Alive-Thunderstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

435

lifetime

Volume

$61.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-09 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

41% — —

Other

37% — —

Politics

21% 100% +$816

Sports

1% 100% +$405

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	30	$5.5K	3,341	3,499	-159	open	—	03-09 17:40
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	17	$5.2K	6,792	3,392	+3,400	open	—	02-27 16:23
Flying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	4	$4.9K	2,613	2,613	+0	open	—	02-24 13:12
Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$2.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	02-24 13:11
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	12	$2.1K	711	2,265	-1,554	open	—	03-08 17:44
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	4	$2.0K	2,058	2,058	+0	open	—	02-24 17:00
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	10	$2.0K	988	1,375	-387	open	—	03-12 21:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$1.5K	1,040	1,040	+0	open	—	02-28 09:06
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$1.5K	781	781	+0	open	—	02-26 21:34
bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	3	$1.4K	2,010	0	+2,010	open	—	04-24 06:52
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$1.3K	1,401	889	+512	open	—	02-24 13:15
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	2	$1.2K	2,023	2,023	+0	open	—	02-02 10:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$1.1K	796	800	-4	open	—	03-10 19:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$1.0K	650	650	+0	open	—	02-22 08:39
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	open	—	02-26 15:55
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$980	600	600	+0	open	—	03-08 20:09
tim walz charged by march 31	2	$903	500	500	+0	open	—	01-26 00:36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	10	$800	619	660	-41	open	—	02-22 08:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$787	422	422	+0	open	—	03-09 11:32
will axiom be accused of insider trading	8	$770	961	0	+961	open	—	02-26 07:41
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	8	$767	359	473	-114	open	—	03-13 17:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	8	$734	937	0	+937	open	—	01-14 19:51
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	4	$697	754	754	+0	open	—	04-12 16:09
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	5	$653	709	0	+709	open	—	04-22 13:28
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	4	$650	874	0	+874	open	—	01-22 13:54
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	3	$627	408	408	+0	open	—	02-22 13:02
will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	2	$602	692	0	+692	open	—	01-04 12:17
ice shooter fired by march 31	5	$579	700	0	+700	open	—	01-10 20:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	15	$578	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-14 18:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$560	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-10 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 09:52:55	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0xb8e14d…
04-27 13:00:52	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x97033f…
04-26 12:15:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	No	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x73d553…
04-26 12:13:50	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	1,429	35¢	$500	0x738db1…
04-25 11:40:54	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	51	33¢	$17	0xf0c8ce…
04-24 06:52:52	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 spread home 1pt5	RB Leipzig	BUY	310	43¢	$133	0xdf6a22…
04-24 06:52:16	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	Yes	BUY	777	68¢	$528	0x9eb197…
04-23 19:32:44	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 spread home 1pt5	RB Leipzig	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xb1835b…
04-22 15:05:30	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	Yes	BUY	548	73¢	$400	0x79d805…
04-22 14:46:34	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	Yes	BUY	685	73¢	$500	0x6f441b…
04-22 14:45:06	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 spread home 1pt5	RB Leipzig	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x3d349c…
04-22 13:51:10	Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0x62d630…
04-22 13:28:22	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xd29fe1…
04-13 15:11:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x90ad08…
04-13 15:11:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x01250a…
04-12 18:58:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x5dc4e9…
04-12 18:54:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	190	69¢	$131	0xeb30b6…
04-12 16:09:37	Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	454	27¢	$123	0xcc2ab3…
03-21 11:15:09	grok memecoin wallet hits 1m before april	No	SELL	186	93¢	$172	0x5bd77f…
03-19 08:03:55	will silver si hit low 75 by end of march	Yes	BUY	280	91¢	$255	0x7dabf6…
03-18 20:22:15	will silver si hit low 70 by end of march	Yes	BUY	220	38¢	$84	0x3a6bfa…
03-18 20:22:03	will silver si hit low 75 by end of march	Yes	BUY	97	84¢	$82	0x595e14…
03-16 19:35:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xc801fb…
03-16 08:43:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x11d39c…
03-14 22:34:51	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x215b88…
03-14 22:32:29	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x0d337f…
03-14 19:56:39	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x6a771b…
03-14 19:54:45	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$1	0xaf7344…
03-14 19:54:27	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x5286ef…
03-14 19:21:49	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd2918e…
