Realized P&L
-$294
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,457
lifetime
Volume
$123.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$1.18K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-10 05:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
74% 75% $-284
Other
24% 0% $-10
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +300 $264 90¢ $272 +$8 07-08 17:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +234 $193 84¢ $195 +$2 07-08 11:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +116 $77 86¢ $100 +$24 06-27 05:44
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +59 $45 83¢ $49 +$5 07-10 05:14
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +51 $41 84¢ $43 +$2 06-20 11:25
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +47 $36 82¢ $38 +$2 07-01 12:21
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +57 $32 66¢ $37 +$5 06-30 20:32
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No +33 $28 88¢ $29 +$2 06-20 14:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +30 $17 96¢ $29 +$11 06-29 14:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +31 $27 88¢ $27 +$1 06-19 20:30
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +32 $25 82¢ $27 +$2 07-09 08:33
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +30 $21 82¢ $25 +$4 06-24 12:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +30 $24 82¢ $25 +$1 06-28 10:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +29 $23 83¢ $24 +$1 06-27 18:32
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +29 $23 84¢ $24 +$1 07-04 20:42
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +25 $20 90¢ $23 +$3 06-08 19:44
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +26 $23 87¢ $23 $-0 07-08 20:33
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +33 $23 68¢ $22 $-1 07-05 13:23
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-26 17:11
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No +18 $15 90¢ $16 +$1 07-07 11:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 86¢ $15 $-0 07-04 18:27
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +18 $14 80¢ $15 +$1 07-04 20:41
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? No +16 $12 88¢ $14 +$2 06-23 11:06
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +19 $13 72¢ $13 +$0 07-09 08:50
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +15 $13 88¢ $13 +$0 06-21 19:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +17 $13 77¢ $13 +$0 06-22 18:23
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? No +15 $13 88¢ $13 +$0 07-07 11:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +17 $12 76¢ $13 +$1 06-30 20:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +14 $12 88¢ $12 +$0 06-06 12:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +14 $11 88¢ $12 +$1 05-30 20:19