Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
open
Total volume
$7,227
$2,387 in 24h
Trades
289
Unique wallets
91
Liquidity
$24,467
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-01 16:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.6¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $931
vs crowd: 16% YES on $4.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $151 | $1.7K | $1.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | — | $723 | $723 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | — | $872 | $872 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $538 | $307 | +$231 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $24 | $907 | $882 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $45 | $865 | $819 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $20 | $191 | $171 |
| Median | 10 | $2 | $273 | $271 |
| Below median | 14 | $1 | $156 | $155 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $61 | $353 | $293 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | — | $174 | $174 |
| unranked | 35 | $535 | $653 | $118 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x15d2…bc1a | Yes | +2,390 | $386 | $386 | 4 | 07-30 20:46 |
| 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19…6402 | No | +792 | $649 | $649 | 5 | 07-31 22:05 |
| Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | +661 | $564 | $564 | 4 | 07-29 16:14 |
| Babyish-Latter 0x5494…85fe | Yes | +500 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 07-28 09:34 |
| Sarcastic-Attainment 0x2854…9120 | No | +304 | $254 | $254 | 6 | 07-03 20:28 |
| Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | +300 | $257 | $257 | 1 | 07-31 23:24 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +300 | $258 | $258 | 3 | 07-28 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d84…72da | No | +233 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-31 22:05 |
| Untrue-Croup 0xdf6c…eb44 | No | +230 | $191 | $191 | 4 | 07-30 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6f1…2994 | Yes | +217 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 16:22 |
| Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | Yes | +210 | $21 | $81 | 6 | 07-29 16:14 |
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +204 | $173 | $173 | 2 | 08-01 16:31 |
| Optimal-Communion 0x1e3a…9e14 | Yes | +201 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-10 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x56e3…521c | Yes | +100 | $16 | $16 | 7 | 07-06 07:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4f7…73bb | No | +100 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-07 16:22 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 07-11 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +79 | $9 | $77 | 16 | 07-20 18:32 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 07-01 22:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 5 | 07-20 00:08 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 21:48 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-31 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +29 | $25 | $25 | 11 | 07-20 00:15 |
| Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | +24 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-31 23:24 |
| Sardonic-Archer 0xc9ad…79d0 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-06 07:50 |
| Long-Term-Fog 0x7049…3dea | No | +16 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-11 09:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 13:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xac08…5ead | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 17:20 |
| Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-03 19:53 |
| Flawless-Turn 0xa937…4152 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-20 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +9 | $1 | $4 | 4 | 08-01 16:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +7 | $6 | $36 | 5 | 07-31 23:24 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-04 23:01 |
| Illustrious-Homogenate 0xc14f…df67 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-29 09:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 08:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-31 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 00:15 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-12 01:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd841…7819 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-01 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-20 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe04…eb0c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 09:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e79…3996 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 18:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-20 00:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 16:31:23 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xaf1bcd… |
| 08-01 16:31:23 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xaf1bcd… |
| 08-01 12:17:36 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8286d8… |
| 08-01 12:17:36 | (anonymous) 0xd841…7819 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x8286d8… |
| 07-31 23:24:44 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x556ddf… |
| 07-31 23:24:44 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | SELL | 0 | 84¢ | $0 | 0x556ddf… |
| 07-31 23:24:42 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 24 | 86¢ | $21 | 0x3a451a… |
| 07-31 23:24:42 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 24 | 86¢ | $21 | 0x3a451a… |
| 07-31 23:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x28e55c… |
| 07-31 23:24:12 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xfea67c… |
| 07-31 23:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xfea67c… |
| 07-31 23:24:12 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 46 | 85¢ | $39 | 0x28e55c… |
| 07-31 23:24:12 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 242 | 86¢ | $208 | 0x28e55c… |
| 07-31 23:24:12 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | BUY | 300 | 86¢ | $257 | 0x28e55c… |
| 07-31 23:11:57 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 200 | 85¢ | $170 | 0xa47d84… |
| 07-31 23:11:57 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 77 | 85¢ | $65 | 0xa47d84… |
| 07-31 22:05:56 | (anonymous) 0xac0d…cdfa | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xa7072a… |
| 07-31 22:05:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xa7072a… |
| 07-31 22:05:44 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb8853b… |
| 07-31 22:05:44 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 196 | 86¢ | $169 | 0xb8853b… |
| 07-31 22:05:44 | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19…6402 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x0e6f58… |
| 07-31 22:05:44 | (anonymous) 0x2d84…72da | No | BUY | 233 | 86¢ | $200 | 0xb8853b… |
| 07-31 22:05:44 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x0e6f58… |
| 07-31 22:05:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xb8853b… |
