Realized P&L (90d)
+$7.33K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.17K
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved (90d)
17
Trades (90d)
42
642 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$14.2K
$111.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$174
Open exposure
$11.4K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-05 09:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
46% 52% +$1,391
Crypto
33% 65% +$9,106
Politics
17% 68% -$506
Sports
5% 59% +$987
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,775 $2,646 92¢ $5.3K +$2,695 08-16 15:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,325 -$1,264 98¢ $-1304 -$40 07-19 01:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $360 42¢ $830 +$470 07-20 19:24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,300 -$821 19¢ $-625 +$196 08-20 09:42
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -565 -$550 100¢ $-563 -$13 07-19 01:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,144 -$534 8¢ $-519 +$15 10-05 09:16
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No -607 -$377 79¢ $-479 -$102 09-03 14:14
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -436 -$422 97¢ $-423 -$1 10-05 09:17
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -680 -$442 59¢ $-401 +$41 07-19 01:36
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,071 -$415 14¢ $-291 +$124 07-19 01:36
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -369 -$211 57¢ $-212 -$1 07-20 19:26
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +1,000 $169 11¢ $105 -$64 07-21 13:40
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes -1,224 -$258 8¢ $-92 +$166 07-19 01:30
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,500 $92 3¢ $79 -$14 08-17 15:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +2,344 $400 3¢ $77 -$323 09-08 17:25
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes -500 -$33 8¢ $-42 -$9 08-10 14:23
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes -552 -$60 8¢ $-41 +$18 07-19 01:32
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -120 -$28 12¢ $-14 +$13 07-19 01:32
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -118 -$8 6¢ $-7 +$1 07-19 01:32