03-14 19:00:29	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	165	6¢	$9	0x08ea4b…
03-14 18:33:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,400	14¢	$196	0x734336…
03-13 22:10:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	173	30¢	$52	0xd3edf7…
03-13 22:07:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x1c1f9e…
03-13 22:07:01	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x57732c…
03-13 22:05:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xee517b…
03-13 21:58:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	180	31¢	$56	0xfb56f3…
03-13 20:03:35	will silver si hit low 70 by end of march	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xdb00a7…
03-13 17:23:23	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	171	93¢	$160	0x78dca6…
03-13 17:22:25	grok memecoin wallet hits 1m before april	No	SELL	99	88¢	$87	0xf9773c…
03-13 16:40:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xc9c437…
03-13 08:21:03	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	171	95¢	$163	0x06ce5f…
03-12 21:25:43	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	900	89¢	$801	0x69d3d7…
03-12 20:56:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x88a69a…
03-12 16:56:45	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb0c7f6…
03-12 16:55:17	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	232	22¢	$51	0x16debe…
03-12 16:49:11	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xeb80d1…
03-12 16:46:23	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe91c1a…
03-12 16:45:11	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	276	22¢	$61	0x818d91…
03-12 16:36:07	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x4a76da…
03-12 16:21:07	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	70	22¢	$15	0x78e637…
03-12 14:59:55	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	56	60¢	$34	0x4169f0…
03-12 14:57:43	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x76f03b…
03-12 14:54:27	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x23027d…
03-12 14:52:35	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x38dcd5…
03-12 14:49:25	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc85a25…
03-12 14:49:25	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	130	6¢	$8	0x962e2f…
03-12 14:49:25	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6f36a7…
03-12 14:49:25	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x193108…
03-12 14:47:45	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	66	60¢	$40	0x2fc417…
03-12 12:35:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	41¢	$14	0x5b8a10…
03-12 11:53:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	41¢	$78	0x088e5c…
03-12 11:20:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	41¢	$113	0x309d96…
03-11 21:06:31	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	400	24¢	$96	0xfa6868…
03-11 18:15:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	85	48¢	$41	0x42f92c…
03-11 18:15:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x852b75…
03-11 18:09:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x55bcf2…
03-11 13:30:01	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x62919b…
03-11 09:24:11	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xcdc768…
03-11 09:10:47	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	82	97¢	$79	0x52abc9…
03-10 22:18:35	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	179	24¢	$43	0x397ac0…
03-10 21:38:45	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	221	24¢	$53	0x0ad81c…
03-10 19:44:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	400	73¢	$292	0x807227…
03-10 18:49:35	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xffe5bf…
03-10 18:49:35	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xfe8a76…
03-10 18:49:35	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd3e47c…
03-10 18:49:35	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	44	8¢	$3	0x95c5a1…
03-10 18:49:35	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0x84c519…
03-10 18:49:35	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	162	7¢	$12	0x6e5b96…
03-10 18:49:35	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x1b9682…
03-10 18:49:09	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xf0146f…
03-10 18:43:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	400	76¢	$304	0xd3c33e…
03-10 17:39:07	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	40	24¢	$9	0x6d63c9…
03-10 17:35:25	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1957f1…
03-10 17:32:19	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	356	24¢	$85	0xa4a6d6…
03-10 17:16:27	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x02aceb…
03-10 17:15:29	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xc2922a…
03-10 17:10:07	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xe1d109…
03-10 17:09:11	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x756f77…
03-10 17:08:01	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x49cfc6…
03-10 17:06:03	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xb339db…
03-10 17:01:31	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0x9266f7…
03-10 16:45:25	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	49	24¢	$12	0x3c9365…
03-10 12:10:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x90bde8…
03-10 10:58:19	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xd0a59b…
03-10 09:14:15	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x727a3c…
03-10 09:02:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	35¢	$350	0xded765…
03-09 17:40:01	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	SELL	713	99¢	$707	0xacacee…
03-09 17:39:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xf106a3…
03-09 16:12:31	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	SELL	713	99¢	$706	0xb53c90…