| 07-31 11:09:47 | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19…6402 | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x384055… |
| 07-31 11:09:47 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x384055… |
| 07-30 20:46:50 | (anonymous) 0x15d2…bc1a | Yes | BUY | 167 | 18¢ | $30 | 0x800bbb… |
| 07-30 20:46:50 | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19…6402 | No | BUY | 167 | 82¢ | $137 | 0x800bbb… |
| 07-30 20:46:15 | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19…6402 | No | BUY | 167 | 82¢ | $137 | 0x13e706… |
| 07-30 20:46:15 | (anonymous) 0x15d2…bc1a | Yes | BUY | 167 | 18¢ | $30 | 0x13e706… |
| 07-30 20:45:42 | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19…6402 | No | BUY | 455 | 82¢ | $373 | 0xfeaba2… |
| 07-30 20:45:42 | (anonymous) 0x15d2…bc1a | Yes | BUY | 561 | 18¢ | $100 | 0xfeaba2… |
| 07-30 20:45:42 | Untrue-Croup 0xdf6c…eb44 | No | BUY | 106 | 83¢ | $88 | 0xfeaba2… |
| 07-29 16:14:29 | (anonymous) 0x8b22…47a1 | Yes | SELL | 873 | 15¢ | $131 | 0xdea41a… |
| 07-29 16:14:29 | (anonymous) 0x15d2…bc1a | Yes | BUY | 1,495 | 15¢ | $226 | 0xdea41a… |
| 07-29 16:14:29 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | BUY | 444 | 85¢ | $377 | 0xdea41a… |
| 07-29 16:14:29 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | Yes | SELL | 178 | 16¢ | $28 | 0xdea41a… |
| 07-29 09:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x8b22…47a1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x2c269e… |
| 07-29 09:48:30 | Illustrious-Homogenate 0xc14f…df67 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x2c269e… |
| 07-28 09:34:34 | Babyish-Latter 0x5494…85fe | Yes | BUY | 500 | 14¢ | $70 | 0x3aa14a… |
| 07-28 09:34:34 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 299 | 86¢ | $257 | 0x3aa14a… |
| 07-28 09:34:34 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | BUY | 201 | 86¢ | $173 | 0x3aa14a… |
| 07-27 23:47:01 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x497679… |
| 07-27 23:47:01 | (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x497679… |
| 07-27 23:46:58 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x8c7112… |
| 07-27 23:46:58 | Subtle-Criminal 0x4b4b…c278 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1e3d2c… |
| 07-27 23:46:58 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | SELL | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x8c7112… |
| 07-27 23:46:58 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x1e3d2c… |
| 07-27 04:35:03 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x182878… |
| 07-27 04:35:03 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x182878… |
| 07-26 15:02:54 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xb2f524… |
| 07-26 15:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | SELL | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xb2f524… |
| 07-22 05:58:27 | Nautical-Licensing 0x76d2…6bfc | No | SELL | 13 | 84¢ | $11 | 0xf209b7… |
| 07-22 05:58:27 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xf209b7… |
| 07-20 18:32:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x88d4e8… |
| 07-20 18:32:28 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | SELL | 27 | 83¢ | $23 | 0x88d4e8… |
| 07-20 18:32:28 | Untrue-Croup 0xdf6c…eb44 | No | BUY | 21 | 83¢ | $18 | 0x88d4e8… |
| 07-20 02:32:18 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x3c3ae6… |
| 07-20 02:32:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3c3ae6… |
| 07-20 00:15:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xdeb764… |
| 07-20 00:15:54 | (anonymous) 0xac0d…cdfa | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xdeb764… |
| 07-20 00:15:49 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xe86e6a… |
| 07-20 00:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xd7c84a… |
| 07-20 00:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x98a4…b64d | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xe86e6a… |
| 07-20 00:15:49 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xd7c84a… |
| 07-20 00:15:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xe86e6a… |
| 07-20 00:15:46 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xdca8a5… |
| 07-20 00:15:46 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xdca8a5… |
| 07-20 00:15:46 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x9a842c… |
| 07-20 00:15:46 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x9a842c… |
| 07-20 00:15:43 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x0e1259… |
| 07-20 00:15:43 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x0e1259… |
| 07-20 00:15:42 | (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xef0907… |
| 07-20 00:15:42 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xaa9b16… |
| 07-20 00:15:42 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xef0907… |
| 07-20 00:15:42 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xef0907… |
| 07-20 00:15:42 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xaa9b16… |
| 07-20 00:15:42 | (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x214c2a… |
| 07-20 00:15:42 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x214c2a… |
| 07-20 00:15:40 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x1040a4… |
| 07-20 00:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x98a4…b64d | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x1040a4… |
| 07-20 00:15:39 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0x8a8d1e… |
| 07-20 00:15:39 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x65011f… |
| 07-20 00:15:39 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xb9c6d1… |
| 07-20 00:15:39 | (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0x8a8d1e… |
| 07-20 00:15:39 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xb9c6d1… |
| 07-20 00:15:39 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x65011f… |
| 07-20 00:15:37 | (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x35beba… |
| 07-20 00:15:37 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 96 | 86¢ | $83 | 0x35beba… |
| 07-20 00:15:37 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 112 | 86¢ | $97 | 0x35beba… |
| 07-20 00:15:37 | Flawless-Turn 0xa937…4152 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x35beba… |
| 07-20 00:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x4af6d6… |
| 07-20 00:10:25 | (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x4af6d6… |
| 07-20 00:10:24 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x87bb3f… |
| 07-20 00:10:24 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x87bb3f… |
| 07-20 00:08:54 | (anonymous) 0xac0d…cdfa | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x4fe4ee… |
| 07-20 00:08:54 | (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x4fe4ee… |
| 07-20 00:08:51 | (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xe20f64… |
| 07-20 00:08:51 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xe20f64… |
| 07-20 00:08:48 | (anonymous) 0xac0d…cdfa | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0xa24813… |