Alive-Thunderstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

486

lifetime

Volume

$73.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% — —

Crypto

39% — —

Politics

19% 100% +$816

Sports

2% 100% +$405

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	30	$5.5K	3,341	3,499	-159	open	—	03-09 17:40
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	17	$5.2K	6,792	3,392	+3,400	open	—	02-27 16:23
Flying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	4	$4.9K	2,613	2,613	+0	open	—	02-24 13:12
Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$2.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	02-24 13:11
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	12	$2.1K	711	2,265	-1,554	open	—	03-08 17:44
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	4	$2.0K	2,058	2,058	+0	open	—	02-24 17:00
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	10	$2.0K	988	1,375	-387	open	—	03-12 21:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$1.5K	1,040	1,040	+0	open	—	02-28 09:06
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$1.5K	781	781	+0	open	—	02-26 21:34
bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	3	$1.4K	2,010	0	+2,010	open	—	04-24 06:52
will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$1.4K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	07-21 15:07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$1.3K	0	1,325	-1,325	open	—	07-19 01:27
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$1.3K	1,401	889	+512	open	—	02-24 13:15
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	2	$1.2K	2,023	2,023	+0	open	—	02-02 10:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$1.1K	796	800	-4	open	—	03-10 19:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$1.0K	650	650	+0	open	—	02-22 08:39
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	open	—	02-26 15:55
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	3	$998	1,462	0	+1,462	open	—	06-27 17:13
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$980	600	600	+0	open	—	03-08 20:09
tim walz charged by march 31	2	$903	500	500	+0	open	—	01-26 00:36
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	3	$885	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	06-26 19:00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	10	$800	619	660	-41	open	—	02-22 08:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$787	422	422	+0	open	—	03-09 11:32
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	1	$770	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-22 06:37
will axiom be accused of insider trading	8	$770	961	0	+961	open	—	02-26 07:41
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	8	$767	359	473	-114	open	—	03-13 17:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	8	$734	937	0	+937	open	—	01-14 19:51
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	4	$697	754	754	+0	open	—	04-12 16:09
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	5	$653	709	0	+709	open	—	04-22 13:28
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	4	$650	874	0	+874	open	—	01-22 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:07:16	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	37¢	$370	0x699d44…
07-20 21:06:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,178	9¢	$106	0x854813…
07-20 21:03:57	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	450	16¢	$72	0x18c645…
07-20 19:26:48	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	369	57¢	$211	0xa53c46…
07-20 19:25:03	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0xfb9d75…
07-20 19:24:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x8b8044…
07-20 14:11:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x944858…
07-20 14:08:52	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	700	16¢	$112	0x5afda2…
07-20 14:05:58	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	2,200	23¢	$506	0x8ca4b2…
07-20 14:05:34	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	3,000	33¢	$990	0x383238…
07-19 01:36:07	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	680	65¢	$442	0x211903…
07-19 01:32:40	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	120	23¢	$28	0xc063f2…
07-19 01:32:31	Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	7¢	$8	0x8b135d…
07-19 01:32:16	Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	230	18¢	$42	0x1f238c…
07-19 01:32:07	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	552	11¢	$60	0xe11e12…
07-19 01:30:30	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,224	21¢	$258	0xd7c06c…
07-19 01:29:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	600	97¢	$582	0x54a3b7…
07-19 01:27:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1,325	95¢	$1,264	0x4536c4…
07-11 14:22:58	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	230	43¢	$99	0xba6959…
07-11 14:20:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x9ee670…
07-11 14:16:34	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	600	43¢	$258	0x497c05…
07-11 10:59:17	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	848	41¢	$348	0xa618ec…
07-08 16:19:50	Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xaa6111…
07-08 16:19:20	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	238	91¢	$218	0xed6b12…
07-07 17:09:14	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0xa98e69…
06-27 17:13:04	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	362	69¢	$250	0x3a0a0b…
06-27 14:52:07	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0xb326c4…
06-27 14:51:29	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	800	68¢	$544	0x2e5efd…
06-26 19:00:29	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	500	59¢	$295	0xc98388…
06-26 17:55:50	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0x1fe0bb…
06-26 16:30:59	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	500	59¢	$295	0x5e36d4…
06-26 11:45:08	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	500	59¢	$295	0x888ef1…
06-25 19:19:43	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 goals florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xee34b3…
