Realized P&L
+$5.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
95.6%
Resolved
80
Trades
635
lifetime
Volume
$38.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$2.07K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 09-20 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Politics
75% 81% +$4,876
Other
24% 80% +$624
Tech
0% 100% +$22
Sports
0% 100% +$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No -452 -$384 97¢ $-440 -$56 09-20 16:23
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +300 $285 99¢ $297 +$12 05-13 12:04
EU dissolves before 2027? No +282 $271 99¢ $278 +$6 05-13 09:32
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +200 $185 98¢ $196 +$11 05-13 01:48
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? No +180 $159 95¢ $170 +$11 05-26 14:40
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +144 $129 98¢ $141 +$12 06-01 21:22
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 05-14 06:44
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No +100 $88 96¢ $96 +$8 05-29 17:20
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $84 96¢ $96 +$12 07-16 13:57
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +100 $73 95¢ $95 +$22 05-12 19:39
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +100 $76 93¢ $93 +$17 05-26 19:11
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? No +31 $29 96¢ $30 +$2 05-22 05:27
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? No +25 $22 95¢ $24 +$2 05-23 07:08
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$3 05-15 00:40