f816e… |
| 06-03 17:44:24 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb864a3… |
| 06-03 17:44:24 | Kooky-Comradeship 0x72a1…c5e4 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb864a3… |
| 06-02 14:14:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x012db8… |
| 06-02 14:14:35 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x012db8… |
| 06-02 14:14:35 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x012db8… |
| 06-02 14:14:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x012db8… |
| 06-02 14:14:35 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x012db8… |
| 06-02 14:14:35 | Complicated-Rake 0xf347…d8b2 | Yes | SELL | 338 | 7¢ | $25 | 0x012db8… |
| 06-02 06:45:55 | Superb-Fellow 0x7cb6…a366 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x485efc… |
| 06-02 06:45:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x485efc… |
| 06-02 06:45:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x485efc… |
| 06-02 06:40:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x3181cf… |
| 06-02 06:40:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x3181cf… |
| 06-02 06:40:52 | Superb-Fellow 0x7cb6…a366 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x3181cf… |
| 06-01 20:49:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x58017b… |
| 06-01 20:49:36 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | SELL | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x58017b… |
| 06-01 20:49:36 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x58017b… |
| 06-01 20:49:36 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x58017b… |
| 06-01 20:49:36 | Definitive-Resume 0xdcee…bda5 | Yes | SELL | 384 | 11¢ | $43 | 0x58017b… |
| 06-01 20:49:36 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x58017b… |