06-23 11:56:01	will memphis depay score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	49	52¢	$25	0x5fe9f1…
06-23 11:55:17	will leroy san score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	179	46¢	$83	0x49c0a1…
06-23 11:53:32	will rben dias score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	102	86¢	$88	0x144aa4…
06-23 11:52:13	will martin degaard score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	107	62¢	$67	0x00aa12…
06-22 06:37:32	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0x2a427e…
06-22 00:02:10	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xf71fbd…
06-21 22:07:16	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x069386…
06-21 22:02:04	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xee2adf…
06-21 18:43:19	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd45ce7…
06-21 17:56:32	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe10eb3…
06-21 11:39:05	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Uruguay	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x1c54d3…
06-19 16:22:31	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0x1461ff…
06-18 22:56:49	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xe0753b…
06-17 12:13:50	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	680	45¢	$306	0xf69102…
06-16 22:12:19	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	1,000	46¢	$460	0x22e0e5…
06-16 12:55:39	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0xbed43d…
06-16 12:55:16	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x5312b5…
05-09 09:52:55	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0xb8e14d…
04-27 13:00:52	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x97033f…
04-26 12:15:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	No	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x73d553…
04-26 12:13:50	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	1,429	35¢	$500	0x738db1…
04-25 11:40:54	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	51	33¢	$17	0xf0c8ce…
04-24 06:52:52	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 spread home 1pt5	RB Leipzig	BUY	310	43¢	$133	0xdf6a22…
04-24 06:52:16	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	Yes	BUY	777	68¢	$528	0x9eb197…
04-23 19:32:44	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 spread home 1pt5	RB Leipzig	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xb1835b…
04-22 15:05:30	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	Yes	BUY	548	73¢	$400	0x79d805…
04-22 14:46:34	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	Yes	BUY	685	73¢	$500	0x6f441b…
04-22 14:45:06	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 spread home 1pt5	RB Leipzig	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x3d349c…
04-22 13:51:10	Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0x62d630…
04-22 13:28:22	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xd29fe1…
04-13 15:11:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x90ad08…
04-13 15:11:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x01250a…
04-12 18:58:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x5dc4e9…
04-12 18:54:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	190	69¢	$131	0xeb30b6…
04-12 16:09:37	Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	454	27¢	$123	0xcc2ab3…
03-21 11:15:09	grok memecoin wallet hits 1m before april	No	SELL	186	93¢	$172	0x5bd77f…
03-19 08:03:55	will silver si hit low 75 by end of march	Yes	BUY	280	91¢	$255	0x7dabf6…
03-18 20:22:15	will silver si hit low 70 by end of march	Yes	BUY	220	38¢	$84	0x3a6bfa…
03-18 20:22:03	will silver si hit low 75 by end of march	Yes	BUY	97	84¢	$82	0x595e14…
03-16 19:35:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xc801fb…
03-16 08:43:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x11d39c…
03-14 22:34:51	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x215b88…
03-14 22:32:29	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x0d337f…
03-14 19:56:39	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x6a771b…
03-14 19:54:45	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$1	0xaf7344…
03-14 19:54:27	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x5286ef…
03-14 19:21:49	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd2918e…
03-14 19:00:29	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	165	6¢	$9	0x08ea4b…
03-14 18:33:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,400	14¢	$196	0x734336…
03-13 22:10:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	173	30¢	$52	0xd3edf7…
03-13 22:07:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x1c1f9e…
03-13 22:07:01	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x57732c…
03-13 22:05:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xee517b…
03-13 21:58:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	180	31¢	$56	0xfb56f3…
03-13 20:03:35	will silver si hit low 70 by end of march	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xdb00a7…
03-13 17:23:23	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	171	93¢	$160	0x78dca6…
03-13 17:22:25	grok memecoin wallet hits 1m before april	No	SELL	99	88¢	$87	0xf9773c…
03-13 16:40:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xc9c437…
03-13 08:21:03	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	171	95¢	$163	0x06ce5f…
03-12 21:25:43	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	900	89¢	$801	0x69d3d7…
03-12 20:56:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x88a69a…
03-12 16:56:45	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb0c7f6…
03-12 16:55:17	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	232	22¢	$51	0x16debe…
03-12 16:49:11	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xeb80d1…
03-12 16:46:23	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe91c1a…
03-12 16:45:11	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	276	22¢	$61	0x818d91…
03-12 16:36:07	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x4a76da…